Blaze

Si te quieres divertir

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

I don't think that's actually Vini, Mbappe might have had him killed and replaced by a double

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Didier Deschamps might have the easiest job in human history because wtf is this

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

I feel like Expedition 33 ruined gaming for me.

Since playing it, I've struggled to connect to any other game again and feel like investing time in another game is a waste of time as it can't compare.

Only other game that made me feel this way as Disco Elysium, suggestions?

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Iran should use their goalkeeper to close the strait of Hormuz

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Seems like every time a treaty is signed in Versailles, the losing side's term are horrendous.

First Germany, now the US.

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Issue with today's "deal" is that there seem to be different interpretations:

US & Israel see it as no bombing Beirut for no bombing Israel.

Hezbollah & Iran see it as complete ceasefire including southern Lebanon with Hezbollah maintaining a right to respond.

Bound to break.

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

No way the Americans accept defeat and unfreeze Iranian assets/relieve sanctions - too big of a win for Iran

No deal, new strikes on energy are inevitable

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Based on what we're hearing of today's call, expect Israel to do the most rash and insane thing you've ever seen in the next couple weeks

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Instagram's newest feature is a great example as to why we're destined to fail as a society

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Surely has to be the worst thing a president has ever said - Trump's outdoing himself even when rhe bar is in the basement

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Mid-may seems to be an important timing; it's the fluid deadline the Israelis have set to see tangible results in the Lebanese negotiations, as well as when the extra navy presence will ne ready at CENTCOM (USS Boxer etc.)

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

The Iranians are saying the ceasefire ends in ~6 hours and the guy in charge of the negotiations is currently in Washington.

Washington to Islamabad flight is about 14 hours.

Squeeky bum time incoming 🌻

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

C- If Hezbollah gets involved on behalf of Iran (again) opens the door to Lebanese state going much stronger against Hezbollah + extra societal division paving the way for the dream Israeli scenario --> Civil War

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Math on the Lebanon/Israel cease-fire:

A- If Hezbollah breaks it Israel can do the most insane attacks known to man with "legitimacy"
B- If Iran/US war restarts in the meantime Hezbollah has to either sit it out and face internal division or point A

Point C in next post

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

0 vanne Camavinga fait un meilleur match que Mbappé

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Lebanon is going to make the same mistakes again; focusing on solutions to solve immediate critical issues, but that will inevitably backfire in a massive way.

Like performing an amputation with an axe, sure you get the job done but what happens next isn't going to look pretty.

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

@spectatorindex Basically military whitewashing; anyone that had any intention in leaving their land would've done so after one of the 373826 other evacuation orders

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

More worried about the internal situation in Lebanon than Israel atm.

Israel knows the most effective way to neutralize any threat from Lebanon is by the country collapsing on itself completely.

Issues from the civil war still unresolved + insane imbalance in power structures.

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

IF a deal is reached between Lebanon and Israel, expect the most insane concessions ever from the Lebanese government.

Say goodbye to a big chunk of the land south of the Litani (not that it's retrievable in another way) + constant scrutiny over the government's decisions.

[Blaze @MiddleEastblaze]

Antoun Sehnaoui's clearly getting prepped to play a major political role in post-normalization Lebanon