MysFawbet

crypto

[willo2 @willo2_Poly]

I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket.

I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st".

Here's what happened:

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

@vsadkovv

[Egor @egor_rdnk]

@ag_dwf we are so bad

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

@Yellow What about other exchanges?

[Limitless @trylimitless]

If you got rugged by the Opinion airdrop, Limitless got you covered.

2x Points Multiplier on Limitless is now LIVE for ANY user who traded on Opinion till February 28.

The campaign starts on March 2 and ends on April 5, 2026. This will result in a fair and instant airdrop once our Season 3 ends on May 25.

If they don't care about their community, we will.

[Movez @0xMovez]

Polymarket traders Python strategy decoder script

Copy-trading a wallet without understanding its strategy is "gambling"

This Python script can decode any Polymarket wallet’s strategy in 30 seconds.

You can send the results to your Clawdbot and ask it to copy the strategy !

How to run script in 30-sec:

> Download Python3.1 on your Mac/PC
> Install dependencies using: "pip3 install requests"
> Upload { analyze_user.py, analyze_trades.py }
> Run "python3 analyze_user.py {market} {wallet}"

As a result, you’ll get raw data showing whether a trader is just gambling or has a consistent strategy.

Use Jayden’s article to find all the files and an explanation of how to use them.

[Blaze @browomo]

My pilot friend told me he gets a weather update 12 hours before any public forecast.

I asked him, do you trade on Polymarket?

He laughed. Then went quiet.

We were at a bar last Friday. He had just landed from Frankfurt. I was complaining about a losing streak on weather markets.

Then between sips he said something that made me put my glass down.

"You are betting on weather using weathercom? That is like trading stocks using yesterday newspaper."

He pulled out his phone and showed me an app I had never seen. A wall of codes. METAR. TAF. SIGMET.

Temperature to the tenth of a degree. Wind speed. Pressure systems. Cloud ceiling. Updated every 1 to 3 hours.

We get this before every flight. Directly from meteorological stations. Not forecasts. Observations. Real readings from real sensors.

Every pilot in the world has access to this. Aviation safety requires it. But nobody outside of aviation ever looks at it.

He went back to his beer. For him this was routine.

I sat there doing math in my head.

If aviation data updates every 1 to 3 hours and Polymarket odds on weather markets lag behind reality, how big is that window?

I do not know the exact delay. But from what I have seen trading these markets the prices sometimes feel hours behind what the actual forecast already says.

That means someone with faster data could be buying YES at 10 to 15 cents when the real probability is already way higher.

Not predicting the weather. Just reading it before the market does.

I went home. Could not sleep. Opened Polymarket and started searching.

If this edge exists, someone must already be using it.

It took me forty minutes of digging through weather wallets to find what I was looking for.

→ His profile: https://t.co/ldsznQfuRv


This wallet started at -$47. The balance now: over $27,000.

Every single position is weather.

Temperature in Dallas.
Rain in Buenos Aires.
Whether London will hit 11 degrees on a Tuesday.

The win rate sits at 76.6%. Three out of four bets land green.

Most entries cost pennies. 2 to 5 cents per share. When the bet loses the damage is tiny, $50 gone.

When it wins the payout is the full dollar. One win covers $500. Sometimes $5,000.

At 76% accuracy with that payout ratio the math speaks for itself.

I checked the entry timing on this wallet. It is not a millisecond bot racing against HFT. Positions stay open for hours. Sometimes a full day.

You can see the wallet move and follow it. No server farms. No Python scripts. No race against latency.

Last night I texted my pilot friend. Told him I found a wallet doing exactly what he described, pennies in, thousands out, all weather.

He read the message.

Typing indicator appeared. Disappeared. Appeared again.

"Yeah. I know."

He never said anything else about it.

Right now a meteorological station somewhere is updating a reading. A pilot is glancing at it before pushback.

From what I have seen, there is usually still a window.

[Movez @0xMovez]

Weather trading Clawdbots making thousands $ on Polymarket by simple arbitrage.

Scanning weather markets every 2 mins and comparing data to NOAA forecast for location/date

If they see undervalued temperature bucket (<0.15¢), they buy it and flip for profit.

> Run your clawdbot in 5 simple steps:

• install clawdbot on mac/pc using oneliner code
• connect clawdbot with ChatGPT 5.2 & TG bot
• create Simmer SDK account & fund wallet
• install simmer { weather trader } skills
• send your clawdbot right { configuration }

> Weather clawdbot configuration:

• entry threshold: <0.15¢
• exit threshold: >0.45¢
• max position: $5.00
• locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas
• max trades/run: 5
• safeguards: Enabled
• trend detection: Enabled
• scan run: every 2 minutes

Start testing with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis.

