Camus

[Insane Vids @Insanevidz_]

Sikh Ordered To Take A Knee... He Beat Him Up Instead

[Daily SNEAKO @dailysneako]

SNEAKO says the Indian guy completely MOGGED the white guy in the viral train clip 👀😲

“This is gay as f*ck. The indian guy is nonchalant and doesn't care. This indian guy has a better fit and haircut than him. You got aura mogged by the Indian. You're begging for attention and he's not giving you any. Wallah he got mogged by an Indian. I never thought I would say that. W Indian.”

[Curtis Daly @CurtisDaly_]

Race riots are here again, facilitated by Robinson, Twitter and much of the corporate media.

[Cathy Young 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇮🇱 @CathyYoung63]

Excellent piece by @ClaireBerlinski on the Henry Nowak case and JD Vance's ugly and utterly false claims blaming crime in Britain on immigration.

https://t.co/RG5ViQRKEY

[LED @mrledtasso]

bu arkadaş psikoloji öğrencisi ve eğer gün içinde "çok geriliyorum, çok panikliyorum, hafif anksiyete hissediyorum" diyorsan birkaç çözüm önermiş. gel, anlatayım.
1 - beynin gözlerini takip eder.
aşağıya baktığında, vücuduna korktuğunu gösterdiğin için bu durum kaygını artırır.
arkana yaslandığında, gözün sürekli aşağıya gitmediğinde ise vücuduna her ne olursa olsun bununla başa çıkabileceğini göstermiş oluyorsun. çok saçma geliyor biliyorum ama işe yarıyor:D
2- görselleştirme (gözünde canlandırma) eğer doğru yapılırsa çok işine yarar.
sebebi: durumlar tanıdık hale geldiğinde beynin daha sakin hisseder.
yapacağın şey çok basit. bir durumu gözünde canlandırırken, bu bir konuşma ya da katılacağın bir etkinlik olabilir.
çuvalladığını hayal et, çuvallarsan bunu nasıl toplayacağını hayal et... yeterince çalıştıysan, kendini biliyorsan çuvallamayacaksın zaten. eğer oldu da çuvallayacağını düşünüyorsan bunu yap. neden?
böylece o an geldiğinde paniklemezsin. "ben bu durumu zaten bekliyordum..." diye düşünürsün.
insan olduğunu unutma...
bu yüzden yapabileceğin en iyi şey, tanıdık olmayana alışmak, herkesin önünde çuvallamaya ve bundan sıyrılmaya alışmaktır.
en önemlisi de ne biliyor musun?👇🏻

[Rt Hon. Will || Portfolio for Sarcasm (parody) @colder_sarcasm]

@RupertLowe10 Did you write to the PM after this attack?

[Mukhtar @I_amMukhtar]

The right wing and the far right have not tweeted about this Nazi who tried to behead a Kurdish barber with an axe.

Nigel Farage, Tommy Robinson, Robert Jenrick, Rupert Lowe, and all the usual suspects were silent. But they are very vocal about incidents like the horrific attempted murder in Belfast and Henry Nowak’s murder.

They are opportunists who use horrible incidents involving minorities to sow division and hatred.

A Saudi student was stabbed in the neck outside student accommodation in Cambridge by a cocaine user, and they did not say F all.

[YBCTooCold @YBCTooCold]

Women are attracted to men who are better (and obviously more attractive) than themselves but with a nuance that no one talks about.

And this nuance is: they want a guy who’s better than them at things which they actually value and identify with, not just generally better than them.

For example, you could be better than her in the materialistic sense (richer, taller, more status) but it wouldn’t matter as much if she doesn’t value those things as much as other girls.

That’s why you almost ALWAYS see athletic women dating athlete men. And obviously those men are more athletic, faster, stronger, and more accomplished in the sport than she is. Similarly, it’s why you see gamer girls who date gamer guys who are way better gamers than they are. And it’s why intelligent women who value academics date men who are far more intelligent than them and are more academically accomplished.

