As we move into FOMC, understanding HOW the curve is pricing the Fed's action and what you watch will be critical
Powell has already made mistakes over the last 3 months and now the pressure from Trump is going to compound them
Let's dig in 🧵👇
My Favorite Indicator: VIX 10-Day ROC gets above 100
Has occurred 7 previous times
2010
2011
2015
2018 (twice)
2020
2024 (twice)
EVERY. SINGLE. TIME. $SPX was higher than signal date 6 and 12 months later
$ES_F $SPY $VIX $QQQ $NYA $DIA $RUT