Assuming the Vegas velo readings aren't completely cooked (and they don't seem to be, everyone else is ~normal), this Joel Kuhnel velo spike is... um... what?? He'd thrown 4 pitches at 99.2mph+ in his entire MLB life until last inning, when he threw 4 more, topping out at 100.5.
On 3/3 he conceded 2 H, 2 BB, and an ER in an unofficial WBC exhibition against Boston. But so far in official 2026 spring training/WBC/MLB play, Rico Garcia is yet to allow a base hit.
15 G, 13.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 16 K/7 BB (33.3%/14.6%), 40.0 whiff%, 35.7 CSW%, .109 xBA, 20.8 HH%.
... that rapidly lose their shine when you spend 30 seconds looking at the teams they were created against. They were a bunch of mediocre at-large candidates who traded wins with each other, farmed the league's dregs (San Jose State & Air Force), and ONLY Utah State rose above.
People desperately want to believe the selection committee is broadly biased against mid-majors. It's a good story. It's also not true. The *one* true claim is that power conferences are generally averse to scheduling high-variance mid-majors, which (while frustrating) โฆ
I don't mean to disparage the talent in this conference or whatever. The metrics say most of these teams are alright! But the resumes are what they are: non-Utah State teams showcasing almost zero consistency, more buy game losses than genuinely good wins, and "good" records ...