They want a guy who’s better than them yes, but better than them at what THEY value most.

[Ihtesham Ali @ihtesham2005]

A freelance journalist who had never taken a statistics course wrote a 142-page book in 1954 that professional statisticians still hand to students before anything else, because nobody before him had bothered to explain the tricks in plain language.

His name was Darrell Huff. The book is called How to Lie with Statistics.

I read it in one sitting and spent the next three days noticing the tricks everywhere.

Over 1.5 million copies have sold in English alone. It became a standard college textbook in the 1960s and 70s. Seventy years later it is still in print, still assigned, still the first thing a working statistician reaches for when they want to teach someone to think clearly about numbers.

The man who wrote it was not a researcher. He was a freelancer who wrote how-to articles for magazines. He had no PhD, no academic post, no institutional affiliation. He just understood that numbers could lie without technically being wrong, and he thought someone should explain how.

His opening line sets the whole tone of the book.

"The crooks already know these tricks; honest men must learn them in self-defense."

That one sentence is the entire argument. The manipulation is not coming. It already happened. It happened this morning in the article you read and the chart someone showed you at work and the study your doctor quoted. The only question is whether you know what to look for.

Huff called the first trick the Well-Chosen Average.

When someone tells you the average salary at a company is $80,000, they have told you almost nothing. If the CEO earns $2 million and the 20 employees earn $30,000 each, the mean is $80,000. The median is $30,000. Both are technically correct. One is a lie. The person reporting the number chose which average to use, and they almost always chose the one that served their argument. Huff's rule: whenever you see an average with no description of which average it is, ask.

The second trick he named the Gee-Whiz Graph.

A line chart shows company profits rising. The line shoots nearly vertical, almost doubling in height across the chart. You feel impressed. Then you look at the y-axis and notice the chart does not start at zero. It starts at 94. The actual increase in profits was 3 percent. The dramatic visual was produced entirely by cropping the bottom of the chart. Nothing in the data changed. The picture changed everything.

Every news organization on earth still does this every day.

The third trick is the one that should change how you read every study you ever encounter. Huff called it Post Hoc Rides Again, which is short for the Latin phrase post hoc ergo propter hoc. After this, therefore because of this.

Cities with more churches have more violent crime. Therefore churches cause violence. The logic is airtight. The conclusion is absurd. Both church attendance and crime go up as population grows. The two numbers track each other because a third variable drives both. The correlation is real. The cause is invented.

Huff showed that this structure is not a rare mistake. It is the default pattern of almost every study reported in a newspaper, because causation is a boring word and because proves is a better headline than correlates with.

The fourth trick was the one that floored me. He called it the Semi-Attached Figure.

A headache pill company claims their product is twice as fast as the competition. The study behind the claim is real. The product was tested and the numbers are accurate. What the advertisement does not mention is that the study measured absorption rate into the bloodstream, not relief of headaches. The two things are related but not identical. The statistic is real. It is attached to the wrong conclusion.

Huff said this is the most dangerous trick of all because the number is never fabricated. You cannot fact-check a semi-attached figure by verifying the statistic. You have to ask whether the statistic actually measures what the claim requires it to measure.

Almost nobody asks.

There is one part of Huff's story that most people who recommend the book leave out.

Years after he wrote it, he was hired by the tobacco industry. He worked on a follow-up manuscript called How to Lie with Smoking Statistics, designed to cast doubt on the research connecting cigarettes to cancer. The book was never published. He testified before Congress in an attempt to undermine the statistical evidence against tobacco.

The man who wrote the clearest guide to spotting statistical deception spent the end of his career deploying those same tricks against evidence that was killing people.

That detail does not make the book wrong. The tricks he described are real and the defenses he taught are still the right ones. But it is a reminder that the tools in the book are neutral. Understanding how lies are built does not protect you from choosing to build one.

The crooks already know these tricks.

Some of them wrote the manual.

