Michael Wong

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@DrewSav Crazy how this was originally drawn as a Dem pack

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@justin26rz @DjsokeSpeaking I think she just got tired of the caller and lied to get him to hang up.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@Nassaujake @PollTracker2024 I think he's deliberately reddening the sample to make it more believable for donors. Tons of Dems have published polls that were more bearish than public ones (Cooper, Shannon Taylor, etc.)

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@b149100 @Drexler771 @Rbeasley123 @RedEaglePatriot @MHindi2220 If she's accepting fake codes and clearly not competent at her job, then it's perfectly plausible that she lied to get a badgering caller off her back.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@RealCon64 @UNATCOHillaryPC @NapoleonBonabot They had Herschel Walker winning by 3 points in their final poll, so...

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@ropkean @smith_cade9 Trump and Reynolds won their respective straw polls by 30 points so this is pretty bad for them lol

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@b149100 @CycloneFella @earlyvotedata The other guy was mistaken, she won the poll by 30 points in 2022.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@socrateehees @earlyvotedata 31 points*

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@ocpna4 @DjsokeSpeaking I think it's possible, but I found the same pattern (disproportionately blue IPEV) in other Kamala counties like Lucas and Montgomery. So although I don't have data for all Dem counties, I have to imagine the pattern would've been the same.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@HansMcMans1 @Yetektkia @JudeEredo @civicapi Were there any links that Grok provided?

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@HansMcMans1 @civicapi Link?

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@HansMcMans1 @civicapi Michaelpruser only has data for 2024, but on this same day in 2024, Dems only led mail ballot requests by 10 points.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@grumps515 @civicapi I'm pretty sure these are overseas/military ballots

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@DjsokeSpeaking @ocpna4 While IPEV may be disproportionately bluer in Harris counties, it seems to vote in line with or slightly to the left of the actual results in Trump won counties based on a cursory glance of a few BOE websites. Trump probably won IPEV by low single digits since he won Ohio by 13.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@earlyvotedata What were the L2 numbers for 2024?

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@CATargetBot0001 @ECaliberSeven

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@Avery19980928 @PollTracker2024 Engagement bait

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@DjsokeSpeaking Still waiting for the "scandal" to drop

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@NickyScatz Dems currently have a +55.6 point edge in ballot returns whereas they had a +47.2% advantage in 2024. I don't see how the return data is similar.

And mind you Republicans were matching Dems in new ballot requests in 2024. Now, Dems are out requesting them 2:1.

[Michael Wong @Mike_W0ng]

@ChazNuttycombe TX SD-09 and SD-02