I love that I’m only seeing tweets about “ $HYPE can go so much higher, look at what $SOL did last cycle” *after* it already made new ATHs
people were calling me a countertrade indicator months ago when I said hype would make new ATHs in the first place; now everyone’s in agreement that HYPE is severely mispriced
funny how that works…
traders love to get too high in the clouds when times are great, and forget how to dream as soon as the market turns sour for even just a few months
this will always be true.
mastering momentum is the easiest way to consistently build wealth in trading
remember how to dream in the infancy of new trending regimes, then cash in on the extension of that rally as your peers pile in with fomo to drive price further away from your entry
allow yourself to target infinity whilst(!) remaining rational. understand that you must scale OUT in order to benefit from the move
it sounds incredibly simple; yet most can’t execute it
and execution is what matters.
This is it.
Everything learned spending millions on longevity.
From: Your Immortal Unc and Auntie.
To: Our Immortal nieces and nephews.
0. Sleep is the world's most powerful drug.
1. Be in your bed for 8 hours
2. Same bedtime every night, any time before midnight
3. Don’t eat right before bed
4. Calm foods for dinner
5. No screens 1 hour before bed
6. Avoid added sugar (be aware it’s in everything)
7. Avoid all things in an American convenience store
8. Avoid fried foods
9. Shoes off at the door
10. Eat whole foods, particularly veggies fruits nuts legumes berries
11. Walk a little after meals or air squats
12. Get your heart rate high routinely
13. Lift heavy things
14. Stretch daily
15. Water pik, floss, brush, tongue scrape, morning and night
16. Make an effort to drink water
17. Get sunlight when you wake up (UV is low)
18. Protect skin in midday sun
19. Stand up straight
20. See at least one friend once a week
21. Avoid plastic where you can (in all things)
22. Circulate air in rooms
23. When stressed, breathe, learn to calm your body
24. Go to the dentist
25. Avoid sitting for long times
26. Protect your hearing, the world is too loud
27. Alcohol is bad for you
28. Finish coffee before noon
29. Avoid bright lights after sunset
30. If obese, look into a GLP
31. Sleep in a cold room
32. Texting while driving is dangerous
33. Turn off all notifications
34. Limit social media use
35. Don’t smoke anything
36. If you struggle to sleep, read a physical book before bed
37. 1 hour before bed have a calm wind down routine: bath, read, light walk, listen to music
38. The body is a clock and loves routine. Have a daily morning and evening schedule.
39. Avoid long distance travel where you can
40. Baby steps first: incorporate new things slowly
41. Do less… most things don’t work.
Bonus points if you get your blood checked.
Start here, it will change your life.
If you make money in crypto my sage unc advice is:
1) first withdrawal should give you POST TAX 6-12 months run rate at your current lifestyle
2) second withdrawal ideally buy physical assets, not for investment just to offramp more liquidity: think watches, physical gold, collectibles if you’re into Pokémon, TCG etc
3) third withdrawal try to double your run rate
4) continuously take out a set monthly amount you call your “salary”
5) every new big win take a huge junk of it and invest in the SPY (post tax) or buy more physical assets
6) none of the money withdrawn should EVER come back into the game, no matter what
7) repeat #5 and occasionally #1
If you zero out, start the same way you did before. Get a job, save money, start again. Just don’t use the capital from the list to re-start
Guaranteed your survivability rate will increase + 100,000% if you stay disciplined
I know at least a dozen whales with 8 figures, some with 9
Not a single one built their wealth with perps
Yet most people in crypto still believe leverage is the fastest path to generational wealth
I find that quite interesting
Everyone thinks the AP x Swatch "Royal Pop" dropping May 16 is just AP chasing MoonSwatch hype.
Maybe. But the timing is interesting.
AP just lost trademark fights in Japan (2024) and the US (2025). The courts ruled the octagonal bezel and tapisserie dial aren't "distinctive enough" to legally own.
Translation: knockoffs are coming, and AP can't really stop them.