What is one statistic you have seen recently that you now think deserves a second look?

[Peter Beinart @PeterBeinart]

Sam Harris thinks his beliefs on Israel-Palestine are inarguable. He’s wrong.

https://t.co/AY82qTglmY

[Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum]

The details about the Tate brothers in this @newyorker profile are as sick as anything you will ever read. They are rapists, pornographers, traffickers - and heroes to the "conservative" MAGA movement
https://t.co/Zv2l52b9Id

[david @ldavid2k]

person of interest, the mentalist, sherlock, dexter, castle, burn notice, 24, fringe, monk, supernatural, white collar, suits, psych, chuck, lie to me, leverage, elementary, blindspot, the blacklist, prison break, lost, the americans, justified, banshee, nikita, hannibal, the shield, alias, bones, the wire, true detective.

[mason @onehandpolitics]

Dave I’m sorry for threatening you ❤️ I meant no harm, I just think you’re really stupid 🫶

[Mouin Rabbani @MouinRabbani]

Since I began monitoring Elon Musk's pet demagogue, not a day has gone by without him posting at least one fabrication.

In the below, Gad Saad claims to be reposting a video of a Muslim immigrant urinating on pork products in a Dutch supermarket.

The video is in fact a 2023 prank video by Dutch creator Danny Derix (stage name "Buurtwacht"). Derix is neither a Muslim nor an immigrant, did not urinate, and the claims made about the video have been debunked by multiple news organisations and indeed by Derix himself.

I've included a link to a Reuters article about the video in the comments.

Either Saad has yet to master the most basic research skills, or he is an exceptionally gullible conspiracy theorist, or he is knowingly posting fabrications on a daily basis. At least one of these statements must be true. His latest book would lead one to conclude all three are valid interpretations.

Saad, who has a unique understanding of Islam and Muslims because he lived in Lebanon until the ripe old age of ten, uses this video to bolster his oft-repeated absurdity that there is no and can be no variation in Islam or distinctions within the faith.

In Saad's fantasy world ISIS is the only authentic version of Islam. More importantly, unless Israel's genocidal apartheid rape regime continues to enjoy unconditional support, the West will be overrun by Islam, Western civilization will collapse, and everyone dies.

[𝘽𝙡𝙖𝙠𝙚 @Arealmfngl]

If palestinian women walked around with guns like this, everyone would be like "see? They're not really civilians, they deserve to be bombed"

[Hunter Ash @ArtemisConsort]

No matter what your theory about birth rate collapse is, there’s some data point that disproves it. Japan didn’t have the pill when fertility collapsed. There are highly patriarchal countries where fertility is collapsing. It’s collapsing in countries that are still poor. It’s collapsing in places with more generous social support for families. It’s almost like a psychic alien just decided to phase humans out.

[Chris Hayes @chrislhayes]

@EricLevitz Literally the only constituency that cared about and mobilized against the Saudi war in Yemen was the anti-war left.

[Eric Levitz @EricLevitz]

All of the argumentation here is appallingly weak. But I'm always puzzled by the popularity of this specific talking point.

It is true that Israel-Palestine is drastically more salient globally than other ethnic conflicts with a similar or larger death toll (in part because, when a piece of territory is deemed holy by three major world religions, a lot of people will be interested in what happens there).

But the American left did, in fact, mobilize in opposition to US support for the Saudi bombing of Yemen! Sure, there weren't as many protests. But progressives organizations and elected officials agitated for the US government to cut off aid to the Saudi campaign and under Biden it (officially) did so https://t.co/ThggXmJ3RM

[Mbeumo! @Magaazi]

@TRobinsonNewEra Lads are coming to get their country back!

[PaleExposed @PaleExposed]

Drunk White British construction worker slits a Saudi student’s throat in Cambridge.
Crickets from the usual outrage merchants. No Musk, no trending.
Swap the races? White racists would milk the “victimhood” card nonstop and call it proof Britain is finished