Mario Jemic

Accredited investor, Developer
Ukraine Defense Data 100% bonus @ Avatrade

[Mario Jemic @MarioJemic]

I don't know if there's a PolyMarket for this, but my model gives this date as the collapse of Russian defenses.

**Modeled Sustainment Break**
Nov 15, 2026

Composite date based on the three earliest modeled heavy-system depletion points: artillery + anti-air + tanks.

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

🤔 Crimea. Russians are installing frames on fuel tankers to cover them with tarps and disguise them as regular trucks.

[Inge 🇱🇻🇬🇧🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 @menywddig]

Лучший мем, на мой взгляд. 😂👍

[ꑭOstap Vyshnya 🇺🇦 @VyshnyaOstap]

Crimea. Situation.

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

👀👀👀

[IgorGirkin @GirkinGirkin]

Good morning Vietnam

📍 Sevastopol

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

❗️Ben Hodges: Russia only changes after defeat. Until Russia is defeated, crushed on the battlefield, I don't see it changing.

Because there are too many people at the top that are happy or invested in the status quo.

They're incredibly wealthy through corruption. They don't invest a lot in making life better for average Russian.

They certainly don't give a damn about their soldiers. So, I don't see Russia changing until they are defeated.

[Kyle Glen @KyleJGlen]

Russian milblogger reports a catastrophic situation in Crimea

- No electricity

- No water

- No fuel

It's not even cracks showing anymore, it's collapsing.

[EMPR.media @EuromaidanPR]

#BREAKING: Crimea has completely suspended fuel sales to the public.

Gas stations are now supplying fuel exclusively to emergency services and government vehicles.

[Slava 🇺🇦 @Heroiam_Slava]

As a result of strikes on the railway bridges in the temporarily occupied Crimea, trains now only run as far as Kerch.

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Forced mobilization in Russia's city of Penza continues to ramp up, as men are grabbed off the streets at random, carted to whst is described as a "torture camp" and forced to sign military contracts.

Here women try to save their Russian that's about to be shipped off to Ukraine

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Russia's economic situation continues to spiral as shopping centers and markets are abandoned.

A woman in Krasnodar hesitantly gives a tour of the once bustling Fishniki Market that over the past year has been mostly shuttered.

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

Russian logistics 💥👀

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Zelensky tells the Belarusian dictator that he has one week to remove the missile guidance systems that he allows Russia to use for targeting Ukrainian cities or "we will remove them ourselves".

[WW3finalboss @WW3finalboss]

🇫🇷🇺🇦🇷🇺 BARROT: PUTIN HAS ALREADY LOST THE WAR HE EXPECTED TO WIN IN THREE DAYS

“Putin has already lost the war. He wanted to defeat Ukraine in three days, yet here we are four years later.

Russia is failing on the battlefield and losing 35,000 men every month. Ukraine is winning the drone war.

Just look at the spectacular attack carried out by Ukrainian drones on Moscow.” - Jean-Noël Barrot 🇫🇷

Russia’s promised lightning victory became a grinding strategic failure, while Ukraine continues adapting faster and carrying the war back to the infrastructure sustaining the invasion.

[Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en]

Russian Z-propagandist Karnaukhov:

"People often ask me, 'So, what's next?'. Well, I'll tell you what's next. They are going to finish us off.

Yes, a war is being prepared."

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

💥 Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil depots have disrupted major contracts and caused the loss of hundreds of tons of gasoline. Gazprom shares have also plummeted to their lowest level since 2008.

[WW3finalboss @WW3finalboss]

🇷🇺🇺🇦 A RARE VOICE OF TRUTH IN RUSSIA

“I can’t stay silent. I don’t care what happens to me. I have nothing to lose, and that’s a shame.

Over the past five years, everything I built has collapsed, and screw this business anyway.

And how many people have died, how many women have lost their loved ones, how many children have been left without fathers?

I had a flower shop in the center of Moscow, and I saw these maimed people coming in for carnations.

Stop it all, please! If the ocean begins with a drop, then I will be that drop.”

Her courage deserves recognition. But the truth is still incomplete without naming the millions of Ukrainian victims and the state that launched this war: Russia.

[EUvsDisinfo @EUvsDisinfo]

Hundreds of vessels have become part of an illegal maritime ecosystem, called Russian Shadow Fleet, designed to reduce the impact of sanctions on Russian energy exports.

By using aging tankers and opaque ownership structures, Moscow is sustaining oil exports while increasing environmental and security risks.

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Summary of the day..

[(((Tendar))) @Tendar]

The now famous explosion of the roof-tossing oil silo in Moscow, Russia, was probably caused by a Russian air defense missile.

Absolutely hilarious.