The chart below shows the probabilities for different levels of target rates by the end of 2026. Rate cut expectations are being priced out of the market. The market is now pricing in a 43% for no cut (up from 24% yesterday). Probabilities have gone from 2-3 cuts to a near coin toss for 1 cut.
The chart below shows the probabilities for different levels of target rates by the end of 2026. Rate cut expectations are being priced out of the market. The market is now pricing in a 43% for no cut (up from 24% yesterday). Probabilities have gone from 2-3 cuts to a near coin toss for 1 cut.
Todayโs Truth Social. The market has taken out probabilities for rate cuts this year. And in response Trump pushes for an emergency response from the Feds (to not even wait 6 days till the next meeting).
Always trying to influence markets.