Paula

I like to make stuff

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@ConanOBrien Here’s the proposal that Conan was kind enough to film for us:

https://t.co/tn6xIXchpb

[Captain Allen @CptAllenHistory]

Hi, I’m a lawyer. Do want to know what is really meant by a “#proportionate response” under international law? Then read on - and feel free to ask questions!

Under International Humanitarian Law, #proportionality requires that any degree of damage (up to and including death) to #civilians not be “excessive” in relation to the “military advantage anticipated from a strike against a military target.”

We are going to break that down, so everyone understands what exactly that means.

However, first, you should be aware that it is a misnomer that anytime #Palestinian civilians die after an #Israeli strike, it is automatically evidence of an Israeli war crime. This is completely false - the law does not work that way.

Simply, and unfortunately, the international rules of law recognize that civilians are often killed during war; and, most of the time, those deaths are actually not indicative of a war crime.

Instead, the legal test for “proportionality” requires that each individual strike be looked at with a particular balancing analysis.

First, here is a hard and fast rule: the strike must be intended to target a military objective; it is, therefore, an unlawful war crime to strike with the intent of targeting civilians without any military objective whatsoever.

Now, let’s get a little technical while still keeping it simple.

Under the First Additional Protocol to the Geneva Conventions of 1977 at both Article 51(5)(b) and Article 52(2), we know that when #Hamas uses its own population (or Israeli #hostages) as #humanshields - either by using them to shield themselves or to shield their weapons depots - Hamas has, under international law, turned civilians targets into military targets.

That means that when Hamas places weapons caches in and under schools, hospitals, mosques, etc., Hamas has made each of those places legitimate military targets.

So, it has been well-known for many years that Hamas purposefully placed its headquarters underground beneath the al-Shifa Hospital. In doing so, international law holds that the hospital is no longer just a civilian target, it is a legitimate military target.

That does not necessarily give the IDF carte blanche to attack hospitals, schools, mosques, etc.; however, it does mean that an IDF attack on a civilian target that has been made into a military target by Hamas’ use of human shields is not per se illegal under international law.

Instead, such a strike (as is the case with any strike conducted by a military like the IDF), must be analyzed through a balancing test.

One part of this balancing test performed by Israel before each strike is to determine whether the human shields in question are being used voluntarily or involuntarily.

If the human shields are being used voluntarily - meaning the human shields are there protecting Hamas and its weapons of their own volition - then the target remains a completely legitimate military target.

If the human shields are being used involuntarily - meaning Hamas is forcing people to act as human shields to protect themselves and/or their weapons - then the IDF must go back to the balancing test to determine whether the anticipated military advantage of a successful strike would outweigh the reasonably anticipated loss of civilian life.

Importantly, the IDF rules state that if it cannot determine whether a human shield is being used voluntarily or involuntarily, it must presume the civilian is being used against his or her own will and treat the civilians as an involuntary participant.

Assuming that there is a military target & that there may be human shields that are there involuntarily, the next step in the proportionality analysis for each individual strike (remember, proportionality is determined on a strike-by-strike basis, and not as the accumulation of strikes over time) is to try to determine the likely amount of damage to civilian persons and/or property as a result of the strike.

In other words, under international law, Israel must be able to give a sort of “value” to the anticipated impact on civilians (including potential civilian deaths). Simply, a smaller number of anticipated civilian casualties may make the strike proportionate if there is a significant military advantage to be gained by conducting the strike.

However, if Israel determines that the anticipated impact of a strike may cause many civilian casualties, it must make the difficult determination of whether the anticipated military advantage is so significant that it warrants carrying out the strike anyway.

So, if Hamas has a weapons depot underneath a house with two civilians inside, and that house has been used to fire 500 rockets at Israeli civilians, and it is reasonably expected that there are hundreds more rockets under that house, Israel can almost certainly carry out the strike within the confines of international law.

If that same house, however, had 10 families living inside, including many children, it could - and likely would - tip the scales of the proportionality balancing test toward Israel not being permitted to carry out the strike, even though the house has been used to attack Israeli civilians and can be expected to continue to be used to carry out attacks against Israeli civilians.

