Owen

past words @fangraphs

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @matan_writes @blandalytics @pitchprofiler @TJStats Same handedness batter-pitcher matchup, not explicit LHP or RHP.

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @srbrown70 Yeah not totally sure, could be needing to oversample sinkers/cutters, very likely some small tweaks to a few places

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @HeWent2Jared The SL would have a larger impact because it’s the larger share of pitches thrown, regardless of anything else

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @MarkPriorRBW Yes, that's his "Slurve". Seems to be the replacement classification for what has been his curveball the past few years. He and Berrios might be the only "slurves" to be retroactively classified on savant. For now in the model I have to treat these as curves.

[Owen @O_dotco]

Stuff+/Location+/Pitching+ now up on FanGraphs! Here are some words about how it works.

(If you scroll all the way to the end, you have permission to yell at me and berate me. Or ask questions, whatever you’d like!)
https://t.co/W6VavFu5rh

[Eno Sarris @enosarris]

https://t.co/MYKSZnnPSj 👀👀👀

[Owen @O_dotco]

@justinochoi #1 aspect of pitching that you’d want to quantify?

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @LeoMartinic the model doesn't seem to care about the velo if the vertical movement is like this, similar with his horizontal movement profile. not that it's absolute but some reflection of 2020/21 data the model is trained on.
hudson in gray, league avg is the dotted

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @jimmy__the__kid ashcraft needs specific guardrails since both the cutter and sinker come out at same speeds.
overall, unique characteristics and will therefore break the model but unfortunately can really only be corrected as part of a larger model re-train

[Owen @O_dotco]

@enosarris @redsoxslutRBW @downonthefarm12 @throwing_gasse unfortunately no atmospheric adjustments on AAA stuff right now

[Owen @O_dotco]

@Jacob_817 @enosarris @DerekVanRiper @mason_mcrae the current model takes in more spin data than is here but by movement and velo, similar pitchers have around a 97 stuff+. also just want to throw in the small sample caveat

[Owen @O_dotco]

Some words about the nature of the bendy breaking ball. If you’re at all intrigued by the piece, I highly encourage you check out the comments under the post.

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

Why Do Sweepers Cause So Many Popups? https://t.co/KzRalz6ct1

[Owen @O_dotco]

Let’s talk about the best remaining FA pitcher and workload expectations

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

The Best Fit for Any Version of Carlos Rodón https://t.co/izJpPlEqa0

[Owen @O_dotco]

It can be difficult to think about the value of horizontal movement, but HAA is a great synthesis of release, movement, and location that gets us a bit closer.

An intro and some visuals here

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

Thinking About Horizontal Approach Angle https://t.co/YxlfYJuuCZ

[Owen @O_dotco]

Leury, Leury, Leury! Some words on the three-year deal for one of the game’s true utility players.

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

White Sox Maintain Insurance Policy, Re-sign Leury García https://t.co/ZOLUsCqjSS

[Owen @O_dotco]

8 MPH off of his max ev for the year, I think Soler should swing harder next time

[Owen @O_dotco]

While you settle in for Game 3, here’s some words on Game 2 starter José Urquidy and what kind of pitcher he’s morphed into this postseason

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

José Urquidy’s Offspeed Makeover https://t.co/hVE3BO4Y1w

[Owen @O_dotco]

Kyle Tucker has a team best 144 wRC+ and when everyone’s healthy he’ll likely hit 7th. I take a look at what Dusty Baker is up to and why it just might work.

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

Kyle Tucker Is Hitting Seventh and That’s Fine https://t.co/tY18PK2zkS

[Owen @O_dotco]

A little less analytical than usual, but thinking about the one hole that’ll likely keep Oakland from their fourth straight playoff appearance.

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

Attrition is Catching Up to Oakland’s Bullpen and Playoff Odds https://t.co/Ayq3nBsSvr

[Owen @O_dotco]

I love me a good mistake. Some words about the success of backup sliders without diving into the question of sequencing because, well, it’s still a blog post.

[FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs]

A Cursory Investigation of the Backup Slider https://t.co/RtnCKKLZdZ