7 Anytime Touchdown Bets I Recently Took for This Weekend:
We are 10-5 on these plays this season so let’s keep it going…
1. Starting with Mike Evans OVER 0.5 TDs
Evans faces the Lions bottom-5 secondary and Detroit plays man coverage at a Top-10 rate. This matters because Evans ranks 4th at beating man coverage this season and in similar matchups he scores a TD nearly 70% of the time…
2. David Montgomery OVER 0.5 TDs
The Lions are 6-point favorites against the Bucs. In 3 similar spots this year, Montgomery averages 99 total yards and he’s scored a TD in all 3 of these contests. Tampa allows the fewest rushing scores this season, so something has to give here. Detroit is projected to score 28 points, this bodes well for Montgomery’s TD chances…
3. Christian McCaffrey OVER 0.5 TDs
McCaffrey is a 10-point favorite this week. He’ll face the Packers who had the worst run defense in the regular season. You can bet Kyle Shanahan is planning to expose these Green Bay linebackers in space. As a similar sized favorite, McCaffrey averages 119 total yards and 1.5 TDs…
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 0.5 TDs
The Lions pass-catchers have an elite matchup this week. They’ll face a Bucs secondary that allows the 4th most production to WRs. Tampa Bay uses Cover 3 at the 8th highest rate in the league. Amon-Ra has scored his most touchdowns against Cover 3 this season…
5. Gus Edwards OVER 0.5 TDs
Dalvin Cook signed with the Ravens, and I expect him to be involved, but this is still Edwards backfield in the redzone. He’s earning the far majority of the redzone carries and practically all the goal-line touches in this offense. It would make sense for the Ravens to lean on him in their most important game of the year, over newcomer Dalvin Cook. The Ravens are 9-point favorites and project to score 27 points. It's a good spot to bet an Edwards TD at increased odds...
My final 2 touchdown plays are taking both Rachaad White and Jahmyr Gibbs NOT to score. Both guys are heavy favorites on other sites not to score and we can add them to a Prize Picks entry at even money. It’s a no brainer. Credit to @AlexMonahan100 for letting me know about these two…
I took these as 5-Pick Flex plays only on Prize Picks. (screenshots below).
Prize Picks will give you up to $100 to play with when you sign up with code SAL
Best of luck this weekend ladies and fellas! 😃🤘
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