Now, that balancing test can always change. If that same house is being used to fire long-range, precision-guided missiles at Israel’s major population centers in places like #TelAviv (effectively putting millions of Israeli civilians in danger), the balancing test may tip back in favor of Israel being legally permitted to carry out the strike.

This all suggests the third and final step in the proportionality balancing test: the #IDF must determine and place a “value” on the anticipated military advantage that would be gained if it were to carry out a particular strike.

An attack on Hamas leadership and/or its weapons manufacturers would be considered a high value target. An attack on a single Hamas member who has no special skill, would be a much lower value military target.

Similarly, an attack on a small cache of mortars would have less military value that an attack on a large cache of advanced rockets that can reach large Israeli civilian population centers.

Once the @IDF determines the anticipated “value” of the likely effect on civilian persons and property and the anticipated “value” of the likely military advantage to be gained if the strike is carried out, the balancing test can be performed, and a certain amount of judgment must go into the determination of whether that strike would or would not be “proportionate.”

Importantly, this decision is so vital that the IDF does not simply permit a single solder on the ground with his or her hand on the proverbial (or actual) “trigger” to make that determination.

In fact, the decision of whether a strike is proportionate is not even left up to IDF officers. It’s not even left up to IDF Generals.

Instead, before any IDF strike can take place, IDF Guidelines provide that the proportionality balancing test must be presented to and analyzed by IDF military lawyers who then determine whether the strike is legally permissible as “proportionate” under international law and the rules of war.

And these IDF military lawyers are not mere patsies or people who simply “rubber stamp” what the IDF requests.

In fact, the IDF’s military lawyers work entirely independently of the IDF. They are outside of the chain of command and do not answer to anyone in the IDF, including a General (for example).

Plus, every IDF military lawyer knows he or she may very well be held to account if he or she makes a wrong decision based on the evidence available at the time.

Furthermore, sometimes the decisions to be made while balancing the likely military advantage against the likely civilian casualties can be so difficult that the legality of the strike is first brought to the Israeli Supreme Court for instant review.

Another important concept: the comparison of civilian body counts of #Israelis versus #Palestinians (to the extent those numbers can be trusted since they come directly from Hamas-only) is not relevant to a proportionality analysis. Each strike must be viewed individually to determine proportionality. It is not a test of the cumulative nature of the strikes.

Also, by simply comparing body counts, it does not factor in how many people killed were actually #HamasTerrorists, how many were Hamas collaborators there voluntarily, and it does not consider what military advantage was gained by Israel carrying out any individual strike.

As Israel is now in the process of seeking to secure the military advantage of preventing Hamas from having the capacity to carry out repeated attacks of the kind and nature seen on October 7th, Israel is permitted to act proportionately insofar as necessary to achieve that military objective (the elimination of Hamas and/or its ability to make war).

One more important fact people do not know, but that they should know: according to UN statistics of global conflict, the average civilian to combatant killed ratio is a rather appalling nine civilians killed for every one combatant killed.

That’s why civilian body counts in and of themselves are never indicative of a war crime. Each individual strike has to be analyzed, and unfortunately civilians always suffer disproportionately in wars.

In fact, while Israel is routinely criticized for any of its strikes that kill civilians, you may be surprised to know that Israel’s civilian to combatant ratio is routinely much lower than the nine to one average.

In the very last operation carried out by the IDF prior to October 7 (in Jenin), 0.6 civilians were killed for every one combatant killed.

In that conflict, not only were the IDF’s ratio numbers nowhere near the nine to one international average, but the IDF actually managed to kill more combatants than civilians - something that is extremely rare.

In truth, Israel is targeted by accusations of war crimes almost immediately by the media, by politicians, and by the UN General Assembly despite the fact that those accusations are near 100% of the time based neither in fact nor in law.

Since a proportionality balancing test must be used to determine whether a single specific Israeli strike falls within the confines of international law, someone providing an analysis must have all of the facts Israel considered before carrying out that strike as to the anticipated impact on civilians and the anticipated military advantage. Obviously, anyone who is making a snap judgment critical of Israel could not possibly have that information.

