@ethanrkho@huaxying@impliedinsights Even more accurate your facking stupid if you start learning how to code
Didnโt write manually a single line of code after 10+ years of doing it
Every AI beat got sold on capex this week. The Nasdaq lost 25,000. Oil touched 100.
None of it changed my allocation. The system rebalanced itself.
Backtested 2015 to 2026: 94% CAGR, 0.13 correlation. Now live.
Track record: https://t.co/d4PvKGUdXx
The rotation trade.
Dow closed the week at 51,947, green. Nasdaq closed 24,975, red.
Money left AI capex and bought value.
My read: Dow beats the Nasdaq again into the Fed.
Invalidation: Nasdaq beats Dow by 1.5% on the weekly close.
A thesis, not advice.
Next week, the setup:
FOMC Wednesday, 2pm ET. The rate has sat at 3.50 to 3.75% since December. No new projections.
$AAPL reports Thursday.
The Fed lands into an oil shock: Brent touched 100, first in two months, then faded to 96.78.
Two catalysts, one week.
$SPX closed the week at 7,411.98.
The Fed lands Wednesday. My read: it holds 7,300 into the decision, capped under 7,550 until the print clears.
Invalidation: a close below 7,300.
Capex purge is the downside. The Dow bid is the floor.
A thesis, not advice.
A beat is not a catalyst.
A beat is a fact. What the crowd does with it is the catalyst.
$INTC grew revenue 25% and guided up.
It still closed Friday at 92.32, down 8%.
The number was good. The reaction was the trade.
Position sizing beats prediction.
22 wins, 36 losses. One more:
Two weeks back I said $TSLA holds under 400 into the print. 355 in play.
It closed 374, fell 15% the next day. Worst since March 2025. Down 29% on the year.
Record deliveries. 1.4% margin. Margin won.
My read, not advice.
The market beat the beats this week.
$GOOGL, $TSLA, $INTC all topped estimates.
All three sold off.
The word that did the damage every time: capex.
The Nasdaq closed the week under 25,000. The Dow closed green.
The tape stopped paying for AI spend.
$SPCX is setting up for what could become one of the biggest secular bull trends weโve ever seen.
The real opportunity isnโt rockets. Itโs recurring cash flow.
The moment SpaceX offers a single global eSIM that works anywhere on Earth, they could potentially monetize billions of users through a monthly subscription.