Nathaniel Frank

Christian. I write about investing below

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

$ASML management says they are still expecting 2024 to be a transition year as it relates to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, while 2025 is going to be a boom in demand.

This is the price at which $ASML could be worth towards the end of the decade…

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@WallStreetMav Just eat a steak

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@tobias_gra48030 @DividendDude_X @Melgar_Cuell There is your argument against efficient markets when people try to argue :)

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@DividendDude_X @Melgar_Cuell No or else every company would trade at book value. Companies trade on expectations of future cash flows. PE’s represent future expectations. Expectations are high, agree with ya

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@OfficialBBrooks @ericweinstein Don’t believe citizens are demanding more, unfortunately. We’ve become complacent with watching the movie/circus since it doesn’t affect our day to day, yet.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@SivsPicks @PatOptions He has mentioned multiple times the opportunities become much more slim the larger you grow. Any investment, outside of large caps, worth the return at Berkshire would end in an acquisition.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@neverhedgecap “Down 11% YTD vs S&P 500 up 20%”

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@pyrtbilly There’s no way you actually posted this bru 🤣

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@RampCapitalLLC I heard the last one was sick, glad they’re trying another!

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@JohnHuber72 Totally agree, guys can’t be expected to not compete at the plate for the last three innings of the game.

That is if you want to stay in the show.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@QualityInvest5 A great inflation hedge as it takes a % of transactions

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

Read the full post here:

https://t.co/KUTTcZdCnq

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

Five thoughts from the market recap newsletter this weekend:

1. **Fed Rate Cuts & Market Impact**: The Fed cut rates by 50bps with more cuts projected, making credit cheaper and potentially boosting stocks—though inflation and job growth risks remain.

2. **Housing Affordability Crisis**: Home prices vs. income have hit historic highs due to low supply, high demand, and elevated mortgage rates. Limited housing supply remains a major issue by about 6 million homes.

3. **Materials & Rate Lock-In**: High construction costs and low locked-in mortgage rates have kept homeowners from moving, further restricting housing inventory.

4. **Dividend Growth Strategy**: An investing philosophy that focuses on long-term dividend growth investing, compounding returns, and generating income over time seems to be the most effective strategy across risk tolerances and investment horizon.

5. **Compounding Power**: Businesses like $V growing their dividends at 15-16% annually show how compounding yields exponential returns. The math behind the eight wonder of the world.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@drp825_ $V for the ROIC in business ops and dividend growth.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@litcapital Bro was flabbergasted

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@CramerTracker Wow pricing in recession

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@unusual_whales Aggressive

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

Great point. Reminds me of McLuhan’s “The medium is the message”

Our medium of choice in today’s world is short form, highly emotional and addictive headlines with little context.

Content creation, now leaking into shows/movies, is required to serve the desire of the audience, which is dumbed down.

A culture who’s medium of choice was well thought out, long form print with opportunity for debate and revision had a leg up.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@bjmtweets @oguzerkan Right, incentives on both sides. Good reminder to do your own diligence.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@bjmtweets @oguzerkan I’m with you on analysts being pressured for price targets one way or the other, but not having skin in the game keeps a certain bias that 50% of your portfolio in one company will give you lol.

[Nathaniel Frank @Nathaniel8Frank]

@QualityInvest5 I think there is just a lot of money moving on the antitrust news. Over done in my opinion but adds a risk factor to the discount rate.