@LizAnnSonders Quits rate ticking up while hires accelerate. That's the sweet spot — people confident enough to job-hunt but employers still hungry for talent. Means wage pressure stays live and the Fed's got room to stay patient on cuts.
@Marcomadness2 To give an indication on how accurate the Conference Board stat is, I lag CPI so it matches up -- for example, the 3/26 stat is actual for CPI and was the 3/25 year forward estimate for Conference Board -- over the past 30 years, CPI has averaged 2.5%, estimate has averaged 5.1%
@dailychartbook@MacroCharts CNN Fear & Greed at full blown capitulation -- hit 8 yesterday. Since 2019, when index broke below 20, next three months was up an average of 9%, with an 86% batting average.