They are on very different paths and can’t really be compared. You’ll see how this all unfolds leading to December but the “who’s ahead” narrative will change quickly.
Even if everything went perfectly, there’s no way it’s possible for Houston to have an arena built for 2029 anyway. Impossible. Despite what the always-honest-and-transparent-NHL says, the reality is there’s no land officially determined (likely around Spring/Klein), the land isn’t zoned, and not graded. They’ll figure it out, but there’s just no way all of those things happen without a single delay or politician (or Fertitta) getting in the way. They’re gonna need minimum 2 years at the point they start grading it. So they probably go in 30 or 31.
Assuming that, why would Atlanta or the NHL wait 5+ years to go after Houston, while land and funding is ready now? Why submit the financial packet and finalize your investors now / why would investors be okay with such a potentially long and uncertain timeline? Why is land work starting so suddenly, when that land in Georgia has been ready for at least a year now?
As for the media and what “news” is available, for example, on the Atlanta side, until this week news outlets still thought Anson Carter was a part of a group that he hasn’t been part of in years. Another example would be the NHL nor the Krause group not refuting leaked building timelines or the final financial packet, yet that hasn’t been reported on at all. The broader reporting has not been very good regarding NHL expansion.
Overall, the key facts that are out there are usually interpreted extremely poorly. It is an echo chamber of a highly controlled or narrow narrative, and there is routinely no deeper evaluation of the available facts from outlet to outlet.
Both cities are getting teams so there’s no bias here! But there’s a strong chance you see the NHL take steps to publicly switch these cities around again very soon.
@JennyStreeter3 The ownership is there in Georgia, and the group is at least 2 years ahead with the land. Conversely, ownership means nothing until you have land and it’s zoned. Even if everything went perfectly, it would be tough for Houston to be ready for 2030
@FOS Front Office Sports not only saying “a long way off” but also mixing up who’s 33rd is so typical. There’s accounts with 7 followers who are more insightful than this