Ondras Pribyla

Dříve navigace v komplexních systémech, teď plný fokus na

[Carbon Brief @CarbonBrief]

Analysis: Clean energy just put China’s CO2 emissions into reverse for first time | @laurimyllyvirta

Read here: https://t.co/ta8oawNCqV

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

@pavelzahrad Pak je ale trošku nešikovný tam dávat legendu, která ukazuje velikosti kolečka, když je to v mapě nakresleno jinak než v legendě :-)

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

@MarekHudik Další rozdíl je v tom, že firmy fungují v evolučním prostředí - a "selhávání" jednotlivých firem vlastně vede ke zlepšování a samotné selhání firmy není pro společnost významně bolestivé. Státy ale potřebují být mnohem více risk averse.

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

Zajímavý věci vypadnou, když zkoušíte self-reference..

[Josie Kins @Josikinz]

I asked chatgpt's new image model to script and generate a series of comics starring itself as the main character. The results genuinely gave me chills.
I'll post them all in a thread below.

[Carbon Brief @CarbonBrief]

Global soil moisture in ‘irreversible’ decline due to climate change, study says | Cecilia Keating

Read here: https://t.co/6cfAhK3KMF

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

Možná ztrácíme sdílenou představu o světě... ale možná vlastně ztrácíme sdílenou předsatvu o tom, jak lze něco "dokázat" či "zjistit" nebo jak lze pomoci precizní argumentace dojít k nějakému "závěru".

[Kareem Carr, Ph.D. @kareem_carr]

People think American society has lost a sense of consensus on the facts, but it's much worse than that. It's lost consensus on what counts as evidence, standards of proof, and even the value of logical consistency.

[Kareem Carr, Ph.D. @kareem_carr]

*numeracy drops less than 2%*
innumerate people: this is literally the end of humanity

[Max Roser @MaxCRoser]

In 2004, it took the world a year to add one gigawatt of solar power — now it takes a day.

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

"If you want to help the world, your sanity and your epistemics are the base... everything else follows."

[Jan Kulveit @jankulveit]

Empathy isn't weakness.

It may be hard but I actually recommend extending some empathy also to @elonmusk

What's happening with him is foremost sad. My guess is large part of it is mental health deterioration, possibly precipitated by a combination of lack of sleep, stress and maybe substances. This leading to a condition where his epistemics declined and is increasingly delusional. This does not mean stupid - arbitrarily high intelligence is compatible with loosened grip of reality.

For most of us, this would be a point where our families and friends would intervene.

My guess Elon's situation is less lucky due to being surrounded by a mix of sycophants, people whose fortune is tied to Elon-as-enterprise, crackpots, and politicians. If you imagine yourself being in the situation, whatever insanity you come up with, there will be people cheering and applauding it as brilliant.

Also - few years ago he decided to fight a powerful egregore (a collective thought-form that takes on a life of its own). The egregore fought back: I think it is really quite psychologically hard when hundred million people hate you for no good reason, but with religious passion.

Imagine that: my guess is in such situation you learn to largely ignore the hate, writing off criticism as people acting on behalf of the egregore. Unfortunately this decouples you from the feedback loops which may have helped you stay sane.

Overall it is sad: the Elon who once dreamed of helping the world would likely be horrified by what he's become. The crucial lesson here is this: if you want to impact the world positively, your sanity and epistemics are the foundation. Everything else—your decisions, your influence, your impact —flows downstream

[faktaoklimatu.cz @faktaoklimatu]

Naposledy, kdy v Evropě ledovce svým objemem v celkové roční bilanci přibývaly, bylo v roce 2001.

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

Skvělý studijní materiál o komunikaci. Dějí se tam dvě věci: explicitní framing (vysvětlení hypotézy) a implicitní framing - ten je vlastně mimo slova, ale po třech minutách je naprosto jasný.

[Jiri Hynek @JiriHynek]

Geniální debata v senátu. “Je Trump ruským agentem? Určitě ne? Aha , dobře , kdyby totiž byl, dělal by , co dělá teď…..”

[Joe Biden @JoeBiden]

When that butcher Putin invaded Ukraine, Trump called it “genius” and “wonderful.”

But people would rather talk about how I mix up names.

[Friedrich Merz @_FriedrichMerz]

Dear Volodymyr @zelenskyyua, we stand with #Ukraine in good and in testing times. We must never confuse aggressor and victim in this terrible war. (FM)

[Petr Pavel @prezidentpavel]

We stand with Ukraine more than ever. Time for Europe to step up its efforts.

[Protect Kamala Harris ✊ @DisavowTrump20]

RETWEET if you stand with President Zelensky!

[Ondras Pribyla @OPribyla]

Co všechno "padlo" v důsledku zrušených USAID kontraktů? Tady je o tom vlákno... USA se tak otevřeně pozicují do role exploitativní moci a vzdávají se soft power, kterou v tomto měly.

[Atul Gawande @Atul_Gawande]

Yesterday, Rubio terminated 5800 USAID contracts – more than 90% of its foreign aid programs – in defiance of the courts.

Here’s a list of just some of the lifesaving awards that were terminated. Nearly all were Congressional mandated. They've saved millions of lives. 🧵

[Malinda 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇵🇱🇨🇦🇮🇹🇦🇺🇬🇧🇬🇪🇩🇪🇸🇪 @TreasChest]

Listen to the Finnish president—this is what a real leader sounds like, unlike the nonsense Trump says.