OptionsPlay

Master Your Trading Process. Intuitive Options Analytics & Education merged with Institutional Research to help you navigate the market with confidence.

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Tony shares two trade ideas in major tech companies that are helping to fuel the market rally despite broader signs of weakening. Check out this week’s episode of #InTheMoney: https://t.co/B7TEwM7sV1.

Sponsored by @Fidelity

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Winning trades are not enough.

A trader can be right on direction and still lose money if the losses are too large, the winners are too small, or position size is inconsistent.

This week in Growth Lab, Tony will show why win rate is only one part of the profitability equation.

https://t.co/909yN7i9wt

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

This week, we begin Why Winning Trades Aren't Enough.

Monday Market Playbook starts with preparation.

Tony will walk through the market themes, leadership, laggards, risks, and trade setups worth watching this week.

Then Thursday, we will ask why traders can have winning trades and still struggle to grow the account.

https://t.co/909yN7iHm1

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Many traders have winning trades.

But their accounts still do not grow.

The problem is not always the trade idea. The problem is often the account math.

This month inside OptionsPlay, Tony is teaching traders why winning trades are not enough and how to build a more disciplined framework for account growth.

Each week, Monday Market Playbook will identify the market themes, leadership, risks, and setups worth watching. Then Thursday Growth Lab will show how to evaluate those ideas through a profitability framework:

- Understand why win rate is not enough
- Control losses before they damage the account
- Size trades more consistently
- Avoid one mistake that erases progress
- Let the right winners matter
- Build rules for repeatable discipline

Why Winning Trades Aren't Enough. Learn the trading rules that help turn good ideas into better account decisions.

https://t.co/909yN7iHm1

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

A winning trade is not always a good decision.

A losing trade is not always a bad one.

This week in Growth Lab, Tony Zhang will review real examples and show how to evaluate whether the trade followed a disciplined process.

Join the Final Review Lab - Register Now
https://t.co/S5tl6Ak2mD

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Protect Your Mental Capital

Financial capital is not the only thing you need to protect as a trader. Hours of chart hopping, headline checking, and forced decisions drain your mental capital. When you are mentally exhausted, you trade emotionally. A good process protects your focus so you can make disciplined decisions when it counts.

Register Now - https://t.co/S5tl6Ajux5

#OptionsTrading #TradingMindset #StopChasingTrades #MentalCapital #OptionsPlay

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Trade Ideas Are Everywhere. Process Is the Edge.

More ideas will not make you a better trader. More ideas create more confusion. The real edge is having a repeatable process for filtering setups, choosing the right strategy, managing risk, and reviewing your decisions. Trade ideas are everywhere. Process is the edge.

Register Now - https://t.co/S5tl6Ajux5

#OptionsTrading #TradingProcess #StopChasingTrades #OptionsPlay #TradeWithProcess

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Most traders focus on the entry.

But the hardest decisions usually come after the trade is open.

This week in Growth Lab, Tony Zhang will show how to build a management plan before emotions take over.

Join Growth Lab - Register Now
https://t.co/zk2bzZtjlb

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Why You Should Pass on More Trades

Better trading does not always mean more trades. Some setups are too extended. Some have poor risk/reward. Some options are too illiquid. A disciplined process helps you decide what to avoid, not just what to trade. Passing is part of the process.

Register Now - https://t.co/S5tl6Ajux5

#OptionsTrading #TradingDiscipline #StopChasingTrades #TradeSmarter #OptionsPlay

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

$NVDA Earnings Tomorrow

Over the past 6 weeks we saw two simultaneous themes in the options market for seminconductors: institutions were aggressively SELLING long-dated puts (EOY), a structural bullish bet that any pullback would be a buying opportunity, while at the same time, traders were BUYING short-dated puts to lock in gains and hedge through earnings season. In the last 5 trading days, both flows have reversed: the hedging pressure has eased, and put selling has rotated from the back end to the front end, desks are now harvesting elevated IV around specific catalysts like NVDA earnings tomorrow, rather than positioning for the long haul. Call buying isn't broad-based, it's been selective, targeted at second-derivative semi names like AMD, QCOM, MRVL, ON, and INTC.

NVDA: Two large institutional traders sold puts on NVDA today, collecting a combined ~$3.1M in premium and $77.81M notional risk ahead of tomorrow's earnings Both expire next week.

