Nicola Trevisan

"Conoscerete la verità e la verità vi farà liberi"
Gv 8,32

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@VolSignals Sorry Dan, question: why VIX below 19? why this level? thanks for feedbacks

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@VolSignals Maybe the data relised at 8.30 was the "narrative" to accelerate the downside

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@options_insight Sorry Imran, one question when you have time:
Which strategy do you use for sell vix-volatility ?
Thanks for feedbacks

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@alphaticaio Could a straddle work for SPX into tmr/friday?

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@alphaticaio I sent you some questions about this indicator by DM. when you have time if you could check. Many thanks Sir

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@MrWickTrades @flitterbgibbet I wish you the best Wicky even when life hits you hard and You/I think it is all over. God Bless You

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@joshthebanker @VolSignals @VSTarheels5 The black "zone/line" where Charm filps from positive to negative or from suppressive to supportive . (blue below/yellow above)
The delta decay with time passed built a sort of resistance line duted from the tons of negative positions above the spot that need futures to sell

[Wicky @MrWickTrades]

Weekly Update is out:

https://t.co/5hGhr0Ngvt

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@alphaticaio Done. thanks

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@colin_gladman Sorry Colin, Is it a situation that need gap to fill here? May 22 daily gap I mean.. also potential liquidity sweep at this level S/R 818.67 Thanks Colin

[Alphatica @alphaticaio]

The market is selling the names with the best fundamentals and hiding in the ones with the worst.

Here's why.

Memory stocks: EPS revised UP 53% over 90 days. Price DOWN 21% this month.
Mag 7: EPS revised UP 4% over 90 days. Price UP 6% this month.

The market is paying 25x for 4% earnings growth and dumping 18x for 53% earnings growth. That's not a thesis break. That's a capital ceiling.

The AI complex hit ~$32 trillion and stalled. Not because AI demand slowed. MU just beat by 24%. Estimates are accelerating. The complex stalled because AI companies started issuing equity faster than buybacks could absorb it. Net equity supply flipped to +$150B in Q2, the first positive quarter in 18 months. Alphabet raised $85B. SpaceX raised $75B. The buyback bid that powered the rally got outmatched by the companies printing shares to fund the buildout.

The result: capital can't bid everything at once. It rotates. Memory fuses to 0.83 correlation (moves as one). Mag 7 disperses to 0.11 (moves independently). The coupling between them collapsed to 0.08. That's the fingerprint of capital rationing, not thesis abandonment.

Four pillars tested. All four confirmed: thesis intact, crowding asymmetric, ceiling real, multiples compressing on rising estimates. The selling is supply, not fundamentals.

Full analysis with 34-name universe, PIT consensus data, and positioning framework in the article below.

If this research is useful to you, a repost helps it reach the traders and investors who could benefit from it. We publish this work to be shared.

$MU $SPY $QQQ

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@astocks92 How do play this data Aj? Thanks

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@alphaticaio Sorry Sir, could I send a DM to you? I have a question about your data when you have time. Thanks a lot for you daily feedbacks

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@alphaticaio Total agree

[Nicola Trevisan @Nic_Trevi]

@alphaticaio thanks for your feedbacks