Patrick ₿tcateman

stack ₿

[Robert ₿reedlove @Breedlove22]

They cannot tax you 20% more without you resisting it, so they print the money instead and take it through inflation.

You pay the same price either way except one method requires your permission (sort of) and the other one doesn’t at all.

Ron Paul said it is not a coincidence that the 20th century was both the century of central banking and the century of total war.

[Movez @0xMovez]

Jane Street pays $750k/ year for quants who can answer how to use Stochastic Process and Markov Chains in quant trading.

This 1-hour MIT lecture on probability gives you the same insights quants get paid $60K/month for.

Bookmark & watch today. Then read the article below.

[Lawrence Lepard, "fix the money, fix the world" @LawrenceLepard]

This is why we can't have nice things.
Monetary inflation of 15% since early 2025. But hey, reported inflation is ~3.5%. Sure.
Chart by the brilliant @TaviCosta

[Parker Lewis @parkeralewis]

Ribeye inflation index has a big print. New price $37.99/lb. 17% inflation annualized from October. 18.5% annualized since last June. 90% cumulative since 2020. 11.0% compounded annually over 6+ years. Same ribeye, same store. High rates? Don't care. Bitcoin is the only way out!

[“Coosh” Alemzadeh @AlemzadehC]

The range in average targets we should be seeing is 400-700k and yet we don’t 🔥

[Jeff Swanson @theswansjr]

Bitcoin isn't real! It's not physical!

Yeah? Neither is the number seven, but I bet you'd notice if your bank balance dropped by seven figures.

Let me break the spell for you: money has never been "real."

Money is a collective hallucination—a social construct we all agree to pretend exists so we don't have to barter chickens for dental work.

Gold wasn't money because it fell from heaven with "LEGAL TENDER" stamped on it.

We picked gold because it was the least-bad physical object that checked the boxes:
- Scarce
- Durable
- Divisible
- Portable
- Verifiable

It was the analog solution to our shared idea.

But here's the thing about analog: it's slow, heavy, and requires armed guards.

And here's the thing about humans: we engineer better tools.

We went from abacus to iPhone. From carrier pigeons to satellites.

From gold bars locked in vaults to Bitcoin—verified by thermodynamics, secured by energy, and transmitted at the speed of light.

Bitcoin is the digital versioin of money. Just like X is the digital version of town hall.

Gold was the best we could do for many centuries.

Bitcoin is what we can do now that we have cryptography, distributed consensus, and proof-of-work anchored in physics.

Your grandpa trusted gold because he could hold it.

You trust Bitcoin because you can verify it.

One required faith in a metal. The other requires faith in math.

Guess which one has never been debased, diluted, or confiscated by executive order?

The concept of money is a human mental construct.

Always has been. Always will be.

The only question is: do you want your construct built on scarcity enforced by governments—or scarcity enforced by code?

Gold was monetary technology for the industrial age. Bitcoin is monetary technology for the information age.

Welcome to the upgrade.

[Patrick ₿tcateman @PBTCateman]

@anishmoonka Churchill is a f~get

[Miles Deutscher @milesdeutscher]

Claude Code x TradingView is the best AI trading quant of all time.

Gone are the days of AI slop market analysis - AI is now better at technical analysis than you.

Here's how you can turn Claude Code into your expert trading quant (in <5 minutes):

Step 1. Ensure you have these requirements:

• Claude Code - installed on your computer (this is what talks to TradingView)

• Node.js 18+ - installed on your computer (the MCP server runs on this)

• TradingView Desktop app - downloaded from https://t.co/1YkJpaCU8L

• A valid TradingView subscription (paid plan for real-time data)

Step 2. Open Claude Code and run the following prompt to connect the TradingView MCP:

"Install the TradingView MCP server. Clone and explore https://t.co/k1Ql1o0CYi, run npm install, add to my MCP config at ~/.claude/.mcp.json, and launch TradingView with the debug port."

Step 3. Health check

Restart Claude Code, and paste this prompt:

"Use tv_health_check to confirm TradingView is connected."

If correctly connected, Claude Code should respond with a confirmation.

