OptimusDelta

🏴‍☠️ Foras Admonitio 🫦

Defense - Space - Deep Tech

Link to my lil discord server

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

$EOS.AX - This $1B laser defense stock is Iran's Worst Nightmare.

I have worked in the defense sector for 20 years and I have never seen risk/reward like Electro Optical Systems.

Here's why this tiny energy directed weapon specialist inspired by Star Wars is the next multi-bagger.

The nature of warfare has fundamentally shifted.

Expensive, multi-million dollar platforms are now vulnerable to $2,000 drones.

This has created a $100B+ global scramble for a Hard Kill solution that scales.

EOS is the only company with the tech, the battle-tested results, and the export freedom to own the global market.

The Rest of World Monopoly

Geography is the ultimate moat in defense.

US-based pioneers like $LASR (nLIGHT) are world-class but bound by strict ITAR (export) regulations.

The EOS Edge: $EOS.AX is completely ITAR-free.

While US tech is often locked behind years of red tape, EOS can deliver to Europe, the Middle East, and Asia with unmatched agility.

This is why Germany recently bypassed legacy domestic giants like Rheinmetall to invite EOS to the table.

As CEO Andreas Schwer (ex-Rheinmetall) stated: "EOS can deliver twice the power for half the price by 2027"

The Sovereign Pivot - Australia’s $5B Bet

The Australian Government has identified a negligible domestic drone defense capability and allocated $5B–$10B to fix it.

EOS is the only domestic player with integrated, battle-proven kinetic (Slinger) and laser (Apollo) systems.

Global Validation (The 100kW Milestone)

While others are in the R&D phase, EOS is in the delivery phase.

The Netherlands - Signed the world’s first export contract for a 100kW High Energy Laser (HEL)—a €71.4M (~A$125M) deal.

Ukraine & Middle East - EOS systems are already on the ground, proving their kill-link accuracy in the most intense electronic warfare environments on earth.

The Geographic Valuation Gap

The market is pricing $EOS like a local manufacturer, ignoring its role as the global challenger to US-restricted tech.

$LASR - Valued at ~$3.6B USD as the US domestic champion.

$EOS.AX - Valued at ~$1.2B USD as the Rest-of-World champion.

Both companies are addressing the same massive structural tailwinds, but $EOS.AX provides exposure to the entire global market at a fraction of the valuation of its US-listed peers.

The Financial Inflection (By the Numbers)

Gross Margins - Hit 63% in the most recent results; tier-1 tech margins.

Order Backlog - A record $459M (up 238% YoY), providing massive revenue visibility into 2027.

Bottom line - $EOS has the technology that Europe, the Middle East, and Australia are desperate for.

It is the only ITAR-free pure-play in the world capable of delivering the future of counter-drone warfare today.

For a deeper look into EOS, check out my substack (link in profile + first comment) for deeper dives into all things EOS.

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

$EOS.AX - The German thesis just got a lot more interesting

Deep dive SS article on some fresh intel I've dug up.

Don't think anyone has made this link yet, and it materially increases my bullishness on the Germany > wider Europe pathway.

Hope you enjoy! 🫦

https://t.co/wl7KwJa3jv

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@BlackPantherCap I think people get bored, and rotate too much.

They see the pnls from some big accounts, but don't realise that for most this is not a viable strategy.

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Common theme across the best performers in the market.

Conviction + holding + avoiding fomo.

Small, concentrated bets will outperform spraying and praying.

FInd your niche, become a master, and back yourself.

People will gravitate towards you, and you will build a solid network of like minded legends.

If you're the smartest person in the room, you're in the wrong room

[Black Panther Capital @BlackPantherCap]

Holy fk! +14,000 new followers in a single day.

I had to put my phone down and just sit with that for a minute. I genuinely couldn’t process what I was looking at. You don’t see a number like that and just keep scrolling.

I’m 9,500 away from a promise I made to my daughter. I don’t talk about her publicly, and I’m not going to start now. But I’ll say this: that number is not abstract to me. It sits somewhere deeper than a vanity metric. When I saw it, I felt it.

On the market itself. I keep hearing the same thing; we’re too extended, too risky, just wait for the pullback, be careful up here.

And I understand the instinct. I’ve felt it myself. But when I actually open my charts and look, I’m not seeing what those people are seeing.

The SPX 4H 50SMA crossed above the 100SMA on May 26th. QQQ did the same thing quietly. Golden crossover. The last time this setup printed, SPX ran from $5,774 to $6,987. Maybe I’m wrong. I’ve been wrong before and I’ll be wrong again.

But I follow what the charts are telling me, not what the sentiment in my feed is telling me. Those are two different things.

I’ve had a lot of questions coming in this week. A few I want to address properly.

Holding $IREN and $NBIS doesn’t feel contradictory to me at all. I’m not betting on one horse winning. I’m betting on the race itself. If compute demand keeps scaling the way I think it will, multiple infrastructure plays can win simultaneously. That’s the whole point.

On the simpler question of why I don’t use options or leverage: boring works for me. I’ve seen what leverage does to people’s decision-making. I sleep better without it. That’s worth something.

The tax question on selling comes up a lot. My honest answer is that I sell when the thesis is done, when the reason I bought the position no longer holds, or when the position has done what I asked it to do.

Taxes are a consequence of being right. I made peace with that a long time ago. The alternative is staying in things past their time because you don’t want to hand 30% to the government. That’s a much more expensive mistake.

