The answers to many modern problems are simple but politically incorrect.
So instead of solving anything, everybody pretends they don't know what's going on, and spend years misdiagnosing the issue, talking in circles, and wasting time.
Search is full of ads and wrong answers. Every other email is an ad. Prime Video charges you and shows ads. Paramount? Ads. Peacock? YouTube? Hulu? Ads followed by more ads. Netflix full of ads. Meta and X, every other thing is an ad. Pinterest is nothing but ads. AI is in everything. AI finishes sentences incorrectly and won’t stop. AI reads your email and search history to target you with more ads. Every time you open an app or visit a site there’s an update making it worse. In a hurry? First, click here to agree to terms you don’t have time to read and must accept. You need an account to do that. Change your temporary password. Enter your 2FA code. Check your email and enter that code. Now use a passkey. Your password is too simple to remember. Change it. No, not like that. Now log on. Enter your 2FA code. Check your email for a code… Welcome back! We’ve updated our terms of service and privacy policy (you have none). Subscribe to the site. Subscribe to Netflix. Subscribe to toilet paper. Subscribe to these groceries. Pay a membership fee for the right to subscribe then tip your driver who delivers the subscriptions your membership lets you subscribe to. Time to work? We’ve got to update your laptop and will slow down everything you do until you agree to update. But first, click here to agree. Update installed — your laptop’s broken now. It doesn’t matter, since your boss just replaced you with AI. Go to your phone to complain on social media. Wait, your phone needs an update so we can add more AI. Click here. Oh sorry, your phone can’t handle this update. Now it’s useless. Go get the newest phone. Here’s a text from a friend, an email, a voice mail they left three days ago but you didn’t see until now because of sync problems with the cloud. It’s their GoFundMe. Their MLM. Their Patreon. Never mind, you didn’t respond to their text within 9 minutes and now you’re no longer friends. They blocked you. Make new friends. Download this app to find people in your area. In your neighborhood. On your street. Two doors down from you. Do you know this person yet, we think you’d get along. You need an account to use this app. That username is taken. Enter a password. Not that one, you used it on another site. You need to be connected to WiFi to download the app. Allow the app to connect to other devices on your network. Allow the app to access your contacts, know your precise location, store your credit card details. Oops, sorry, we got hacked now all that info is available on the web. There’s a class action suit. You can join. It’ll take a decade to get your $3.73 share of the ten billion settlement. We’ll send it via PayPal or deposit it to your bank, just tell us those details. Oh no, another hack. That info is circulating now, too. Here’s a spam call, a spam email, a spam text. Why are you angry? Why are you talking about getting rid of your phone? Why don’t you like AI, it lets us make all of this easier? Do you know how ridiculous that sounds? This is progress. You’ll be left behind. Do you want to be left behind? Do you???
Libya negotiated.
Let's be precise about what happened to Libya.
In 2003, Muammar Gaddafi made a strategic decision to abandon his weapons programs, open his country to international inspectors, and normalize relations with the West.
He paid reparations for Lockerbie.
He dismantled his nuclear program.
He cooperated with Western intelligence against Al-Qaeda.
He did everything that was asked of him.
He negotiated. He complied. He normalized.
In 2011, NATO bombed Libya for seven months.
His own military turned against him with Western backing.
He was captured in a drainage pipe.
A mob sodomized him with a bayonet while Western officials watched via satellite feed.
Hillary Clinton laughed about it on camera.
"We came, we saw, he died."
The man who gave up his deterrent in exchange for promises of security and normalization died in a drainage pipe while the people who made him those promises laughed at the footage of him being sodomized with a bayonet.
And Libya, which had the highest GDP per capita in Africa, free healthcare, free education, housing subsidies, and a functioning welfare state, became a failed state with open slave markets within three years.
This is what negotiated security guarantees look like.
This is the documented outcome.
Not a fringe case. Not a misunderstanding.
The most complete, unambiguous illustration possible of what your weapons are worth the moment you give them up.
The lesson is not complicated.
The only deterrent is a deterrent you still possess.
The moment you negotiate it away, you have nothing left to negotiate with.
The one JAŸ-Z quote that stood out to me in his new GQ interview
“I just see the world for what it is, not for what I want it to be. I’m a realist. It’s not idealistic. People speak about the world how they want to see it. You’re never going to win like that.”
British police officers aren't even allowed to carry guns but when Jews are offended, there's a special army with automatic weapons. This overt display of inequality is fueling antisemitism. If Jews are equal, they should be treated equally. I.e., call the cops when you've been shot. Because that's the level of protection natives get.
Jay-Z speaks on attaining his wealth and the balance that comes with keeping it.
“Your morality defines who you are. Your morality is not defined by a dollar amount. And if so, what is that dollar amount? When does it start? If it’s a cutoff like “all millionaires are bad,” at $999,000 I’m good? It can’t be that way. It doesn’t make any sense. I got successful the hard way, in spite of the way the system is set up. Everything was against me. My talent pushed against all the headwinds and I got successful that way. And with that success, I’ve done things with my reach that I wanted to do that was helpful for a lot of people.
And I think that’s most important—the things you believe in, the things you align with. Because a person with more money can do more good. It’s a choice. Again, we’re living in the real world. You can be realistic or idealistic. This is the system that we have. And with the system that we have, what are you going to do?”
Terrence Tao’s arguments for the value of serendipity and the counterintuitive benefits of inefficiency align perfectly with Why Greatness Cannot Be Planned. Too much emphasis today on optimization, getting the answer right, and getting exactly what we asked for.