Taylor Mann

Christian + Dad + Lawyer. Philippians 2:5-11.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

Coded every political party across all elections in advanced countries since 1868. Here are a few charts: 1) Vote shares across nine party families, average distribution.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

For anyone looking to get lost in an adventure over the summer, I highly recommend Candice Millard's The River of Doubt—Roosevelt’s story of exploring an unknown Amazonian river. I'm about halfway finished and I can't put it down.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@david_perell Was obsessed with this topic several years ago and I think you’re right: Globalization (mass standardization) is the likely culprit. For those interested, I thought this article did a great job of fleshing out its causes and illuminating its effects: https://t.co/seLM1UYD4b

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@KlendathuCap Read it and really enjoyed it. Believe it was a @TonyNashNerd recommendation.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@cablecarcapital Congrats bud—beautiful!

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@patrick_oshag Iris Scott—the world's greatest finger painter.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@JDVance1 Congrats J.D. — go kick some ass! Sending support from Texas.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

Applied Jesse Livermore's (@Jesse_Livermore) Average Equity Allocation concept to 15 other advanced countries (1870-2016). Results are preliminary, but thus far the correlation between equity share of investable assets and future returns are tight across time/countries.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

And so it begins.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

Expect this ~50-year downtrend to reverse in the coming years: congressional hearings regarding either labor or antitrust since 1947.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

11.1) Labor Strikes Back. This is the average strike index for all countries, would expect this trend to reverse in decades to come.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

Coded every political party across all elections in advanced countries since 1868. Here are a few charts: 1) Vote shares across nine party families, average distribution.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

11) Average position of majority parties/coalitions for all developed countries. Per this chart, we're exactly where we were a century-ago. Would expect to see tide to shift towards pro-labor from here.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

Never in American history has technology displaced so few and scared so many. See chart: rate of occupational change (job churn) by decade, 1850 to 2015.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@gcallonico Would if I could, Guillaume. Regrettably never did a full write-up on this, just summarized my findings for a few folks. Happy to send sources/data, feel free to DM.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

The Global Populism Index is complete - covers ~1,000 elections across ~30 countries (ideological break-down below). Three good bets: (1) populist vote share will remain high; (2) left-wing version likely to take share from right; and (3) we'll stop calling everyone 'populist'.

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

Prof. Mark Blyth and I teamed up w/ an AI firm to build a model that predicts when/why economic regimes break down and see what effects this has on politics. Would love to present findings at SXSW next year, but need your vote to make it happen. Thank you! https://t.co/iomPVKBhDd

[Taylor Mann @Mann_Major]

@OrigenOfSpices It's not, used a variety of different sources (e.g., CHES) as the spatial mapping w/ platforms (CMP) requires a lot of work in terms of proper scaling; below is the same chart w/ (most) post-1945 parties mapped via platforms.