Muhammad Senan Khan

School of Politics and International Relations (QAU), Islamabad
Political Science
Expert Analysis on West Asian Politics

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Qatar, Indonesia, Pakistan and Turkiye sign defence industry cooperation pacts.
#Qatar #Indonesia #Pakistan #Turkiye

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Houthi strike in Shabwa killed 58 recruits (200+ hurt). By wiping out a major pro-gov hub, the Houthis are testing regional red lined putting a direct target back on Red Sea shipping & Saudi infrastructure. The civil war is back. #Yemen #Geopolitics

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Field Marshal #AsimMunir’s Tehran visit following recent #Taftan & Gabd border closures proves Rawalpindi is using border controls as tactical leverage. Stabilizing the shared frontier is the mandatory security baseline before Pakistan can broker wider #USIran deescalation talks.

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

#Pakistan & #Iran have temporarily suspended cross-border movement & trade at key crossings like #Taftan & Gabd-Rimdan due to security concerns & technical issues.
#IranWar #Taftan #Pakistan

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

The #Taliban are using #Europe’s fear of migrants as unexpected geopolitical leverage.
To deport unauthorized migrants, countries like #Germany are bypassing international isolation to negotiate directly with #Kabul-giving the regime new political power over the #West.
#nytimes

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

The #US-#Iran pause is pure asymmetric warfare. #Tehran halted direct attacks to let the Houthis do the heavy lifting. By striking #Saudi infrastructure, Iran bleeds U.S. munitions and strains alliances with zero direct blame. The fight didn't stop,it went proxy.
#Iran #Houthis

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

#Houthi strike on #Riyadh’s airport kills 12, including an #American. With Sec. of State Marco Rubio branding it "reprehensible," the #US is weighing direct military intervention alongside #Saudi forces. Massive regional shift ahead.
#MiddleEastNews

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

#Pakistan and #Turkey are deploying forces to #SaudiArabia under a mutual defense agreement to counter escalating Houthi attacks.The deployment follows heavy #Houthi missile and drone strikes targeting Saudi #Aramco facilities and #Riyadh's airport.

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Trump claims the #Iranwar will end "very soon" to lower oil prices and ease #midterm inflation fears. Yet, a reality gap exists after he rejected Tehran's ceasefire terms. The optimistic rhetoric simply shields his administration from the political fallout of a widening conflict

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Trump offered U.S. weapons to China to balance Taiwan arms sales, per Ambassador David Perdue on Fox News.This flips foreign policy into a pure profit engine, reducing global deterrence to a transactional sales pitch for the military industrial complex.
#Taiwan #US #China #News

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

The accusations on both sides of #DurandLine regarding harbouring of militants shows a new shift in the conflict between the two neighbouring states. Accusing each other does not possess an overarching solution to the prevailing circumstances. Room must be left for diplomacy.

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

An Israeli airstrike hit Khiam in southern Lebanon.Targeting this key frontline hub highlights a tactical effort to disrupt Hezbollah's border logistics and enforce a security buffer amid stalled diplomacy.Expect local escalation to intensify.
#Lebanon #BreakingNews

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Trump rejected Iran’s plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz—and renamed it the "Trump Strait." 🚨With oil spiking past $107/bbl, Trump is betting his blockade forces a fold before the US midterms.
#Iran #Trump #Midterms

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Tensions between #Pakistan and #Afghanistan continues to escalate, as Afghanistan has accused Pakistan of sending militants to Afghanistan to destabilise the country with their training camps being established in #Chitral.
#TTP #Afghanistan #Pakistan

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

The meeting of #CDF Asim Munir with his #KSA and #Turkiye counterparts reflects a shift from symbolic gestures of Makkah Defence Agreement to emplying it practically. Previously, the common perception was that it will never come to practice on ground.

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Iran accepts the Islamabad MoU to lift the blockade and secure sanctions relief. Aligning with Beijing shifts pressure to Washington. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz leverages energy demands for U.S. concessions though disputes over ceasefires and nuclear limits still stall a deal

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

The continues targeting of #KSA by Houthis pose serious threat to regional stability. The denial by #Iran of any involvement can complicate situations for already crippling economy of Iran. Malicious elements in Sistan-Balichistan will not miss chance to fish in troubled waters.

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Iran’s economy contracted by 10.1% in Q1 following heavy conflict disruptions. Data shows a massive 26.4% collapse in energy activity, while average inflation soared to 69.9% and the rial weakened past 2.2 million per USD. Only agriculture showed minor growth (+2.3%).
#IranWar‌

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

The Iran signalling of the opening of the strait of Hormuz reflects its willingness to save economy from destruction. The US need to build a level of trust with Iran and grant them some concessions by removing naval blockade. This will help in restoring trust as Iran is skeptic.

[Muhammad Senan Khan @MSenanKhan]

Going back to diplomacy ia good step, but with so many actors in the conflict. It is very difficult for diplomacy to take its course. Iranian backed proxies like Houthis would be very difficult to restrained from attacking keeping the situation volatile in the region.

[Al Arabiya English @AlArabiya_Eng]

🔴 Iran has offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US takes initial steps toward easing military pressure, a senior Iranian government official tells Japan’s Kyodo News

🔴 “There is a possibility of moving toward an agreement,” the official says, adding that the US must demonstrate “seriousness and commitment” if diplomacy is to advance

🔴 The official has ruled out a meeting between Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and US President Donald Trump on the sidelines of the UNGA