Goran Bash

Freelance TRADER, In Markets since 2010 - Finance & Economics, Market Analyst #STOCKS #BONDS #METALS #CURRECNIES #CRYPTO.

[Ashraf Laidi @alaidi]

مع ارتفاع عائدات السندات الحكومية الفرنسية لتتجاوز نظيرتها الألمانية، يتدهور وضع الدين السيادي الفرنسي، مما قد يؤدي إلى مزيد من الانخفاض في قيمة اليورو.

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

CoreWeave dollar-denominated bonds slump; June 2030 maturity drops 2.2 cents on the dollar to trade at 83.1 cents, October 2031 maturity drops 2.3 cents to trade at 79.46 cents - Tradeweb data $CRWV

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

#GOLD rejection at 4,200 again.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

And there it is

*SOUTH KOREA'S KOSPI SINKS 8%, TRIGGERING CIRCUIT BREAKER

[Elliott Wave International @elliottwaveintl]

Copper is often called “Dr. Copper” because of its broad exposure to economic activity.

Now look at the sentiment.

Market Vane's bullish consensus reached 90, a nine-year extreme.

Large speculators were the most bullish they've been in 23 years.

When virtually everyone is positioned for continued strength, what happens if copper stops cooperating.

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[Liz Ann Sonders @LizAnnSonders]

3-month annualized change in September core CPI #inflation jumped to +3.41% vs. +1.97% prior

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

Of note this early morning: the yield on 10-year US government bonds has fallen sharply, trading just below 5.10%.
#economy #markets #bonds #yields

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Gold is holding above $4,000 support as the weekly triangle tightens. Descending resistance continues to cap rallies, and the next move beyond this narrowing range could set the tone for the broader trend.

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

Good morning.
As reported below by the WSJ, the US budget deficit climbed to nearly $2 trillion ($1.993 trillion) for the fiscal year ending September 30.
What remains historically notable is that the US has continued to run a deficit of around 6% of GDP despite solid economic growth and a robust labor market.
#economy #markets @WSJ

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

GOLD ADVANCES AS PROSPECTS OF STRONGER CHINESE DEMAND SUPPORT PRICES- WSJ

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

European government bond yields continue their upward march this morning.
#economy #bonds #markets #europe

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

THE MINUTES SHOW ALMOST ALL PARTICIPANTS SAW INFLATION RISKS TILTED TO THE UPSIDE AND JOB MARKET RISKS AS BROADLY BALANCED, WITH SOME SEEING THOSE INFLATION RISKS BECOMING MORE SKEWED IN RECENT MONTHS AND SOME NOTING THE AI BUILDOUT COULD CAUSE AGGREGATE DEMAND TO OUTPACE SUPPLY OVER THE MEDIUM TERM, PUTTING UPWARD PRESSURE ON INFLATION.

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

🔴 Fed: Most participants saw another 2026 hike likely appropriate

[John Kicklighter @JohnKicklighter]

The probability of a follow up rate hike by the Fed at its Oct 28th meeting has dropped to just under 20 percent.

The NY Fed's inflation expectations update hasn't moved the needle like NFPs. We have September CPI next Wednesday

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

10Y auction high yield 5.300%, WI 5.317%, 1.7bps stop through, highest since April '25 and 5th stop through in a row

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Gold remains inside a descending channel after rejecting upper resistance, keeping the outlook cautious with $4,000 support in focus. Gold might be preparing for the final drop before the next strong surge.

[Ashraf Laidi @alaidi]

#Nasdaq100 vs $SPY vs #Dowjones30 $QQQ $SPX
How high is "now it's different"?

[Lukas Ekwueme @ekwufinance]

Gold ETF holdings are surging like gold is still trading at $5,400...

Meanwhile, gold itself is at just ~$4,100.

Central bank gold buying is accelerating.

Chinese gold imports are at record highs.

So is selling gold?

[Michael Boutros @MBForex]

US Dollar Technical Forecast: DXY 4% Rally Stalls at Pivotal Resistance
https://t.co/lzCiQ6ubV0

#DXY Weekly Chart

[Lisa Abramowicz @lisaabramowicz1]

Not a great day for the US Treasury to auction $39 billion of 10-year bonds, and yet here we are. It has become the big risk event of the day.