Step 4. Start prompting

Claude Code now has access to your ENTIRE TradingView environment

Your charts, your technical analysis, alerts - everything.

Use this prompt to turn Claude Code into your personal market analyst:

"Act as an elite quantitative trader and technical analyst with full access to my TradingView environment.

Analyze the current market structure for [ASSET] on the following timeframes: 5m, 15m, 1H, 4H, 1D.

Use my existing indicators, drawings, and chart context to:

Identify the current trend and market regime (trending, ranging, accumulation, distribution)
Mark key support and resistance levels based on price action and liquidity
Identify liquidity pools, stop clusters, and likely areas of manipulation
Analyze momentum using RSI, MACD, and volume where available
Detect any chart patterns (breakouts, consolidations, deviations, etc.)
Evaluate confluence across timeframes

Then provide:

A clear directional bias (bullish, bearish, neutral)
The highest probability trade setup right now
Exact entry, stop loss, and take profit levels
Risk-to-reward ratio
Invalidation point (what would prove this analysis wrong)

Finally:

Explain your reasoning step-by-step in plain English.
Avoid generic statements. Be decisive.
If no high-quality setup exists, explicitly say “no trade” and explain why."

This is an EXTREMELY powerful setup - make sure to save this post so you don't forget it.

[Crypto Tice @CryptoTice_]

I'M SORRY BUT NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT WHAT BITCOIN JUST DID.

Multi-year Cup and Handle. Complete.

Breakout. DONE.
Perfect retest. DONE.
Structure confirmed. DONE.

This pattern took years to build.
And nobody noticed.

Cup and Handle breakouts don't move 20%.
They move hundreds of percent.

The retest just finished.
The launch is next.

$220K is the minimum target.
Most people will only find out after it happens.

[Marty Bent @MartyBent]

An example of incredible mainstream bitcoin marketing. Bravo @unchained.

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

Holy goddamn.

I was just routinely checking my onchain charts and getting a feel for how accumulation is going...

And I have just seen here, the largest buying spike for Long term holders, ever.

These guys have been buying since the price dropped to $80k in November, then accelerated at $60k...

And have now just added almost 1m Bitcoin over the last week.

Insane.

Since they started accumulating again, they have added a total of 2m Bitcoin.

10% of the supply.

And that recent massive spike is cos these guys see what is happening.

Yet another super strong signal that we are not going lower.

[Patrick ₿tcateman @PBTCateman]

@theswansjr @FinancialPhys you’re so right bro

[Jeff Swanson @theswansjr]

Normie Logic: "The stock market is making new highs."
Reality: Nope. Priced in real money, the S&amp;P 500 is lower today than it was in 1968.
The chart doesn't lie.
The dollar does.

[Elias Al @iam_elias1]

Two economists just published a mathematical proof that AI will destroy the economy.

Not might. Not could. Will — if nothing changes.

The paper is called "The AI Layoff Trap." Published March 2, 2026. Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Boston University. Peer reviewed. Mathematically modeled.
The conclusion is one sentence.
"At the limit, firms automate their way to boundless productivity and zero demand."

An economy that produces everything. And sells it to nobody.
Here is how you get there.
A company fires 500 workers and replaces them with AI. A competitor fires 700 to keep up. Another fires 1,000. Every company is behaving rationally. Every company is following the incentives correctly. And every company is building a trap for itself.

Because the workers who were fired were also customers.
When they lose their jobs faster than the economy can absorb them, they stop spending. Consumer demand falls. Companies respond by cutting costs — which means automating more workers — which means less spending — which means more falling demand — which means more automation.

The loop has no natural exit.
The researchers tested every proposed solution. Universal basic income. Capital income taxes. Worker equity participation. Upskilling programs. Corporate coordination agreements.
Every single one failed in the model.
The only intervention that worked: a Pigouvian automation tax — a per-task levy charged every time a company replaces a human with AI, forcing them to price in the demand they are destroying before they pull the trigger.