They're harvesting elevated implied volatility. IV in NVDA is sitting at 58–60% heading into the print. The minute earnings hit, that IV will collapse, and these short put positions will benefit from that, even if the stock doesn't move.
Combined ~3,500 contracts and $3.1M in premium
Both strikes cluster near $222–225, which is essentially saying that level is where the institutional money sees support post-earnings.
Trade #1 — 9:42 AM ET

Sold 2,225 NVDA $225 Puts expiring 5/27 (8 days out)
Hit the bid at $9.55 → $2.12M premium collected = $50.06M notional
Stock was trading at $220.60 so this put is $4.40 in-the-money
Trade #2 — 11:07 AM ET

Sold 1,247 NVDA $222.50 Puts expiring 5/26 (7 days out)
Hit the bid at $8.00 → $997.6K premium collected = $27.75M notional
Stock was at $220.59 so this put is $1.91 in-the-money
#options #NVDA #earnings

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

The Trade Plan Checklist

Most traders can only answer a few questions before entering a trade. Risk/reward, strategy fit, max loss, exit plan - if you cannot answer all of these, you do not have a trade plan yet. Download the OptionsPlay Trade Plan Checklist and build your process before risking capital.

Register Now - https://t.co/S5tl6Ajux5

#TradingChecklist #OptionsTrading #RiskManagement #StopChasingTrades #OptionsPlay

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

The market changed. Does the trade plan still work?

This week's Monday Market Playbook will review which setups are improving, which are weakening, and which may need a clearer management plan.

Join Monday Market Playbook - Register Now
https://t.co/zk2bzZtjlb

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

With cracks in the rally showing after the latest inflation print, Tony shares a potential hedge on the S&P 500 and a bullish trade in global ecommerce on this week’s #InTheMoney: https://t.co/B7TEwM7sV1.

Sponsored by @Fidelity

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

A Trade Idea Is Not a Trade Plan

Finding a trade idea is the easy part. Knowing if it deserves your capital is where most traders struggle. Before you enter any trade, you need to answer the setup, the strategy, the risk, and the plan for when it moves against you. Stop chasing ideas. Build the plan first.

Register Now - https://t.co/S5tl6Ak2mD

#OptionsTrading #TradingPlan #StopChasingTrades #OptionsPlay #TradeSmart

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

A good stock idea can still become a bad options trade.

The strategy, expiration, strike, risk/reward, and position size all matter.

This week in Growth Lab, Tony Zhang will show how to turn a trade idea into a structured options strategy that fits the outlook and risk tolerance.

Join Week 2 Growth Lab - Register Now
https://t.co/S5tl6Ajux5

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Trade ideas are not static.

Market conditions change. Leadership rotates. Setups improve, fail, or become too extended.

This week's Monday Market Playbook will update the opportunity set before Thursday's Growth Lab shows how to structure the trade.

Join Monday Market Playbook - Register Now
https://t.co/909yN7iHm1

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

With oil prices cooling and market breadth improving, it appears that investors are rotating back into growth opportunities. We dive deeper in this week’s #InTheMoney. Watch now: https://t.co/B7TEwM7sV1.

Sponsored by @Fidelity

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

We built the AI Infrastructure Inversion thesis on two numbers.

Alphabet: 8/8 on our AI full-stack scorecard.

Inference market consensus by 2030: $255B.
Our agentic AI scenario: $650B.

That's a $395 billion gap between what Wall Street is modeling and what we think the market will actually be worth.

Alphabet captures a significant share of that gap:
- Google Cloud: $17.7B (+48% YoY), $240B backlog
- Gemini: 750M monthly active users
- Free cash flow: $73B (after $93B capex)
- Forward P/E: 27.5x

So how do you express this with defined risk?

On OptionsPlay, we overlay options strategies on our research ratings. For a stock with 8/8 conviction and a long-tailed structural thesis, here's what a LEAPS bull call spread looks like.

Long duration. Defined risk. Capturing the agentic AI inflection.

Research → Rating → Strategy → Defined risk. Try it free.

Try OptionsPlay free — research + strategy in one platform → https://t.co/1UfFGYmHM9

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

On this week’s #InTheMoney, Tony discusses two potential catalysts affecting the market before sharing a bearish and a bullish trade idea: https://t.co/B7TEwM7sV1.

Sponsored by @Fidelity

[OptionsPlay @OptionsPlay]

Broad commodity baskets returned +586% during the 1970s stagflation (1971-1980).

DBC — Invesco DB Commodity Index — scores 85/100 in our model. Overweight.

Here's why it outperforms single-commodity bets:

DBC holds: WTI crude, Brent crude, RBOB gasoline, heating oil, gold, silver, aluminum, zinc, copper, corn, wheat, soybeans, sugar.

When oil spikes → energy weights capture it.
When oil transmission moves to food → agriculture weights capture it.
When inflation hits metals → industrial metals capture it.

The basket approach means you don't have to predict WHICH commodity leads the inflation. You just need to be right that inflation is real.

And in a supply-shock stagflation where the oil price shock is transmitting across the entire economy — you want the basket.

Companion play: PDBC — scores 78/100, Equal Weight — K-1 tax-efficient version of the same exposure.

6 Overweight ETFs in our model. DBC is one of them.

See all 38 ETFs rated for stagflation → https://t.co/4XrHMp45aj