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@OliverBushwood@StateHealthIN It caught my eye this morning. I interpret as needing to adjust PCR cycles to better identify meaningful cases and deploy faster testing. Regardless it points out we are likely focusing on case # and positivity rates that are not giving an accurate picture. This is a big deal.
@RicksFreeSpeech @Hold2LLC@StateHealthIN That's interesting to think about non LTC IFR. That would translate to 445k non LTC cases. Am I thinking about that correctly?
@douglaskarr And with many questions about antibody test results it’s likely IFR is lower than this. CDC had a best estimate at .26%. Which would translate into about 263k infected in Marion county through about two weeks ago.
@Rinteln I like the new view on # of tests to find a case. You'll always have that drop at the top based on testing reporting lag. With that number going up, death trend going lower and lower, and hospitalizations trending lower with 7 day average, this remains an overall positive trend.