보이는 「기회」가 edge인가 noise인가?
나는 6가지 질문으로 판별한다: ① 어떤 종류의 왜곡인가 ② 누가 돈을 지불할까 ③ 상대가 왜 계속 틀리는가 ④ 우리가 먼저 도착한 이유 ⑤ 목표 size 실제 체결 가능? ⑥ 평범한 설명으로 바로 죽일 수 있나.3개 이상 답 못 하면 정식 가설로 올리지 마라.
“Polymarket 무수수료” 는 2년 전 구호다.현재 플랫폼 수수료 구조는 taker 미세 수수료 + maker 리베이트 + 특수 주문 유형 차이와 가깝다.‘제로 수수료’ 주장 반복은 잘못됐거나 정보를 누락한 것이다.수수료 사실은 버전에 따라 변한다.
#polymarket
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