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Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead.
You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement.
I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible.
But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier.
Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want.
Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well.
So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it.
If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.
@the_transit_guy NYC should have its own licence or ID. You prove you live in the city you can get that ID and public services are meaningfully cheaper. All the tourists and other people pay way more. Apply this to all public transit and that paired with efficiency you probably solve the issue
Let’s let the data centers build in a safe, clean, and non disruptive way. Take the tax revenue to lower property taxes and incentivize new housing and job programs. Use our trained workforce and strong infrastructure to pull in more manufacturing and high paying jobs to the state. And most important of all rename Brewers stadium to Miller Park
@cryptopunk7213 Airbnb is going to replace hotels
Uber will replace driving cars
Instacart will replace grocery shopping
Crypto will replace fiat currency
I feel like these predictions play out in some watered down version or take decades longer to play out allowing for rebalancing
Having consulted in this space I would say that these issues are more than likely due to complete technical incompetence on the part of Untied Healthcare rather than them trying to deny things. If you saw how these companies work internally you would be surprised that anything gets covered
@crosstown_line The fact that you had to zoom in to show the region you’re talking about and then zoom out to show the rest of the country is exactly why what you’re talking about doesn’t work everywhere else.
@cigaM_88@unusual_whales This is exactly the problem. Homes in markets where people actually work and live with families are now vacation homes for people while they live most of the year in a vacation spot.