So is it a coincidence that AP's now teaming with the one brand that can flood the market with a million "official" Royal Oak-shaped watches before the fakes do?
Maybe Swatch is actually defending brand.
sunk-cost fallacy.
from my personal experience, and anecdotally, our brains are hardwired to hold onto losers and fade outperformers
but you can always justify forcing that rewiring in your brain from a logical standpoint: you should WANT to get out of underperforming assets and into appreciating assets, because others should want to do the same.
so it's not difficult to see how the concept of 'relative strength' becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
this has been deemed 'winning philosophy' since the beginning of markets; there's no reason for that to suddenly change.
I know traders worth millions, that spend 12+ hours a day staring at screens
and if you ask them why they started trading, they'll tell you something along the lines of: "to escape the 9-5 matrix and not be a wageslave"
they don't even realize they've substituted a clock-in sheet for a PC, and now work 80+ hours a week
it's ironic:
in order to be good enough to generate millions, you have to become obsessed with trading
and once you become obsessed, the border between addiction is incredibly thin
so even after many achieve their goals, they find new ones to continue feeding into that addiction.
what a terrible way to live.
Had a Jane Street interview in 2014
Round 7. Interviewer says 'meet me at Washington Square Park, southwest corner, 2 PM.'
I show up. He's playing chess with a guy who's clearly hustling tourists. Interviewer's losing badly.
Without looking up he says, 'Take my position.'
I sit down. The chess hustler looks at me and grins. 'Your boy owes me $40. You covering his position?'
I look at the interviewer. He nods.
'Assume the debt,' he says. 'Now optimize.'
I study the board. I'm down a queen and two rooks. Completely hopeless.
'This position is unwinnable,' I say.
'Correct. Now make it profitable.'
'What?'
The chess hustler is getting impatient. 'You playing or what, kid?'
The interviewer slides me a $20. 'Market make this game.'
I'm confused. 'How do I market make chess?'
'Bid-ask on the number of moves until checkmate. Hustler takes the under, you take the over. Spread is your edge.'
I look at the position again. Maybe 8 moves max until I'm mated.
'I bid 12 moves, offer 15,' I announce.
The hustler laughs. 'I'll take the under on 12 all day.'
'Done,' says the interviewer. 'You're now short volatility on a deterministic outcome.'
Three moves later I'm checkmated. I owe the hustler $40 plus my $20 bet.
'How confident were you in that 12-move bid?' the interviewer asks.
'0.95,' I say, because that's what you always say.
'0.95 huh?' He chuckles. 'You just sold insurance on the Titanic.'
He stands up. 'The real trade was shorting your confidence and going long on the hustler's experience. You missed the obvious hedge: offering chess lessons to tourists at $25/hour while the game played out.'
'But I don't know how to play chess well enough to teach.'
'Exactly. That's called selling vol you don't have. Very Jane Street.'
Offer rescinded. Reason: 'Failed to recognize that the park itself was the market and the pigeons were the only rational actors.'"
"so you staked your ETH on the Ethereum blockchain to earn yield?"
"yes, Dave"
"except you didn't want your capital to be locked up so you actually staked it with a liquid staking protocol called Lido?"
"that's correct, Dave"
"and Lido gave you a liquid staking receipt token called stETH in return?"
"yes, Dave"
"and then you didn't think that was enough, so you juiced the yield even further by depositing your stETH receipt tokens into a restaking protocol called Eigenlayer?"
"you are correct, Dave"
"and now you didn't want to lock up your capital, so you actually restaked with a liquid restaking protocol called KelpDAO who provided you with a liquid restaking receipt token called rsETH?"
