Mark Martin

DM Rates PM

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@nope_its_lily Thanks for sharing! Highlights the challenge of being both simultaneously right about a trade’s outcome AND in the right size is incredibly difficult

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@frankoz95967943 @threadreaderapp unroll

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@dampedspring Thank you for another great thread Andy, are there any specific momentum indicators you prefer pls? For instance I like MACD but I know others prefer donchian channel breaks (ie new highs)

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@dampedspring @aRishisays @josephwang @concodanomics @LynAldenContact @threadreaderapp unroll

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@DiMartinoBooth @apolloglobal Interesting perspective! Is it wise to interpret short term rate forwards as point forecasts?…at best they represent the average expectation from a distribution which is often bimodal…also other technical factors such as excess liquidity can distort them?

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@MichaelAArouet @pietphc More euros (read govt deficits, debts and current account deficits) and less everything else (cheap gas, foreign labour, natural resources) …the rate is the equaliser..

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@TaviCosta Aren’t these megacaps also swimming in mountains of cash too tho? And don’t the big fish eat the little ones during downturns and exit recessions more dominant?

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@donnelly_brent Where was spot inflation in 2019? Printing press is kerosine at this juncture.. SVB highlights the importance of confidence in finance…

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@ApresCapital @BobEUnlimited 100% believe that was the case… Kwarteng can’t be blamed for all of this.. look at 5y ASW for evidence

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@MacroAlf If it was a reflection of bond vs swaps relative value 5y asw would not be squeezing insanely rich imv

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@MacroAlf liquidity issue rather than a solvency one atm…margin on swaps (immediate) vs ability to liquidate long bond portfolios rapidly into QT=> vicious circular price spiral

https://t.co/AsodEk2HVQ

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@BurggrabenH @kittysquiddy @Alpen_R $1.5trn apparently...https://t.co/L3ukRl1PKd

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@BurggrabenH @kittysquiddy @Alpen_R Does anyone know the size of collateral being pledged by energy companies pls? Keen to gauge the read across to repo markets in general..Sweden's w/e announcement didn't have much impact so far..

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@GRomePow @BartsQuandry @MacroAlf Why stop at zero?

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@MacroAlf This doesn’t sound 100% bearish.. are such posts allowed on Twitter?!

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@InvestorHyena @elerianm @FT @guardian …if you set the end date of the chart = date when the price last broke the band, you can bet the line was still within the vol bands on the day..
2/2

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@InvestorHyena @elerianm @FT @guardian These are vol bands not trend channels, they look good on charts but change coincidentally with price and widen when you need them most
1/2

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@MacroAlf @L_A_Wood Look at the delta on the options with relevant strike… 50% delta for ATM

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@agurevich23 Top 5 trading book I have read, immediately compelled to read your earlier book TNPT.. great insights and supporting rationale invaluable, will be interesting if the criteria survive should the term premium trend turn but the notion of concurrent necessity seems very robust

[Mark Martin @MSM720162]

@TalkTalk dropping modem connection 7x today, 1hr on the phone to CS who offer me Wi-Fi products & confirm the current connection is fine ahhhhhhhhh!!!