No one knows you. No one has a story about who you are. No one is waiting for you to be the person you were yesterday. You're just a stranger in a chair by the window, watching a city that doesn't need anything from you.
It's the feeling that anything could happen. That the world is bigger than the walls you built around yourself back home. That the life you've been living is just one version of a life, and there are others, and they're not as far away as you thought.
At home, you're fixed. Known. You fit into a shape that other people recognize, and after a while, you forget you're even in a shape at all. But here, alone, somewhere new, the shape dissolves. You could be anyone. You could be more of yourself than you've ever been. No one is watching to see if you stay consistent.
“They live in marshes, naked, without shoes, sharing their women and rearing all the children in common. They endure hunger, cold, and hardship exceedingly well. They will plunge into swamps and remain there for days, with only their heads above water.”
~ Cassius Dio describing Britons
Most people don’t understand VC funding
When you raise $100M, it doesn’t go into the founder’s pocket
It goes to the company, and whenever the company is sold, investors get paid first - in full.
Sell for $10M? Investors get the full $10M
Sell for $100M? Investors get the full $100M
VC money is a lot like debt. First money in, first money out
I’d go even further and tell you to block anyone who confuses a fundraise amount with a fundraise valuation, or an oversubscription with a raise amount…
But even understanding a liquidation preference puts you in the top 10% of people who get startups
> leaves alibaba to join DeepSeek🐳
> rival Ai Lab offers her $10 Million
> rejects & builds deepseek
> open sources model
You can’t compete with quants.
This is impressive, however people purchasing a sub to get the info will send wrong signals , I understand your stance as I also don’t even give mine out free (there’s no point in collecting money I already make)
Anyways nice work, and to the people joining , getting the code is easy, understanding the market is the important part
@theo Lately , me having 3 32gb and 1 64gb ram (originally wanted to build a gaming pc with it late last year ) sitting in my gaming room, seems like I’m sitting on gold 🙂↕️
The easiest way to understand the last 20 years of software-as-a-service businesses is to do the math yourself and realize Spotify found a way to make $1,500,000,000 per month by paying Amazon S3 $7,000 a month
programmers are making $10k-200k monthly on polymarket
here's how they actually do it
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1. arbitrage bots
buy YES + NO when combined price < $1
example: YES at 48¢ + NO at 49¢ = 97¢ total
you lock $0.03 profit per $1 no matter who wins
trader "distinct-baguette" made $242k in 1.5 months doing this
targets 15-min crypto markets where prices move fast
python script polls API every 1-3 seconds, executes when sum < 99¢
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2. statistical arbitrage
find correlated markets that drift apart
"trump wins" vs "GOP senate control" should move together
when spread hits 4-7%, short expensive one, long cheap one
close when they converge
trader "sharky6999" made $480k scanning 100+ markets per minute
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3. AI probability models
train ML models to estimate real odds from news/social data
if your model says 60% YES but market at 50¢, buy
trader "ilovecircle" made $2.2M in 2 months with 74% accuracy
uses ensemble of 10 AI models, retrains weekly
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4. spread farming
buy at bid (5¢), sell at ask (6¢), repeat
or hedge across platforms (short polymarket, long binance)
trader "cry.eth2" made $194k with 1M trades
high-frequency loop via CLOB API
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5. copy-trading automation
mirror successful whale traders automatically
scan profiles, execute proportional trades
one bot made $80k in 2 weeks copying near-resolved markets
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tech stack:
python + requests library for API calls
web3-py for blockchain interactions deploy on VPS for 24/7 operation
polymarket has REST APIs for everything:
gamma markets API (prices/volumes)
CLOB API (place orders)
data API (track positions)
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starting point:
> build simple arbitrage bot first
> fund with $100-1k for testing target high-volume markets (politics/crypto)
> expect 50-70% win rate but focus on positive EV