And to everyone who’s followed in the last few days, genuinely, welcome. But I want to be honest with you upfront, because I think you deserve that more than you deserve a highlight reel.

This is not a signals account. I’m not telling you what to buy or when to sell. What I share here is how I think, what I’m watching, and what I’m doing with my own money.

The gap between those two things matters. Your situation is different from mine. Your risk tolerance is different. Your timeline is different. Make your own decisions. Use what’s useful and filter out the rest.

Now. $SIVE.

I knew this conversation was coming the moment I saw the move.

I sold before the 60% run. I’ve seen the replies. I’ve seen the laughing emojis. I get why people find it funny, the optics are what they are. You sell, the thing goes up, people notice. It’s a simple story to tell.

But here’s where I genuinely can’t follow the other side of the argument. If any of us could reliably predict what a stock does in the next two weeks, markets wouldn’t function the way they do. Nobody knows. The difference is whether you have a rule going in or whether you’re making it up as you go.

I had 220% on $SIVE. It was always speculative. Always small, somewhere around 2% of the total portfolio, which is exactly where I keep positions that have that kind of risk profile.

My rule on speculative positions is simple and it doesn’t change: get to 2-3x, take the money, move on.

That rule exists specifically for the moment when something keeps going and your brain starts telling you to bend it. Because that’s the moment the rule is actually doing its job.

The second I start making exceptions because a position feels like it has more in it that’s when I’ve crossed from strategy into emotion.

And emotional decisions have a compounding cost that doesn’t show up immediately. It shows up six months later when you’ve convinced yourself the rules were optional.

No regrets on $SIVE. Not even a small one.

If you’ve got questions, anything from the portfolio, the process, how I think about risk, whatever’s on your mind, drop them below.

I’ll collect the best ones and turn them into a proper long-form post for you.

AMA.

-BP.

Note: This is not financial advice.

$IREN $NBIS $CIFR $ONDS $RKLB $OUST $AAOI $ASTS $NOK $PNG.V

[Mike @BlackScholesMan]

Read the room here.

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@aussie_eos 👀

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Wrote this article a few months ago on the Europe opportunity for $EOS.AX

Momentum is starting to pick up speed, as per the recent Linkedin post by the company.

Two German delegations have made the trip to Canberra specifically to see $EOS.AX in the last 10 weeks.

You don't send your Defense Minister and then your Ambassador to the other side of the world to look at something you're not serious about buying 🫦

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Sharing some long-form notes on the Defense sector, focusing on the decoupling of US-European ties and the rearmament of the EU.

First article covers counter-drone tech, highlighting $EOS's push into the German market with their Apollo 100kW laser; entering a space dominated by $RHM (Rheinmetall) and $HAG (Hensoldt).

The era of the "Infinite Magazine" is here. Read the full article below:

https://t.co/8b0Cubgx2D

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@TheObserverCap 🎯👑

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@710Alchemist That's all on you brother - you took the conviction and pressed the trigger. Good work!

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Happy new all time high $EOS.AX bulls

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@blubbadafish Also a really nice guy!

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Been chatting with Boris for awhile now.

Very switched on guy, with some unique takes.

Always happy to share his knowledge, which is great to see.

If you're in the defense investment sector, worth connecting/following him.

[Boris Macro @BorisMacro]

As a long time defense investor I'm happy to see the MADIS program is now finally gaining media attention.

I will release an extensive article on this program very soon. I have fully mapped it out part by part, company by company.

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@MossyBroski I really don't like giving price targets tbh - it anchors price in peoples mind.

Needless to say, many multiples from here over my time horizon.

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Some interesting notes on $EOS.AX from a press article today

https://t.co/friySBvRek

Multiple clients in Europe - Germany and Netherlands

Europe to be biggest growth market

This ties in with my views from a few months ago per my SS https://t.co/xFkIxyk3Yq

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

This is insane - around the same time I actually wrote a substack article on $EOS.AX becoming the next prime.

https://t.co/Gmo2W9vuaf

👀👀👀

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Here's a recent mistake I made.

A few weeks ago, I spent time researching $EOS.ASX.

I even wrote up my thesis and had an entry planned around the 200 SMA.

@PhotonBull can vouch for this, we discussed it at the time.

So what stopped me from pulling the trigger?

I underestimated the value of their backlog and the impact of incoming contracts.

Simple as that.

Sometimes the mistake isn't buying a bad company.

Sometimes the mistake is understanding a good company, but not fully appreciating how strong the business momentum actually is.

It's unfortunate, but that's investing.

We win some.
We miss some.
We lose some.

The important thing is to learn from all three.
I still think the company is interesting and has plenty of potential, but after the recent move, I personally wouldn't chase it here.

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@RawCapital2 I've lived my life by it!

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

Absolutely spot on.

Do the research and remove emotion from the trade.

And most importantly surround yourself with people WAY more clever than you.

If you're the smartest person in the room, you're in the wrong room.

[CryptoCondom @crypto_condom]

There are a lot of good tickers out there….but there aren’t always good entries.

No matter how much you may feel FOMO, 9 out of 10 times it’s worth waiting for a retest even if it’s shallow.

Even the best companies correct at somepoint. If they don’t, well, there’s always another trade. 🫡

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@TheFlowHorse This is the view from your house?

Regardless, you have literally won life.

Congrats brother x

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@ThePiker2607 @Craaazy1231 🥂

[OptimusDelta @OptimusDelta]

@norbertbodziony @cobie Realise this more and more each day.