Understand then, that when you see talking heads accusing Israel of “war crimes” immediately after and/or during Israeli strikes, that is not an actual legal analysis under international law of what constitutes a war crime.

Much more likely, what you are witnessing is part of Hamas’ ongoing psychological and propaganda warfare campaign of demonizing and delegitimizing the State of Israel in the eyes of public opinion.

#Hamas_is_ISIS #HamasisISIS #HamasISIS #HamasMonsters #October7massacre

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@BriannaWu It’s like when they overturned Roe v Wade. They got what they wanted and just doubled down.

[Laura Miers @LauraMiers]

The Covid-to-rare & aggressive cancer pipeline seems to have claimed another victim.

Sadly, the cancer has metastasized to the bone.

[PaulleyTicks @PaulleyTicks]

BREAKING: After Donald Trump had a 50-foot banner of himself hung from the Dept of Agriculture building, right next to Abraham Lincoln - 3 more banners have mysteriously appeared.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@Angry_Staffer So much for cheap avocados from Mexico.

[.chantal//RYAN @thoughtrise]

there's one thing that has toppled EVERY authoritarian regime arisen:

networks.

make networks. cultivate resources. link up with other networks

what's your specialty? what can you do for others? rally people to help

the more rebel networks, the more power retained. use it

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@ronsterd89 Bursitis in the shoulder.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@RachelBitecofer WTAF

[Rudy @theneonrequiem]

A look back at every past Pantone colour of the year because 2024 and 2025 are both skin tones and I'm tired: A thread🧵

[Susan “The Actual Susan” McDonnell 🇮🇱🇬🇧 @sleeepysandy]

What does the fact that female menopause exists in humans imply? That matrilineality is natural. Men are, naturally, dispensable, throwaway adjuncts to the survival of the species. No wonder they invented patriarchy, eh? /end 🧵

[Mission Yak 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 🇮🇱 🇬🇪 🇹🇼🇩🇪🇯🇵 🇬🇧 @MissionYak]

The question Khaddafi asks here in 2008 is always the question that reveals the big lie of the whole “Palestine” project. Why, during all the years from 1949-1967, when Israel did not control the West Bank or Gaza, was there never the slightest effort by ANYONE to establish a Palestinian state?
In fact, when Yasser Arafat and the russian Soviet KGB invented the whole concept of a separate Arab group which called themselves “Palestine” in 1964, the original PLO Charter explicitly EXCLUDED the West Bank and Gaza! “Palestine” was defined in the PLO Charter as being the 1949 borders of the state of Israel, and West Bank was recognized as the territory of Jordan, and Gaza was recognized as the territory of Egypt. That’s why there was never the slightest effort to create a Palestinian state in West Bank and Gaza. Because there was no sense of an Arab Palestinian National group prior to the KGB-Arafat PR scheme of 1964. There was never anyone who wanted a state of Palestine in West Bank and Gaza prior to 1967. The goal was always to deny the Jews a sovereign state in their ancient homeland. The goal was always to destroy Israel. The dictator of Libya was still being truthful about this entire fraud of a state of Palestine in 2008.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@scarlettzone Yes

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@COVID19_disease Wishing you a swift recovery.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@willathewisp I’m going to say this is where Hollywood could step in and make movies with subtext to criticize what is going on. Look at movies from the 50s as examples of this. They’re about the red scare, but not overtly so.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@portna Except for the fact I was directly exposed on Tuesday (still testing negative), I have not had Covid. I eat outdoors, I mask indoors and I work from home. I get my vaccines regularly. It’s not easy, but it can be done.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@thejackhopkins 🔥but I plan to spend more time in the good place than here.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@UROCKlive1 Sounds like someone needs their name carved in a lemon.

[Nate Bear @NateB_Panic]

Covid depletes cells that are key to the immune system and getting covid regularly means you'll be sick more often and this will not strengthen your immune system it will progressively weaken it and you'll end up dying younger. You were lied to because you had to get back to work

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@The_Acumen I had the same experience on my flight. People are disgusting.

[Paula @NxtDrGrrl]

@Angry_Staffer I love this for them.