This is concerning:
The US unemployment rate has risen for 4 consecutive months, the longest streak since the 2008 Financial Crisis.
Over the last 75 years, every time unemployment rose for 4 consecutive months, the US economy entered recession.
The jobless rate has surged from 3.8% in March to 4.3% in July, its highest level since October 2021.
Meanwhile, the US hires rate declined to 3.4% in July, its lowest level since the 2020 Pandemic and below the pre-pandemic average of 3.8%.
The US labor market is contracting.
Claudia_Sahm, inventor of the rule, has said she doesn't think the current measure is indicating a recession yet:
"The Sahm rule is likely overstating the labor market's weakening due to unusual shifts in labor supply caused by the pandemic and immigration." via @Ritholtz
$LUMBER is proxy for residential housing market aka "Risk On". $GOLD is proxy for "Risk Off". The bottoms of the Ratio $LUMBER:$GOLD is historically a leading indicator for a severe stock market correction. I am watching this indicator closely for a breakdown to go to cash
US employment data will be released Friday, June 7. Some leading indicators suggest strength in the labor market, but not all. Most worrying, small business owners are reporting decreased hiring plans.
$RSR - Reserve Rights Protocol <- 100-1000X gem 💎
Elliottwave analysis
I: 5-wave impulse
II: sharp corrective ABC wave ending with falling wedge. C-wave is a 5-wave with extended 3.
III: next up, momentum impulse bleaching current ATH
Invalidation: drop below 0-line