@FalseSimplicity @OctopusEnergy ๐งต2/2
This website shows the long term history of actual spot UK gas prices - you'll see that whilst they have fallen recently they are still a long way above historic levels.
https://t.co/vsyRJ3b4Zu
@FalseSimplicity @OctopusEnergy ๐งต1/2
Hi Julian, I look after energy procurement for Octopus.
The livecharts historical data is quite misleading, and note their disclaimer 'This chart is a live CFD price, and not actual market data'.
@ClemCowton@gordonrlove@Gordon_DHG@nick_speechley Hi Gordon, happy to help. Could you give a little more context on the ask - are you looking at fixed or variable price tariffs for example? Feel free to DM if easier
@norfolkmustard@Zarch1972@david_sykes89 Been a long time coming! Largely due to crazy warm temps and slightly lower commercial demand due to Christmas and covid
Phase 2 of Hornsea is just starting to come on line (great news!) but I think itโs still commissioning - should be more still to come
@g__j@Eor_deLampe@ChrisACave @RealSpleen @energystatsuk@OctopusEnergy Itโs an usually pricy start to the summer. Wind is low tonight (some but not loads) meaning gas is the main price setter. And gas is v expensive right now - outages in Norwegian supply, high Asian demand and political tensions limiting Russian flows through Ukraine all unhelpful
@g__j@wasteheatuser It has been rather wonky. Agile was mega cheap this time last year as Covid really drove down global consumption. For now itโs quite sensitive to wind - I think we had a few periods <1p early Tuesday morning but does sit higher in low renewable periods
@g__j@Roberts71B@OctopusEV Hi Martin - yes low wind this week has been a key driver, coupled with increasing commercial demand as we come further out of lockdown. Also a bit of Sodโs law as I belatedly had my home charger installed last week ๐คฆโโ๏ธ
@g__j @eddiewawa @energystatsuk@octopus_energy@david_sykes89 Hey Eddie, very little to add to the excellent answer given by @cdprice86 earlier - unhelpful combo of low renewables and cold temps pushing up demand. Suspect lockdown relaxation has pushed up consumption in retail and hospitality as well
@g__j@eLEJOG@GuyLipman@octopus_energy@agile_phil Really interesting. Gregโs right as to the reasons we donโt offer our forecast - and Guy has explained this well. We use much the same data as Guy for our processes - and fully capturing the magnitude of larger deviations certainly can be a challenge at times
@g__j @HibbsA @octopus_energy It does reduce lighting consumption a little, more people benefit from 7pm sunlight than 6am. Iโm not aware of any production impact
@Yorkie71@g__j@octopus_energy@agile_phil There were some high prices during the storms at the end of 2016 but, compared with recent history, itโs up there. The blog explains it well, itโs been an v unhelpful confluence of extreme global weather and generation outages.
@Yorkie71@g__j@octopus_energy@agile_phil We do our best to soften the blow (thereโs periods tomorrow where itโll actually cost us >ยฃ1/kWh - thereโs been fist shaking in ๐ towers too!) but weโre happy to cap agile at 35p so your rates donโt go too far out of control.
@Yorkie71@g__j Absolutely. But each day when we publish the following days Agile prices, we fix them for you. If it turns out to be particularly cold or cloudy and market prices move, that's my problem, not yours. It's designed to give you that days warning so you can plan accordingly.
@g__j@Yorkie71 Prices are set 24 hours in advance. Low pricing usually happens when day-ahead forecasts show low customer demand and high renewable generation, leaving an expected surplus. This pricing enables customers to use this surplus, MUCH better than curtailing windfarms to balance