"you got it, Dave"
"and then that was surely not enough juice, so you then deposited your rsETH tokens into a lending protocol called AAVE so that you could open a leveraged looping position that borrows ETH against the rsETH collateral and restakes the ETH into rsETH which is then deposited as collateral, except it turns out rsETH used a cross-chain bridge called LayerZero whose security is held together by a 1/1 toothpick, which was obviously hacked by north koreans causing rsETH to become undercollateralized and now these looping positions are stuck and unprofitable, and everyone is pointing fingers at each other, and also DeFi is a very serious industry"
"you are 100% correct, dave"
jfc.
not every discretionary trigger is built equally.
some allow you to turn your brain off and assume the trend will continue, relentlessly:
some are to be ignored:
some only allow for short-term relief before higher timeframes decide to take priority:
quants assume you're too dumb to know the difference;
it's important you don't prove them correct.
🚨do you understand what two Anthropic engineers just explained in 16 minutes.
Barry and Mahesh built Claude Skills from scratch.
here's the part nobody is talking about:
> Skills are just folders.
> folders that teach Claude your job.
> your workflow. your expertise. your domain.
Claude on day 30 is a completely different tool than day one.
watch this before you write another prompt.
before you build another agent.
before you touch another tool.
16 minutes. bookmark it. watch it today.
and if you want to learn everything about Claude from scratch the full 4 hour guide is waiting below.
one piece of advice if i had to start over: stop trying to retire on every trade
for years i would round trip gains over and over. a position would 3x or 5x and i wouldn't sell because it hadn't hit some magical number i picked out of thin air. then it would come all the way back down and i'd be sitting there with nothing.
i was so desperate for financial freedom that i took crazy risks and then when they actually worked i still couldn't take the win. always needed more. always had a bigger number in my head.
the irony is i would have hit my goals so much faster if i just took profits along the way instead of swinging for retirement on every single trade.
once i finally learned this lesson, selling got easier every time. it's still hard watching something go up after you sell. that's always going to happen sometimes. but you learn to mentally move on.
this one lesson probably made me more money than any trade idea ever did.
collection of things worth spending money on (credit @DegenSpartan + rich frens):
∙dishwasher
∙lasik
∙spa treatments / massage
∙high-end robot vacuum
∙automatic blackout shades
∙weekly house cleaner
∙organic meat & produce delivery
∙nice ergonomic chair
∙high-end gym membership
∙private boxing or fitness coach
∙good headphones
∙infrared sauna
∙home gym setup
∙second residency / additional passport
∙skill-building (dev courses, writing coaching, etc.)
∙index funds, physical gold, estate planning
∙proper computer / desk setup
∙cold wallets and basic opsec
∙high-end mattress (tempurpedic breeze or 26cm latex + 8cm topper) + quality bedding stack: bamboo/linen sheets, silk or goose down duvet
∙control of your time and schedule
∙freedom of movement across borders
∙starting a family by design, not default
∙actually being present with your kids
∙stop optimizing bank rates and credit card points
∙order food based on desire, not price
∙take the uber, don’t wait on surge pricing
∙pick cards with no spending caps and forget about it
at some point, this market will see a sharp relief bounce from the lows
your groupchats will come alive again
you'll login to CT, and see everyone rejoicing in hopes that the bottom is in
it's easy to suddenly feel regret for not buying
don't fool yourself into thinking that you did something wrong by deciding to avoid substantial downtrends
don't scold yourself for not having a crystal ball and being unable to anticipate every knee-jerk reaction this market gives to the upside
remember the benefits of approaching a downtrending market in a disciplined manner in the first place
avoiding substantial downtrends detaches you from trauma, and allows you to look at things objectively, which enables you to set yourself up for success for what comes later
but it all means nothing if that discipline goes out the window as soon as the market threatens yet another Lower-High for the umpteenth time
it's easy to get down on yourself; it's difficult to remain stoic in the face of uncertainty.
so if you're going to feel regret when that time comes, then you may as well remind yourself of everything you've ever fumbled, every trade you held too long, and how you were born too early / too late to take advantage of certain opportunities, while you're at it
a torturous mindset to have; better to move forward
accept the benefits and consequences for your decisions in real-time, and adapt
then you won't have to face them head-on in the heat of the moment.