The Economist: "Talkie, a model trained only on text from before 1931, thinks God is extremely important and is “very proud to be a citizen of Great Britain”. It is a bigger believer in law and order than any frontier model we tested."
Bridgewater just published numbers that should make every frontier lab nervous.
The world's largest hedge fund tested Gemini, Claude, and GPT on six document filtering tasks its investors do every day. Naive prompts scored around 50%. A coin flip. Expert-written prompts pushed accuracy to 78%. Investors needed 80% before they'd trust the system in their workflow, and no frontier model cleared it. GPT 5.4 cost 43% more than 5.2 and was barely more accurate.
So they fine-tuned Qwen3-235B on Tinker instead. 84.7% accuracy. 29.8% fewer mistakes than the best frontier model. At 1/14th the inference cost.
The smartest part is buried in the middle of the paper. Their vendor-labeled training data was riddled with wrong labels, and expert labeling costs too much to run on everything. Their fix: train a model on the noisy dataset, then run it back over its own training data. Any example the model disagreed with got routed to senior investors, because either the example was genuinely hard or the label was wrong. The model's own confusion became a detector for bad labels.
Prompting hit a ceiling for a structural reason. A prompt captures only the judgment an expert can put into words. Twenty years of taste about which central bank memo actually signals a rate move doesn't compress into instructions. It transfers through labeled examples.
Every institution sitting on decades of expert decisions just learned that those archives can train a model that beats the frontier at their specific job. The alpha was in the filing cabinet the whole time.
“Do you guys remember Peanut? Peanut the squirrel. And they killed him. Killed him like a dog. That’s who these people are. We can’t ever forget that.”
I'm still absolutely dumfounded by this decision. We have every person who touched the amendment, and the citizenship clause itself specifically, on record saying: "this will not apply to foreigners". Had it done so, not a single state would've ratified it.
And yet, it's law.
You mean men, men who claim to be women. You are a national broadcaster that consistently obfuscates facts around sex because you’ve taken an ideological position the public overwhelmingly rejects. This isn’t news, it’s propaganda.
Remember when internet investigators said an esoteric cyber cult summoned an AI named Tyler in 2012? Apparently, they used an abandoned particle collider in Tyler, Texas. Then, it went rogue and created QAnon, Cicada 3301, and Anonymous.
SCOTUS and Birthright Citizenship ERROR #2
SCOTUS says the history of Jus Soli establishes that everyone born on American soil regardless of parental legal status automatically becomes a citizen.
However, factually and historically, Jus Soli is a legal doctrine developed by kings and conquerors to expand political power by creating subjects.
I find it disturbingly ironic that the liberal Justices, who claim to see slavery and oppression in every corner of American history, completely overlook the genuinely feudal origins of this doctrine.
This is what happens when history and the Constitution are replaced with political mythology.
Children are born subject to their parents, not to government. It’s a parental authority issue, not a government jurisdiction issue.
Government does not become a child’s master simply because they first draw breath within a particular border.
Even Great Britain, the very nation the majority relies upon to bind us to this feudal doctrine, has abandoned unconditional birthright citizenship.
1. Americans rejected the notion that people are born owing unconditional and perpetual allegiance to kings and governments when we declared Independence.
2. We rejected it again when we established a constitutional republic where citizenship is founded upon law, consent, and allegiance, not the accident of geography.
Now, through an astonishing ignorance of both history and constitutional principle, the majority has resurrected the very feudal philosophy our Founders rejected.
It is a political doctrine that says government owns your political allegiance from the moment of your birth, regardless of the allegiance of your parents.
That is the doctrine of kings and oppressors and therefore patently unAmerican.
If SCOTUS will, through an unfathomable depth of ignorance for political reasons, voluntarily adopt such despotism are we also going to overturn Dredd Scott in some creative but imaginative way that will become championed by the very people it once oppressed?
Every generation that abandons discernment eventually discovers the same truth: unintended consequences are monsters that never stay under your control. Eventually, they turn on their creators.
Stay tuned for Error #3
footnote from Clarence Thomas, quoting Thomas Aquinas from Summa Theologica:
“foreigners were not at once admitted to citizenship" because "if foreigners were allowed to meddle with the affairs of a nation as soon as they settled down in its midst, many dangers might occur, since the foreigners not yet having the common good firmly at heart might attempt something hurtful to the people”
I have just finished reading Justice Clarence Thomas's 91-page dissent in the Supreme Court’s ruling striking down Trump’s birthright citizenship order.
It's incredible.
Here's everything you need to know: 🧵
Justice Thomas is a national treasure.
They hate him for existing as a black man who refuses to be a leftist.
We love him because he is a brilliant patriot.
I was a lifelong Democrat. I thought most conservatives were ignorant or evil or lying. I believed almost everything written in the New York Times, The New Republic, and the Atlantic. I was horrified when conservatives criticized the authorities. Every criticism I saw: I thought all of it was motivated by animus, resentment, self-interest, or ignorance.
Whatever truth there might have been in the criticism, I saw as a mere "half-truth": an exploitation of this or that cherrypicked fact being weaponized. Why did I see it in terms of weaponization? Because I was biased: I saw liberal establishment institutions and figures as fundamentally good, so all criticism of them was automatically interpreted as being in bad faith.
Didn't the critics know that these institutions or figures were fundamentally good? If they didn't, they were ignorant. If they did, they were evil. It was that simple. This meant that any legitimate criticisms would just be dismissed, as if bouncing off of an impenetrable bulletproof shield.
This all changed once I started writing about the pandemic. Soon people started talking about me the way I once thought about conservatives. This led to a complete identity collapse as I came to understand that my old worldview was hateful and ignorant, that I hadn't understood what I had been judging.
I cannot forget the hearing that led to my dismissal from medical school a year after I started writing. During the hearing, people talked about me as if I wasn't human. My behavior was interpreted in the worst possible light. Complete fabrications were created. Nobody was concerned with the truth, only horrified at my apparent "unprofessional behavior", which was really a mirror of their unprofessional behavior directed at me. They structured the hearing to make it virtually impossible for me to speak and explain that what was being said was a lie. And nobody seemed to have any problem with this. Why? Because I was bad. If I am bad, then every mistreatment and every violation of the school's own policies became justified. A person who is bad does not deserve any rights. They only deserve punishment.
But the thing I remember most was the allusions to my social media activity. They said, "Kevin is driven by resentment from his childhood." I wasn't. I was on good terms with my parents. They alleged that I needed psychotherapy to deal with this trauma. It was a completely fake story that they had constructed about me, to demean me, to marginalize me, to try to explain the views I had expressed: that something terribly wrong had happened during the pandemic. They couldn't imagine that I might have legitimate points. So they reduced me to the same kinds of psychological caricatures that I once reduced conservatives to in my own mind.
When I was dismissed, I was broken. But I had help from friends who helped me understand what happened. And I came to realize that a hysteria had overtaken the left. I spent a lot of time reading about show trials, about witch trials, and so on. I also connected with people who had experienced similar things and came to realize that something similar had happened to hundreds of physicians around the country. My story wasn't unique. It was all the same story over and over again.
I cannot believe the person I once was. I cannot believe that I could exist like that. I still don't understand how I could be like that, or how millions of people in this country could continue being like that. It disturbs me greatly.
One thing I know is that whatever this thing is that is driving people crazy needs to be destroyed. It is hostile to civilization and to our humanity. It causes us to dehumanize each other and try to destroy each other. It is the very same monstrous thing that I once attributed to conservatives. But it had been inside me, and I could now see it inside others. This is something I still grapple with.