Scale it when you see $20-50 of consistent revenue for several days.

Use my detailed article to run you first weather clawdbot.

[nursex @nursexxl]

Polymarket is the place where even insiders make mistakes

Empty wallet buying a huge bag of shares gets labeled as an insider

In reality this doesn’t mean anything, in 9/10 cases “insiders” are wrong

Why relying on insiders is a foolish idea that will likely lead to a loss:

By closely monitoring contentious markets like the Shutdown on Saturday, I made a brief and clear conclusion

"Even if empty wallets flood the odds with hundreds of thousands of dollars, it doesn’t mean they will win."

1. "I-do-stupid-bets" was considered the most popular insider this week until he lost $76k in a single bet

https://t.co/aVp5weB1z0

2. "Alexparker" was the hot topic on CT in December after placing $750k on unreleased Epstein files, only to lose everything

https://t.co/pqd4S5L9HO

3. "def-1" made just 3 bets with an average entry of 0.5c on absurd Fed rates bets and is considered the dumbest insider, losing $27k

https://t.co/4cWIsBc7Iw

I’m not mocking these traders, I’m simply showing real cases and why you shouldn’t trust just anyone

There are rare instances where empty wallets making 1-3 bets turn out to be right, but these are very few and far between

[ascetic @ascetic0x]

I DID IT!!! Turned $12 into $100,000 (over 8,300x) by going all-in and doubling my bankroll 16 times in a row on short-term BTC moves - while sharing my bets and the reasoning behind them along the way.

This is only possible on @Polymarket !!!

It took a lot of work and real skin in the game, so if you’re reading this, a simple RT or comment would really mean a lot.

Huge shoutout to @shayne_coplanand @Polymarket team for building the best prediction market platform out there. And special thanks to @zscdao and @PolymarketTrade for the support🤝

Track my progress here: https://t.co/9MOdfR72Nd

[space Ξ @spacexbt]

a list of all accounts with a @TroveMarkets badge

highly recommend to never take any advice from those (best thing to just mute/block)

some of them are "known" for posting screenshots of high win PNLs

yet they sold themselves for $5k/month to rock a testnet badge

[space Ξ @spacexbt]

it fascinates me how excited people are about “insider” + fresh wallet monitors.

i needed ~4 hours to get mine running incl. bugs, filters and removing markets i didn’t want.
that’s it.
i pay $25/month for Claude.
if one correct read from the monitor makes money,
that “investment” is already paid back and I'm in profit.

i’m not a programmer.

you just have to ask Claude / Cursor the right questions.
iterate, then refine.

Polymarket literally gives you everything:
- docs are public
- API is free
that’s insane.
normally you’d pay 3–5 figures per month for APIs like this.

don’t be lazy.
don’t wait for “alpha calls” from others.

build something yourself.
it’ll compound far beyond crypto,
when you want to automate your next idea in life.

[Rishabh @Rixhabh__]

STOP TELLING CHATGPT “ACT AS AN EXPERT STOCK MARKET TRADER”.

Bad prompt = Bad result.

Use these prompts instead and see the magic:

[MegaETH @megaeth]

100,000+ users KYC'd. Over 70,000 Twitter users.

$MEGA Public Sale kicks off tomorrow at 1pm UTC/ 9a EST.

More dates and details to stay informed [thread]

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

Current market - total PAIN! 🥺🥺🥺
#Painfession @Pain

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

my collection @StoryProtocol

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

I have successfully participated in the @StoryProtocol Odyssey TestNet via @SNGLR_io and earned a soul bound badge as an OG user! https://t.co/CegRiUxQx7

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

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[PIPERX ꧁IP꧂ @PiperxProtocol]

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[PIPERX ꧁IP꧂ @PiperxProtocol]

🚨𝐋𝐚𝐬𝐭 24h for Story PiperX Badge!🚨 The eligibility snapshot window is closing in 24 𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐬. These badges will NEVER be earnable again, marking your unique support in our community! Come to https://t.co/y1Fp01ZnhX to participate the program for Firsrt and Best DEX on Story! Let’s Pipe OG!

[MysFawbet @MysFawbert]

@piperxprotocol @StoryProtocol wen dealine?