@MG122506880@MRatable I agree, I don't see QB as a loser. They have faced threats from low cost options before.
Turbotax I could see being hairy but I think it's priced in
@evrgn11112231 I think a biz like TT SHOULD be able to use brand and distribution to win in an agentic world but it does require execution. I'm new to the story but mgmt doesn't comes across as particularly strong, at least in the recent history.
@evrgn11112231 You're probably right, we underestimate consumer stickiness. the current turbotax user will likely continue to come back, maybe they lose pricing or lose margin as they serve more AI features
adding new clients could be hard but as you said, it's 15x, you don't need big growth
@BarbarianCap I agree these desktop are impaired but for LSEG the stock reaction seems overdone. I have seen estimates that refinitiv is only 10% of EBIT. Slap a HSD multiple on that and mark TW to market and you get the rest for ~16x earnings?