Nutshell Sports

Sports in a nutshell: fast, smart, backed by data and film.

NFL Draft boards and football tools linked below

Totally Serious Chicago Sports Tweets as well

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I built a website for the 2027 NFL Draft that tracks how prospects rise and fall throughout the entire pre-draft process.

Consensus big boards. Community rankings. Player movement tracking.

https://t.co/dg6MzhpFTZ

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@AllenBogarty It is using NGS separation data on all targets

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A look at separation adjusted for average route depth at the team level

The Bears were truly in a class of their own. Ben Johnson consistently put his receivers in position to get open.

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This is no doubt also tied to a QB’s willingness to attempt tight-window throws and trust his receivers on jump balls. That can bring separation down without necessarily hurting production.

Some offenses are also built around short throws, where receivers are already expected to be more open. So they need to create even more separation than expected for it to be a positive.

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The idea for this chart came from a comment @robertmays made on The Athletic Football Show while discussing the Bears’ supporting cast.

I expected the Bears to rank highly since several players were near the top in adjusted average separation, but even I did not expect the gap to be this extreme.

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@SamMonsonNFL Could be, but it’s more fun to just assume he isn’t. So that’s what I’ll do

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@Ihartitz This is #analytics

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@BrandonPerna @supermonangai Every fan base should do it, it would be hilarious the one Day Ty Simpson goes 4/4 and Stafford is just okay

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A look at how the running backs on the 2027 consensus board rank and which tiers they fall into

Jadan Baugh has been a big riser recently, moving up into the B tier alongside Ahmad Hardy and Kewan Lacy

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@CHGO_Bears Colston Loveland already found success on all nine routes where he saw at least three targets.

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A look at all four rookie QBs’ targets by route type in 2025

Interesting to see how differently each QB was used and how successful, or unsuccessful, they were on those throws

Route data via @FTNFantasy charting

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@elitetakes_ Time to start building your teams for 2027

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@jacobinfante24 @PFSN365 D’Andre Swift was especially good at avoiding negative rushes, with only 6.3% of his carries losing yardage.

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@HaydenWinks Average Ferguson target

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@AllenBogarty It definitely leans toward positive-EPA plays since you eliminate sacks and throwaways, but that is not always the case.

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A look at Caleb Williams’ targets by route type in 2025

He generated positive EPA per target on every route type except screens

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A look at how players performed on Go Routes and how often they were targeted

Courtland Sutton and Tee Higgins both thrived on Go Routes while handling a high volume of targets

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@Jasonlewis54 Too low on Jalen Coker tbh

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@FBallAnalysisYT This is why @NFLSEshow always points out low moving costs

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@BrettKollmann Like when they remake an old classic movie and the new version just does not hit the same

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Brendan Sorsby currently ranks as the consensus QB12 and a C-tier player in the 2027 class.

He will now have the opportunity to raise his stock this season.