CorangamiteSurvivor

delulu about the solulu

[Charestiste🇨🇦🍁 @RealAlbanianPat]

Currently making the first ever actually interactive Australian electoral simulator. No such simulators exists on the market right now.

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@yuanlintech yep. But say if Fed Lib vote continues to go even further down...

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

So if Fed Libs continue to poll dog shit, does any of this translate to the Vic state election? One last hurray for the Libs? ONP becomes the opposition or wins?

[GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes]

#Newspoll Federal Primary Votes: ALP 30 (-1) ON 31 (+4) L/NP 18 (-2) GRN 11 (-1) Others 10 (0) #auspol

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@kevinbonham The much long awaited "federal drag" theory seems to be finally effecting state Labor govs

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@Ybot683196 tas kind of proves it does. No presence in the state and still polling 6% within the Libs

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@rbowr17 lib + onp gov what I'm feeling too

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

Vic Libs gonna celebrate winning the state election when they're polling like 10% federally

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

ONP already catching up the Libs, and no polls have been taken since Farrer b/e or post budget

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@_Evelyn_Clarke_ at that point Libs def beating ONP. Now?

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@joekirley I am genuinely curious if Malvern would prefer ONP or ALP.

[Joe @JoePostingg]

I do not really understand how Graham Platner was recruited. The same operation got Mamdani, like they can in fact grab a clean dude.

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@yuanlintech @ly68wows family first

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

6 months out, Vic 2026 prediction

54% right wing vs ALP tpp

* whoever of ONP

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@Numbrzstation people keep trying with the Libs winning Point Cook and I do not get it. Yeah it's rich but it's also one of the most multicultural seats in Vic.

It gets incumbency boost this time too

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@Numbrzstation Maybe but I kind of feel it's just too multicultural

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@RobertsCarlos_ @ly68wows Lara has higher percent with bachelor degree and a higher yes vote in the voice ref, so even with a better right tpp, I still think Labor will win

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@Llib7 my prediction lol.

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@ly68wows Badcoe, Croydon and West Torrens would have to be the 3 most multicultural seats in SA, and they are the 3 safest ALP seats

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@ly68wows isn't this demographic also highly educated?
looking at SA, >10% Indian suburbs were like only 10-15% ONP

[CorangamiteSurvivor @NotTurnbull]

@ly68wows the religious eastern european vote def will be high. But that's more Niddrie/Sydenham way