MetaZor

Bettering the world via DeFi

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I am a diplomatic aide in the Sultanate of Oman's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

My job is logistics. When two countries that cannot speak to each other need to speak to each other, I book the rooms. I prepare the briefing materials. I make sure the water glasses are the right distance apart. You would be surprised how much of diplomacy is water glasses. Too close and it feels informal. Too far and it feels like a tribunal. I have a chart.

We had a very good month.

Since January, Oman has been mediating indirect talks between the United States and Iran on Iran's nuclear program. The talks were held in Muscat and in Geneva. The Americans would sit in one room. The Iranians would sit in another room. I would walk between them. My Fitbit says I averaged fourteen thousand steps on negotiation days. The hallway between the two rooms at the Royal Opera House conference center is forty-seven meters. I walked it two hundred and twelve times in February. This is good for my cardiovascular health. It was less good for my knees. Both are in the service of peace.

By mid-February, we had something.

Iran agreed to zero stockpiling of enriched uranium. Not reduced stockpiling. Zero. They agreed to down-blend existing stockpiles to the lowest possible level. They agreed to convert them into irreversible fuel. They agreed to full IAEA verification with potential US inspector access. They agreed, in the Foreign Minister's phrase, to "never, ever" possess nuclear material for a bomb. I have worked in diplomacy for seven years. I have never seen a country agree to this many things this quickly. I made a spreadsheet of the concessions. It had fourteen rows. I color-coded it. Green for confirmed. Yellow for pending. By February 21 the spreadsheet was entirely green. I printed it. It is on my desk in Muscat. It is still green.

That phrase took eleven days. "Never, ever." The Iranians initially offered "not seek to." The Americans wanted "will not under any circumstances." We landed on "never, ever" at 2:14 AM on a Tuesday in Muscat. I typed the final version myself. I used Times New Roman because Geneva prefers it. The document was fourteen pages. I was proud of every comma.

Here is what they said, in the order they said it.

February 24: "We have a once-in-a-generation opportunity." — The Foreign Minister, private briefing to Gulf Cooperation Council ambassadors. I prepared the slide deck. Slide 14 was the implementation timeline. Slide 15 was the signing ceremony logistics. I had reserved the Palais des Nations in Geneva, Room XX. It seats four hundred. We discussed pen brands for the signing. The Iranians preferred Montblanc. The Americans had no preference. I ordered twelve Montblanc Meisterstucks at six hundred and thirty dollars each. They arrive on Tuesday.

February 27, 8:30 AM EST: "The deal is within our reach." — The Foreign Minister, CBS Face the Nation. He sat across from Margaret Brennan. He said broad political terms could be agreed "tomorrow" with ninety days for technical implementation in Vienna. He said, and I wrote this line for the briefing card he carried in his breast pocket: "If we just allow diplomacy the space it needs." He praised the American envoys by name. Steve Witkoff. Jared Kushner. He said both had been constructive.

I watched from the Four Seasons Georgetown. The minibar had cashews. I ate the cashews. They were nineteen dollars. The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten. But it was a good morning and we were within our reach.

February 27, 2:00 PM EST: Meeting with Vice President Vance, Washington. The Foreign Minister presented our progress. Zero stockpiling. Full verification. Irreversible conversion. "Never, ever." The Vice President used the word "encouraging." His aide took notes on an iPad. The aide did not make eye contact for the last nine minutes of the meeting. I noticed this. Noticing things is the only part of my job that is not water glasses.

February 27, 4:00 PM EST: "Not happy with the pace." — President Trump, to reporters.

Not happy with the pace.

We had achieved zero stockpiling. Full IAEA verification. Irreversible fuel conversion. Inspector access. And the phrase "never, ever," which took eleven days and cost me two hundred and twelve trips down a forty-seven-meter hallway.

Every American president since Carter has failed to get Iran to agree to this. Forty-five years.

Not happy with the pace.

February 27, 9:47 PM EST: The Foreign Minister's flight departs Dulles for Muscat. I am in the seat behind him. He is reviewing Slide 14 on his laptop. The implementation timeline. Vienna technical sessions. The signing ceremony. The pens.

I fall asleep over the Atlantic. I dream about water glasses.

February 28, 6:00 AM GST: I wake up to push notifications.

February 28: "The United States has begun major combat operations in Iran." — President Trump.

Operation Epic Fury. Coordinated airstrikes. The United States and Israel. Tehran. Isfahan. Qom. Karaj. Kermanshah. Nuclear facilities. IRGC bases. Sites near the Supreme Leader's office. Israel called their half Operation Roaring Lion. Someone in both governments spent time choosing these names. Epic Fury. Roaring Lion. I spent eleven days on "never, ever." They spent it on branding. The President said Iran had "rejected American calls to halt its nuclear weapons production."

Rejected.

