I've been working to benchmark the performance of different coding agent harnesses. Somewhat surprisingly, @badlogicgames's Pi takes the lead.
Check it out!
https://t.co/6QxdtImqPv
I have been a GB10 hater, but this is cool. Of course everyone would prefer to run it on 4 x RTX Pro 6000s at much higher speeds, but the price difference is ~$30-40k.
@sudoingX I agree it was an epic fumble, but I don't see why China would flood the consumer market any time soon? There's a reason nobody is targeting consumer hardware right now, data centres / enterprise customers are just more profitable. Also, that kind of scaling will take years.
@47fucb4r8c69323 I don't pretend to know what sellers are thinking - this could all just be a result of flows and leverage rather than anything fundamental.
But in general doesn't this just mean the supply of compute has unexpectedly increased? It's not necessarily skepticism about demand.
This was always the endgame, and it's just geopolitics.
1. US and Western economies are heavily based on knowledge work and software.
2. AI commoditises and reduces the value of knowledge and code/software.
3. It follows that making AI cheaply and widely available is a Chinese strategic interest, and it is only amplified as more US resources get poured into its frontier labs.
4. China will retain its unique advantage in manufacturing.
It's atoms over bits, geopolitics edition.
I expect @AnthropicAI to increasingly compete against their customers and distill their customersโ data. Chinese models wipe out their margins, leaving no margins on the model layer itself. If Chinese models deliver similar results, Anthropic canโt even compete against US neoclouds in inference pricing as they donโt have enough compute. And itโs getting harder for everyone to pay huge premium even if they stayed frontier. (Most tasks are good enough with cheap models)
In order to justify its 1 trillion valuation, they have to go into applications or services. When they sell both vertical outcomes and models, their enterprise customers would worry and pivot away from Anthropic whenever they can.
OpenAI will be fine with its huge consumer user base where there is no such dynamic.
@jomdont@petergyang They should raise prices on their subscriptions instead of making models unavailable to subscribers. People subscribe on the understanding they're going to have access to the most current models - price accordingly.
@0xSero This is kinda why a single RTX Pro 6000 is terrible value. Imagine spending $15k on a GPU only to run a worse model than you can on a $1.5k 3090.