Matt Lattman

Marketer. Marathoner. Mets Fan (#LGM).

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@HiltonHonors 8634?

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

.@AGoldmund This would be an epic week for a Yes, Yes, No or 7…

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

Don’t worry, @RolenTLe and @stevie_dmv - I’m watching GA. I expect it to tighten up as most of the outstanding vote is big city. But I’m eyeballing until I have a chance to run the models…

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

Selfishly want free wine when the marathon sale opens at 9AM PT. You get $10 too! https://t.co/5ZWaFb1L0t

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

Hey @united, found an edge case on your app/ web site that just doesn’t work. Tried emailing you all and got a form response. What next?

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

If @karaswisher and @profgalloway did a Mystery Business Theater 3000, I’d watch... #Pivot

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@JustinWolfers You probably don’t have to yell at students about not having their name placards either...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@rachelbg First ever Woody Guthrie / JLo mashup.

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

DeKalb has dropped. Not much of a change but I still see a high end of 15-20k pickup for each dem candidate in the outstanding votes. Good turnout in DeKalb probably just gave Ossoff a win but that race is going to runoff...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

Things aren’t moving much. Ranges still where they were an hour ago. Dems gained 5,000 in the latest. I’d call Warnock but not calling Perdue or Ossoff...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

The DeKalb votes will tell us a lot. Right now I’m projecting about 25k for Warnock and 7500 for Purdue. But again a bigger turnout changes things...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

My initial projection is Warnock by about 20,000-30,000 votes. It’s going to be under 10k votes between Perdue and Ossoff but I’m not ready to predict. Don’t have enough data on turnout...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

Of completed counties, Trump won the generals by 400k votes. Not perfect math but I think there are fewer and fewer big GOP drops left. Dems still have DeKalb.

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

I also compared counties reported vs 2020 general. Most counties at 75-95% of those totals. Cobb, DeKalb, and Gwinnett all around 30%.

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@stevie_dmv I was building out my math bro.

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

75 counties have completed counts as per GA website. Trump won those counties 2-1 in Nov. Hard to see what’s happening in the larger counties as we just don’t know where the votes are coming from...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@StevenACohen2 I'm really intrigued by Matt Wisler - he started using his slider more in 2019 and by 2020 was using it 80% of the time. That led to a lot more missed bats (and yes, more walks, but his control was still pretty good).

I'd bet on 2020 as a transition rather than an aberration.

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@faderp @DoorDash @d_mccar Would also be interesting to consider scenarios for decay curve shifts (heterogeneous of course) starting when Chase Sapphire Reserve customers lose free DashPass...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@RolenTLe I bet it was @malcolmacs.

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

@stevie_dmv I’d like to see someone do this at a state level though...

[Matt Lattman @MattLatt]

I’ve been reading a lot about the polls and how they were off again. A long time ago, @Gallup demonstrated better performance in polls when people were asked who they thought would win.