Hey @Kalshi
Myself and many others have a question about the resolution of the Trump mention market that occurred on March 16, 2025 named "What will Trump say during his signing time?"
The market resolved “Yes” for Biden being mentioned, but the only instance appears to be a mumbled / unintelligible word that you might interpret as “Biden.” However, it is not clear. Myself and many others want to know what made this contract resolve to Yes?
The market for the "Biden" contract should of been turned off if that contract was mentioned during the speech.
Your mention market rules say that unclear or unintelligible speech should not count as a mention. If the word wasn’t clearly spoken or understandable, why did this qualify?
https://t.co/etIRHVRaDr
11:39 mark in the video is what you are using to resolve this contract to a "Yes"?
Transparency on resolution standards would really help traders understand how these markets are judged. It seems like a lot of people lost money due to the market being open the whole time, and then you decide after-the-fact to make a decision?
That doesn't seem legal.
@rigatohni I think at the 55:00 mark where he allegedly says "Biden", should not count. The context isn't very clear. He says it at the end off the camera which should also be considered "hot-mic".
Talk about a complete collapse in oil prices:
Oil prices are now BELOW levels seen before the Israel-Iran war began.
Down over -10% from their high of the day, oil prices are painting the true picture:
Today’s Iranian attack was de-escalatory.
Iran's response has begun:
After US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, Iran just attacked US military bases in Qatar and Iraq.
Meanwhile, oil prices just CRASHED over -6% on the news.
Why? Markets are saying EVERYTHING you need to know. Let us explain.
(a thread)
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