Macro Hive

Independent, unfiltered macro insights from the guys who inform leading global financial institutions I Free weekly investment newsletter:

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

📢In collaboration with @LMAX Group, our latest report is out now!

Millisecond Reactions to Market Shocks:
From Order Flow to Cross-Asset Opportunity

Read full report here: https://t.co/PZJenQHHuz

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In collaboration with @SGXGroup, our latest Listed FX Options Tracker is out now!

Read full article here: https://t.co/KwP7RdkMCq

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

Bilal Hafeez's (@bilalhafeez123) quote in Bloomberg (@business) today!

“The market got too optimistic yesterday, but today the general investor community is realizing that the effective tariff rate is still too high. My playbook is to sell any rally.”

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest Bloomberg (@business) TV interview, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) gives his take on the emerging new markets regime, safe havens, tariffs, Fed cuts in 2025, and more!

Watch full interview here: https://t.co/hhDBwoJTha

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

📢In his latest article, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) outlines a 13-point guide to Trump’s New World Order!

Discover his full guide here: https://t.co/zBpGJDGNTz

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

Called it!💵

Yet again, Macro Hive was ahead of the curve in our #dollar view: https://t.co/lg6Q8Qrmwz

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest podcast, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) talks to Andrew Polk (@andrewpolk81) about China’s bet on tech supremacy!

Listen here:
🐝The Hive: https://t.co/DUZkqeCsDC
🎧Apple: https://t.co/p0D6JYHmS1
📽YouTube: https://t.co/aY5uzwoRe2

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest #AI Reflections, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) and his team investigate which LLM performs best!

Is fine-tuning the answer?

Discover his full blog here: https://t.co/HXWJ2lJBuk

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

The Week Ahead: Are We Past Peak Policy Uncertainty?

In this episode, Andrew Simon (@Asimoan28) and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut (@firstkicktires) discuss the Fed’s outlook, stagflation, 2yr yield drivers, reciprocal tariff expectations, and more!

Watch here: https://t.co/RWVk8j7CkB

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest podcast, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) talks to Gary Gerstle (@glgerstle) about Decoding Trump: Power & Chaos (Live at Cambridge University)!

Listen here:
🐝The Hive: https://t.co/TVlr2IQV01
🎧Apple: https://t.co/cCnfwWIkw6

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest podcast, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) talks to Thanos Papasavvas (@PapasavvasT) about
Trump’s (unsurprising) geopolitical shock!

Listen here:
🐝The Hive: https://t.co/q0bdBSGlwY
🎧Apple: https://t.co/4GX8BR7x5A
📽YouTube: https://t.co/uAq5nyqeTe

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

The Week Ahead: Another Policy Pirouette?

In this episode, @HenryOccleston and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut (@firstkicktires) discuss the latest in US and European markets!

Watch here: https://t.co/y9WcHWBrOg

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In collaboration with @SGXGroup, our latest Listed FX Options Tracker is out now!

Read full article here: https://t.co/ZNJjOQ33iY

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest podcast, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) talks to Thanos Papasavvas (@PapasavvasT) about Trump’s (unsurprising) geopolitical shock!

Listen here:
🐝The Hive: https://t.co/q0bdBSGlwY
🎧Apple: https://t.co/4GX8BR7x5A
📽YouTube: https://t.co/uAq5nyqeTe

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

China will fail to end deflation, despite the #NPC's big headlines!

Our #China economist Dr. Liang Ding finds three reasons:

1). The fiscal impulse is weaker than headline borrowing suggests

2). The spending plan is unambitious

3). Achieving the plan is uncertain

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

The era of German #fiscal prudence is over!

Our #Europe economist @HenryOccleston breaks down the spending splurge:

-€500bn infrastructure spend (over a decade), alongside:

-intentions to amend the debt brake to allow:

-1% debt spend on defence (c.€50bn pa).

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

Hopped on the short #USD train yet?

#FX Researcher Benjamin Ford argues:

-Expect euro-area growth expectations to pick up, just as US growth expectations are revised down
-Euro is re-aligning with rate differentials, suggesting the FX move is supported by fundamentals

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

The new #Trump trades are here!

Our senior US economist Dominique Dwor-Frecaut highlights the market consequences of #Trumponomics:

-Higher real yields
-Ending US equity markets outperformance
-Weaker USD through greater international diversification of US portfolio holdings

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest podcast, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) talks to Randy Schwimmer about why private credit is performing!

Listen here:
🐝The Hive: https://t.co/ukudF4KCSr
🎧Apple: https://t.co/jFyr90nG9N
📽YouTube: https://t.co/cpDsdC4bw6

[Macro Hive @Macro_Hive]

In his latest #AI Reflections, Bilal Hafeez (@bilalhafeez123) reviews 8 cool new AI papers from anxious LLMs to fake news detection!

Discover his full blog here: https://t.co/Cu1YaIQSQr