Let's talk about this "nonsense" called Elliott Wave, let's talk about market structure, and let's talk about why I still expect to see a new ATH on $BTC in 2023:
https://t.co/xTOUIoOjNk
"In search of a bottom"
(Don't read this, it's too long)
Here's a visual of the cost basis of the entire BTC supply. Areas of high density represent significant coins moving into investor wallets at that price ("buy price").
This image has caused severe outrage. How is it possible for stocks to soar and have their best week since 1938 while common people suffer and fundamentals worsen?
The answer is simple.
The outrage stems from misunderstanding the link between the economy and financial markets.
The way I see it, #Bitcoin & the broader markets have never been decoupled, regardless of narrative.
Corporate credit, equity returns, surveys of business conditions, producer prices, all rise and fall alongside Bitcoin (+ thus crypto) in an intertwined global market. Just look.
A 🧵: Our Wave 2 and Wave 4 corrections in this cycle have been deeper and longer than I was expecting- certainly more drawn out than mid-cycle corrections of prior cycles. This has resulted in a longer cycle than prior ones (expected) but also deeper corrections (cont.)
Two observations on sentiment in equities.
Absolute extreme bearish sentiment likely means a sharp counter trend rally is very close.
Consistent bearish sentiment confirms this is a cyclical bear market of duration, not a buy the dip just yet.
Just finished the excellent conversation between @lexfridman and @saylor regarding #bitcoin.
Definitely a show worth sharing with friends who may doubt the power of #bitcoin.
https://t.co/Jmh1ImgXAk