Mert Ocal

Engineer turned investor sharing market analysis & frameworks. 20+ Year experience, Algorithm builder, Strategist, Educational Only, Not Financial Advice

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@AndrewCFollett Is important your budget, but is more import, how efficiently you are using that budget.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@chriswithans If you dont have anything on you, dont pay it.
One day a president would say, I am deleting your student loans and are over.
The strategy is always to delay the credits, with the minimum interest rate :)
Because the future is unknown at the end.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

For those who are thinking in between to invest $JKS vs $DQ , Solar panel producers from China.
The main drive in this stocks are P/B value.
$JKS : 0.35 P/B currently
$DQ : 0.22 P/B currently.

Thats the reason I pick $DQ from $12.
And thats the reason $DQ +6% and $JKS +1% today.

Not a financial advice.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@eso_moody I agree with that totally. Is a good point and the summary. I regularly trade also $AAL (has a good volatility to trade ) , if comes around $11, I will be buying again.
NFA

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

$AAL vs $DAL same industry, same fuel spike, wildly different outcomes.

Delta: ~$53.9B market cap, Q2 revenue $17.7B (+14% YoY, beat), stock +2% on the print, forward P/E ~13.8x, just raised its dividend 15%, reaffirmed FY26 EPS guide of $6.50-7.50. Trading at 86% of its 52-week high. Price/Book: +2.5x.

American Airlines: ~$9.2B market cap (1/6th the size), also beat Q2 EPS — but slashed FY26 guidance to near breakeven, and the stock fell 8%. Trailing P/E negative. No dividend. Price/Book: -2.3x (negative equity).

American Airlines knows the gap and is trying to close it: on Aug 18 it announced growing premium seating from 25% to 40% of narrowbody capacity and restoring seatback screens, after revealing premium travelers already drive nearly half its ticket revenue from just ~30% of seats. The market wasn't convinced; the stock didn't move on the news, and the full rollout won't finish until the early 2030s.

Most recent quarter profit: American Airlines $71M. Delta $1.6B.

NFA

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@middle_class_us Europe is the same.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@DarrigoMelanie Because the number of CEO's are much less, so the tax office does not care about it.
On the other hand, there are many teachers. Unfortunately this is how the systems works.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@FluentInFinance I beleive is much more, because the real inflation is much higher than what is declared.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@RossKneeDeep Thats why they are putting the taxes.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@BlackMambaMilli I disagree with this. They dont prefer noodle vs meat. Some can be as they are miserable but young generations are not like that.
You are speaking about the people that are 65+ millionares.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@brandotusk @jzrdan Are you also thinking wtf this $Snap is trying to do ?

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

For me if will not change the gameplan looks like 8th or 9th of September. But this is just a guess, can make the right shoulder small also.
But current situation that I check now, the bounce it had is without volume + at the top there is a negative delta flow.
I am expecting that around $4.60 - $4.50 correction will come. Very high chance with a Gap, as this stock loves the Gaps.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@MarketPalmer_ You dont need to feel bad, the life is tough and to build a future for the kids you need it. Dont think so much about it and try to have quality time.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@OInvests $5M

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@MapleStax If the credit rate is low, I take whatever they give me.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@fwrenzo1 Education became a complete rip off.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@NotA_Bull Thats true based on P/E, the market does not want to give more premium to $NVDA , the weight in the index is so high. And to keep the same growth in unsastainable as the company already grow. Needs rest.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

There are stocks that are in bottom and nobody is speaking about it. $MO - $63 was a great entry dividend king.
$NKE - $39 $TTD - $13 $DIS - $100 are all good opportunities, defensive and better than to stay at cash.
Stock market is the place where the price matters.
Not a financial advice.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@Akshat_World I agree totally, great point. Don't let your future on other people's hand.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@CatLadyCapital No is not at all.

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@StonkChris P/B value is still high 2, the rallies started generally around 1 at $SOFI

[Mert Ocal @MertOnMarkets]

@StonkChris Thats $SOFI needs stime still I guess, something around $13 - $14 would be great.