Not to try to lower expectations about the Senate. But this was the crystal ball map for the Senate at the start of 2025. Judge tomorrow based on this map. Judge from where we started this cycle.
@KenGardner11 If you consider the manner, I think he would. hours after reaffirming support, whole staff resigns to distance from him, delivers incoherent reasoning on Fox, rumors of spouse taking phone, etc.
What about government spending? Surely Rogers is better than Sanders, right? Sadly, no.
Both will want more spending—albeit in different areas—but it’s Rogers who is more likely to support any given omnibus or continuing resolution that grows government.
In any case, votes on spending are generally close—if at all—only in the beginning, performative stages. The final product that becomes law almost always ends up bipartisan, lopsided in the vote tally, and bad for the American people. The circumstances in which someone like Rogers or Sanders will be the deciding vote are exceedingly rare.
I think it’s fair to view El-Sayed as someone who mostly will follow in Sanders’s footsteps on policy and therefore will be far less dangerous in practice than Rogers.
(Again, El-Sayed as a senator will do many things that are bad. The question addressed at length is not whether he’s good but simply whether he’s better on the whole than Rogers.)
The bottom line is that you can’t evaluate a candidate in a vacuum.
You need to consider the context:
Which office will they hold?
How many allies will they have for their worst ideas and what else stands in their way?
What will be their impact on the issues that are most in play?
Now, get out and vote! 😉
@AGHamilton29 I don’t think it’s anyone and anything. I think Rogers is problematic. Sayed has said some problematic things. Trump is terrorizing Hispanics. It’s not hard to imagine bar which Sayed clears morally enough to be a serviceable check on Trump.
Lula won by 4.4 million votes.
The number of votes cast after the polls reopened was under 36,000.
Anyone who tells you that this is why Lulu won or that it delegitimizes the outcome is pushing a completely fake narrative.
@bennyjohnson Can you imagine the reaction from the right if a bunch of Trump appointed judges struck down Trump’s frivolous lawsuits challenging an election he lost?
Seven months ago, there was a big conversation about whether Trump was denying blue states FEMA aid for partisan reasons.
Since May, there have been 57 more disaster relief decisions. Requests from blue states are still 2.8x more likely to be rejected than from red states.