5 YEAR MONEY COMING DUE
There is a lot of talk about 5 year debt coming due by folks like @jam_croissant
Loans taken out 5 years ago, during QE and Covid era stimulus checks, must be paid back soon.
Debt isn't really ever paid back. It's refinanced.
Debt is used to finance assets.
Debt isn't a problem if asset values increase.
And they certainly have increased over the last 5 years...
Systems can handle gradual shifts. Sudden shocks to system don't let debt holders refinance well.
Not only is there a need for stable prices in goods and wages so consumers and businesses can plan, there is a need for stable pricing in interest rates and asset prices.
Still, the $10 Tn+ loss in asset value - combined with increased long-term interest rates - is a kind of self-inflicted economic harm to the economy that is hard to find comparable analogs in economic history.
There's no other way to put it.
And, the story yesterday about Bessent and Lutnick getting a 90-day tariff exemption when Navarro was presumably taking a pee break reminds me of my kids running to Mom or Dad to get what they want.
Big picture... This does not inspire market confidence.
Institutions will look at this and hold back. Institutions set prices.
I also expect international value can continue to do well with dollar weakness (which also wasn't supposed to happen).
Sold a company for $200M+
Graduated 1st in college
Won a national title in debate
Am I bottling confidence?
Nope.
I'm *incredibly* insecure.
Just like a lot of you (and your teams).
Here's the framework I use to turn that insecurity into fuel.
It's called SCOREBOARD ๐งต
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@mdgarratt speaks with @thriveglobal on investing strategy, enterprise tech and his blueprint for success https://t.co/LvViRyUVMM
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Tonight I will mostly be drinking this with her ladyship, @GemaSewAndSew. Grateful for so many things. Friends - I wish you all health and protection and toast you all. May we toast together when this is over. #MuchLove
@AmazonUK weโve got older relatives that are now self-isolating for their protection against COVID-19. We canโt visit directly but looking to keep in touch. Any chance we can get the 2 Echo Show offer sent to different addresses?
The growth we've seen in enterprise software in Europe & @SalesforceVC over the last few years has been amazing. Lot's of cross pollination between US and Europe as well. Congrats to the EMEA team @alexkayyal@JulieKainz @martinafshari @MartinAMehr
Today, @SalesforceVC announces a new $125M Europe Trailblazer Fund to continue to empower European entrepreneurs building startups in the Salesforce ecosystem. Learn more: https://t.co/QvNNr9F2w1
Our Partner and Head of Europe @alexkayyal alongside @NikkiMcClaff, @jefielding, and @LNizri will be discussing how investors support startups beyond just funding at #VivaTech tomorrow, 16 May. Join us! https://t.co/Mehp8O5Sa6
As the European SaaS market continues to mature, European Head & Partner @alexkayyal shares his insights on the market and what we learned as the most active CVC in Europe in 2018 https://t.co/DMmN0OLcaN
@salesforceVC launched their new $50M Australia Trailblazer Fund to empower Australian entrepreneurs building startups in the Salesforce ecosystem. Learn more: https://t.co/ESC129s8Ry
Weโre excited to welcome @GoCardless and @hirokitakeuchi to the #SalesforceVenturesOhana. Weโre looking forward to partnering with you as you transform cash collection for businesses with recurring revenue.