Iran had agreed to zero stockpiling. Iran had agreed to full verification. Iran had agreed to "never, ever." Iran had agreed to everything in a fourteen-page document that I typed in Times New Roman.

The President said they rejected it.

I do not know which document the President was reading. I know which one I typed.

February 28, 18:45 UTC: Iran internet connectivity: four percent. — NetBlocks, confirmed by Cloudflare. Ninety-six percent of a country went dark. You cannot negotiate with a country at four percent connectivity. You cannot negotiate with a country that is being struck. You cannot negotiate. This is not a political opinion. This is a logistics assessment.

February 28: The governor of Minab reported forty girls killed at an elementary school.

I do not have logistics for that. There is no slide for that. The water glass chart does not cover that.

February 28: Lockheed Martin: up. Northrop Grumman: up. RTX: up. Dow futures: down six hundred and twenty-two points. Gold: five thousand two hundred and ninety-six dollars. An analyst at AInvest published a note titled "Iran Strikes: Tactical Plays." The note recommended positions in oil, defense stocks, and gold.

The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten was nineteen dollars. The most expensive pen I have ever ordered was six hundred and thirty dollars. The math suggests I have been working in the wrong industry. Defense stocks do not require water glasses. Defense stocks do not require eleven days. Defense stocks require one morning.

February 28: Israel closed its airspace and its schools. Iran launched retaliatory missiles toward US bases in the Gulf. The Supreme Leader promised a "crushing response." Israel's defense minister declared a permanent state of emergency. Everyone is using words I recognize in an order I do not. I recognize "permanent." I recognize "emergency." I do not recognize them next to each other. In diplomacy, nothing is permanent and everything is an emergency. In war it is the reverse.

February 28: The Foreign Minister has not made a public statement.

The briefing card is still in his breast pocket. It still says "within our reach."

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

@o0Tonebraker0o In simple English, what does the chart signify? Sorry but the whole timing / time aspect is not super clear from the chart.

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

@tillythoughts @DegeNationCTO Interesting so are you shorting or longing in the next 15 minutes?

[Palestine Info Center @palinfoen]

By air, by land, by sea, free Palestine!

#sumudflotilla

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

@mhmd_s09 .

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

@yousef_ki1 .

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

@Hamzasharif5750 .

[Anonymous @YourAnonCentral]

Stop sharing this!!!

[John Cusack @johncusack]

We are the evil empire -

[JuliansRum @ItsJuliansRum]

“wE nEeD tO sToP iRaN fRoM gEtTiNg nUkEs”

Know who has a shitload of nukes? Israel

Know who doesn’t allow inspections of their nukes? Israel

Know who killed JFK cuz he wanted to stop them from getting nukes? Israel

Know who has a formal plan to nuke the entire world? Israel

[Dr. Jill Stein🌻 @DrJillStein]

Israel's pretext for bombing Iran assumes you have the memory span of a goldfish.

[Muhammad Shehada @muhammadshehad2]

Reminder: Israel's Mossad HQ is in a "densely populated area [in Tel-Aviv]... with civilians around it"

By the US/Israel's own logic, this is human shielding & everything in Tel Aviv is a "legitimate target" or "collateral"

Insane, right? that's THEIR main argument in Gaza!

[Ken O'Keefe @RealKenOKeefe]

Let it be recorded in history, what they did with their first jewish state, not even 100 years old.

[Mel @Villgecrazylady]

So Israel had an underground bunker in Iran full of drones hidden for *YEARS* and ready to go for a carefully planned attack on Iranian air defense systems…

And they had the pager attack on Hezbollah in place ready to go for years as well…

But they were totally caught off guard by Hamas on 10/7… when all their defense and warning systems collapsed at the exact same time and where it took them 6 hours to generate a response… which included them blowing up dozens of homes and hundreds of cars with their own citizens trapped inside?

Sure thing 👍🏻

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

@yousefmohmoud25 Hey buddy, everything is gonna be alright. You are awesome mate!

[MetaZor @MetaZor007]

RT @GazaFFlotilla: SOS! the volunteers on 'Madleen' have been kidnapped by Israeli forces.
Thiago Avila is a citizen of Brazil.
Pressure…

[Assaf @_assaf_ps]

In the next 24 hours Israel is most likely to kill or arrest the people on the Madleen Gaza flotilla. Just a reminder.

Israel had no sovereignty over the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza (UNGA A/RES/77/247, UNSC 2334). Also according to Israel there is no occupation.

They have no combatants on board or any weapons.

Let’s see how this plays out.

[Mel @Villgecrazylady]

A woman, carrying a child, is systematically targeted and murdered in broad daylight as she tries to flee.

Israel has a “shoot anything that moves” policy in effect for all of Gaza north of the Netzarim Corridor.

There are still thousands of people trapped there who couldn’t flee- the most common reason being they are very elderly and immobile or they are caring for someone who is.

And now Israel is going to murder them all. Using American ammunition and British surveillance technology and Western diplomatic coverage.