Nick Woolsey

I'm a globe-trotting, poi dancing, multi-disciplinary artist investigating signs of intelligent life on earth.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel I just don't think 3c warmer will be the same climate, but average 3c warmer on any given day. The climate systems will slosh around differently, and extremes will get more extreme. Will be nice if you're right though. Cheers.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel Well if we’re talking 140 years and 4 degrees of warming, then North is for sure a factor, just not the only one. BC might only go up an average of 2c, but the heat domes could go up much more. Maybe try East Coast of Canada?

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel What’s the source?

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel It’s very regional, with big margins of error. The models show that BC summers will likely get hotter and drier, which could mean most of our forests burn. In general, coastal will experience less extremes. I’m sure there are maps of regions that will (likely) be most livable

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel Ie your question is misleading: there is little chance that both those places will experience the same climate but one degree warmer.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel They will often move to the places that experience less extremes (which includes precipitation). Some cool/north places might become more pleasant, but in general that 1-2 degrees will not be evenly distributed.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@honeytubs @JannePHirvonen @colwight @Aron_Adler @skdh @SpiralSquirrel Why North? Most places could handle 1 degree of evenly distributed warming. The energy and systems changes of that 1 degree will not be easily distributed. Northern BC and Alberta could dry out and burn while some places further south remain habitable.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@ethanwbrown @DrJimFan Depends on whether you define “breakthrough”
in terms of intellectual novelty or impact. Many breakthrough technologies were assemblages of existing technologies that crossed a threshold of usefulness.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@DylanRobertCope @GaryMarcus Mine was almost identical

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@alexandr_wang An introvert who has learned to lean into gregarious social behaviour is not an extrovert, it’s an exhausted internet!

I agree with the bit about unstoppable though ;)

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@Abel_TorresM @NPCollapse @OpenAI @janleike They are very clear that their vision and goal is AGI. Whether, how, and how long it will take... ah now I think I get your original question: not “who is setting out to build AGI?” but “who is actually in the process?” If so, agreed, maybe nobody yet.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@Abel_TorresM @NPCollapse @OpenAI @janleike OpenAI, for one: https://t.co/0KzostM0cf

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@ShannonKoz @JohnPasalis Give free money to...? Many of the immigrants are wealthy, it's a huge inflow of money to Canada's economy. But I may be misunderstanding what you're referring to

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@emollick I agree, capability change captures how it has changed for both better and worse, depending on the goals and prompts in question.

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@emollick Never mind, I googled. The demo improves the first few sentences after that input, but then the sentences degrade again

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@emollick What happens if you reply to Llama 2: "Review your reply and re-write it to make sure that all sentences end with 'apple'"?

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@svpino Is there a study that runs the same testing through GPT-4 with Code Interpreter? It gave me a good answer for "Can you help me determine whether 48,841 is a prime number? Please demonstrate step by step reasoning so I can understand the process."

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@emollick There were alternative paths to feeding everybody. I’m not knocking the Haber-Bosch process per se, just pointing out that it wasn’t a simple A/B choice between industrial nitrogen or 2.7B people starving

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@edgarrmcgregor Where are you seeing that? Is anybody credible saying that?

[Nick Woolsey @NickWoolsey]

@emollick I was indeed hoping to keep following you once you departed from this platform... but are you sure that's where you want to migrate to?