Bagher Oskoei

国际政治领域的伊朗分析家 Iranian analyst in the field of international politics

[Stephen Walt @stephenWalt]

He's denounced it, but has anyone asked NSC spokesman John Kirby if he actually read South Africa's 83 pp. application to the #ICJ re the possible genocide being conducted by Israel in #Gaza? I suspect he hasn't: he's busy, and doing so would make it harder for him to do his job.

[Sen. Bernie Sanders @SenSanders]

Many hundreds of thousands of innocent men, women, and children in Gaza today are on the brink. This is a dire humanitarian crisis and it's getting worse by the minute.

Congress must take action.

The Biden Administration must take action.

The world must take action.

[Sen. Bernie Sanders @SenSanders]

The disaster in Gaza cannot continue. The world must act to save innocent lives. But just as a humanitarian response is critical, it is equally important to lay out a path to a two-state solution and a democratic Palestine. Israel cannot bomb its way to a long-term solution.

[Sen. Bernie Sanders @SenSanders]

Attention is obviously now focused on the crisis in Gaza, but West Bank violence has also increased. The UN reports 170 settler attacks in the West Bank, and 121 Palestinians have been killed since October 7. Israel must end this violence.

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

伊朗和黎巴嫩真主党都不能参战。 他们两人都必须提出无用的威胁，以减轻舆论压力和#犹太复国主义者的压力。 在当前局势（国际秩序陷入僵局）下，唯一的解决办法是通过联合国大会施加压力，接管#加沙的管理和安全。

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

两种主要方法：#中国要求缓解紧张局势。 两国的形成是唯一的解决办法。 #美国，哈马斯受到谴责。 在任何情况下我们都与#以色列站在一起。 哪一个给人类带来了更清晰的视野？！ #加沙

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

The two main approaches: #China demanded to reduce tension. The formation of two countries is the only solution left. #USA, Hamas is condemned. We are with #Israel under any circumstances. Which one brings a clearer vision to humanity?! #Gaza

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

力量的均衡！ 这是当今世界的现实。 如果有必要的话，应该让数万人流血。 现在，美国及其采取先发制人的措施来阻止中国在#中东的渗透！ 在这场新的战役中，武装团体一直是美国继续在该地区占据主导地位的手段，除此之外别无其他。 #哈马斯

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

为创造与各方共赢的博弈，中国有意打造稳定的安全区和无冲突区。中国在伊朗和沙特阿拉伯协议形成中的作用证明了中国的和平道路。中国再次向世界表明，它是一个和平大国，思考全球发展和共同安全。(2-2)
#中国 #伊朗 #沙特阿拉伯

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

中国领导人出访沙特时，伊朗国内不少投机取巧者政治喧嚣和说了中国背叛伊朗，他们试图破坏伊朗与中国的关系，但伊朗和中国很快就解决了这个问题。伊朗与中国领导人会面时间，政治气氛趋于平静了。(1-2)

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

波斯湾理事会应等待伊朗的存在，中国肯定会支持。
#中国 #伊朗 #沙特阿拉伯

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

@AmbChangHua 太好的。感谢您。祝你健康快乐

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

The only way for #Ukraine to rescue from the saw position:
1.Grant autonomy to several eastern provinces
2.Adopt a neutral strategy such as #Sweden
The UN Security Council can unanimously guarantee its.
So Russia will return to its borders [while paying part of the compensation]

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

战争，媒体和舆论

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

War, media and public opinion

[Stephen Walt @stephenWalt]

I am reminded of Sun Tzu's dictum that one should "build a golden bridge for your enemy to retreat across." Unity, resolution, and continued pressure on Russia are necessary, but saving #Ukraine also requires making it easier for Moscow to reverse course.

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

@IAPonomarenko This crisis is as a complicated clash of interests between nuclear-armed states not as a morality play between good and evil. So it is better for the West to give the right score in time and not to make a gesture of absolute superiority. #Ukraine

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

@AmbLiuXiaoMing 这场危机是核武器国家之间复杂的利益冲突，而不是善恶之间的道德游戏。 所以西方最好及时给出正确的分数，而不是做出绝对优势的姿态。 #乌克兰 #Ukraine

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

这场危机是核武器国家之间复杂的利益冲突，而不是善恶之间的道德游戏。 所以西方最好及时给出正确的分数，而不是做出绝对优势的姿态。 #乌克兰 #Ukraine

[Bagher Oskoei @Oskoei]

This crisis is as a complicated clash of interests between nuclear-armed states not as a morality play between good and evil. So it is better for the West to give the right score in time and not to make a gesture of absolute superiority. #Ukraine