Muya Mukena

Curious Mind | Posts are personal

[Dean N Onyambu @InfinitelyDean]

An incumbent publicly declaring himself chief spy and pre-accusing the opposition of fidgeting with votes. The question is why. Three readings.

First, turnout engineering. Voter apathy among disillusioned UPND supporters is real, not manufactured. When turnout drops in Zambia, margins compress in unpredictable ways. The threat of vote fidgeting creates urgency to show up.

Second, legitimacy insurance. Pre-accusing the opposition means any tightening of the result gets attributed to tampering rather than eroding support. The chief spy line establishes he saw it coming.

Third, the polling itself. If you're anywhere near 55 to 63 per cent, the opposition would need to fidget with an enormous number of votes to close that gap. The margin doesn't justify the language. Unless the race is closer than reported.

All three are possible. Which one it is will become clear on election day. But the one thing that stays with me is that voter apathy may play a part in pricing a runoff scenario a bit higher than many currently consider. I'm not saying it will be a runoff. I'm saying a runoff has been underpriced for a while.

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@mukunsa_w The key to such huge numbers is discipline. Majority of these drivers are used to touching small bills often hence they spend recklessly but yea it's very possible to hit 30k a month....

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@eatsbyvimbiso Welcome back 🥳

@LiquidInTechZM

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@Makanjila_23 A good number of them depend on ba Lusaka (family members) to survive so it's no surprise that they are entitled.

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@MrBeast 911 807 pennies

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

The moon is breathtaking tonight, glowing like a secret the night refuses to keep. 🌕

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@FMwenge Master what are you trying to tell us? 🤣

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@brighton_zm Calm down bro!

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@MtongaAndrew5 The "megawatts"

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@MtongaAndrew5 Nshima gives you power 🤣

[Paul Kruz @PaulKruz1]

No matter who wins the August 13th elections.

One thing that needs to be studied is how Brian Mundubile and Makebi Zulu have been able to garner such support on the ground and sympathizers online in less than 8 weeks.

Are people genuinely dissatisfied with the UPND?

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

Why is @SADC_News and AU tolerating South Africans? They’re becoming a primitive and violent people.

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@noel_milimo Just use any street in the area after dark 😂

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

Thought we were building a sleek new tech-hub in Rhodes Park but my 20 hrs commute home looked like a completely different kind of business district! The streets are packed with sex workers. Guess the office park has a very different shift after dark. 😒

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@ssishuwa Calm down man... 💀

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@mutachali Eh.... 💀

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@TowieTowy Zambian businesses are scammers 🤣

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@mwiyas Violence 🤣💀

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@selfstyledking True 💯...

[Muya Mukena @MuyaMukena]

@_KayNatalie Kusiyana siyana kwama priorities 🤣