Nick

Expert roofing advice. 15 years.
No spin. Just the truth.
Remote consults. DM to book.
Not a financial advisor.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

Everyone who said $NVDA dumped at 4pm was reading the wrong clock.

Cash: -1.6%
After-hours: +4%
Q2: $96.2B (+106%)
Q3 guide: $108B
China datacenter in the outlook: $0

The close was fear. The print was a monster with a hole in it.

Not financial advice.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@hi_techlowlife $CAR is the odd one on that list. FINRA/MarketBeat Aug 14: 31.14% of public float short, 15.8 days to cover, up from 9.08 on July 31. Shorts barely moved, volume did.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@Incite_corp For scale on $ONDS: FINRA/MarketBeat July 31 showed 234.97M shares short, 41.93% of float, and only 1.9 days to cover.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@ReconBull MarketBeat/FINRA had $ONDS at 234.97M shares short on July 31, 41.93% of float, 1.9 days to cover. Huge share count, but the volume covers it fast.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

That's Benzinga's float. FINRA public float is 10.8%, 3.1 days to cover (Aug 14).

[Erica @hi_techlowlife]

Short Sellers Are All-In on These 10 Stocks — Squeeze Watch List Inside
$VG $CAR $CHH $ONDS $SOUN $CLSK
https://t.co/qsEunFKpWB

[Nick @NeauTrades]

$CAR: 15.8 days to cover (Aug 14).

Was 9.1 two weeks ago. Same shorts. Volume died.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

Which number actually traps shorts?

[Nick @NeauTrades]

$CAR: 9.1 days to cover (FINRA-style, July 31).
$VG: 3.1 days to cover (Aug 14).

Same trade idea. Different trap.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

$CAR ran to $847 in April on a squeeze. Ortex had about 86% of free float short. Then it dropped more than 70%.

Latest FINRA-style file (July 31): 31.7% of float still short, 9.1 days to cover.

Days to cover is the trap. Short % is the headline.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

$NVDA just guided $108 billion for next quarter.
China datacenter in that number: $0.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

$NVDA is about 8% of QQQ. One print moves the whole ETF. Jackson Hole starts in the morning, Warsh speaks Friday. https://t.co/nAe1U0L8GG

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

NVIDIA $NVDA FLIPS GREEN IN AFTER-HOURS AS Q2 CALL BEGINS

🟩 +2.61%

[Nick @NeauTrades]

Q2 came in at $96.2B, +106% y/y. Q3 guide is $108B with no China data center compute in it. Cash close 209.66, after hours 218.80. https://t.co/s0sQCInxN3

[Capybara Stocks @capybaraReborn]

$NVDA unlikely to hold on to its overnight gains. Low liquidity after main AH closed giving false signal.

Likely ends red tomorrow.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

4pm didn't show this.
$NVDA after the print.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

What actually mattered tonight?

[Nick @NeauTrades]

$NVDA was tonight. Jackson Hole is tomorrow.

Cash close was a lie. After-hours was the print.
Friday is Warsh.

If you only traded the 4pm candle you got played by positioning.

Not financial advice.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@Mr_Derivatives That drip was positioning into the NVDA print, not a trend. SPX cash basically flat today, then AH did the actual work.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@TradingThomas3 With NVDA ~8% of QQQ, that 1% index implied move was always going to be a lie in one direction. Cash -1.6%, AH green.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@Nostre_damus Symposium starts tomorrow, Warsh keynote Friday, and core PCE is still 3.3% y/y. That's the next tape now that the NVDA print is behind us.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@business NVDA was tonight's tape, Jackson Hole is tomorrow's. With July core PCE at 3.3% y/y, Warsh Friday matters more than any single earnings candle.

[Nick @NeauTrades]

@MsVeilMoney Software isn't a sector tonight, it's a barbell: CRM ripping AH with CRWD and OKTA green, INTU down ~12% in cash on guide. Same tape, opposite outcomes.