No government has implemented this. No major economy is seriously discussing it.
Meanwhile the numbers are already tracking the curve. 100,000 tech workers laid off in 2025. 92,000 more in the first months of 2026. Jack Dorsey fired half of Block's workforce and said publicly: "Within the next year, the majority of companies will reach the same conclusion."
Nobody is doing anything wrong. Companies are following their incentives perfectly. That is exactly the problem.

Rational behavior. At scale. Simultaneously. With no mechanism to stop it.
Two economists built the math. The math leads to one place.

Source: Falk & Tsoukalas · Wharton School + Boston University ·
https://t.co/4m8E9jQNYm

[The ₿itcoin Therapist @TheBTCTherapist]

The bounce will be hard and fast. Many will not recover their bags. They still wait for a larger pull back. $40,000 certainly not coming, $50,000 a hopeful dream, $60,000 you had your chance and missed it. We only go higher now. If you sold you’re dead to me.

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

Big moves are brewing.

The monthly close is due for Bitcoin in a few hours and it looks great.

But the overall macro picture looks absolutely phenomenal.

Let's go over this in detail as we close out this month and talk about the historically, 100% accurate, bullish situation we are in.

This is the 1 month chart. The chart that tells us the biggest and clearest HTF story of all.

I have covered these before, but the data continues to go the way I expect, which means incredible things for markets.

We are about to confirm one of the strongest bullish risk on signals in existence.

COPPER/GOLD - 1M MACD Bullish cross
Business cycle - In expansion

This is the first time this has happened since October 2020.

The times before that were:
- October 2016
- November 2012

And every single time Bitcoin went on to push extremely hard for at least one whole year.

I have marked on the chart every time this has happened with a green vertical line.

I have also marked where the bears think we are with a red vertical line.

They could not be more opposite conditions to where we are now.

This setup is a good as it gets to signal an explosive risk on market period and has done so 100% of the time.

Right now we have the holy grail:
- COPPER/GOLD bullish cross
- Business cycle expansion
- Russell 2000 making new highs
- Bitcoin bottomed and coiling

To further add fire to this setup, it looks to me as if the business cycle will expand even further tomorrow, and we will get a reading above 53 for the first time in 4 years.

This will further confirm this setup.

This is not a theory based on time...

This is based on 100% accurate, pivotal macro factors that influence the overall market situation at the deepest macro foundation.

Here is the thing to understand.

When these signals all fire, Bitcoin has never made new lows.

It has only ever gone on to make aggressive new highs and finalise its parabolic bullish phase.

Its coming soon.

[Josh Man @JoshMandell6]

The current trend price for Bitcoin as provided by power law is just above the all time high. The bottom price is only approximately 10% below the recent low of $60,000 per coin. Expecting new lows below the bottom price is like declaring the entire correlation between Bitcoin price and time to be spurious.

Good luck with that.

[David Lawrence @d_1awrence]

I'm calling it now: Saylor knows something big is coming in July. Watch the video at 21:40.....

"Clearly we're in hyper-growth right now. May will be interesting. June will be interesting. July....*nods head*.

I've said before that Saylor will have the clearest view of everyone in the financial world on which players are lining up monster buys or building products in the Bitcoin space.

He knows what's coming.

Eventually, $STRC will absorb trillions of dollars from the existing system straight into the Bitcoin network.

All your models are going to break.

"Diminishing Returns" they scream.......😂

You are not bullish enough.

[Jurrien Timmer @TimmerFidelity]

Bitcoin also continues to show resilience as it tests the upper bounds of a potential bear flag. Technical Analysis 101 states that when bear market rallies get overbought (per the stochastics below), it’s usually the kiss of death and time to sell. However, during bull markets overbought momentum means that the market is strong and likely to stay strong. My conclusion is that if Bitcoin cannot be pulled down by this current combination of overbought momentum and trendline resistance, then this is an emerging bull market and not a bear market rally. That’s been my hunch all along and it may be about to get confirmed. More on this later.

[Lawrence Lepard, "fix the money, fix the world" @LawrenceLepard]

Big Print Update

In written answers to the Senate Warsh re-emphasized that he does not think inflation statistics are accurate and in his testimony he suggested using the "trimmed mean" which throws out outlier prices and is currently printing much lower than headline numbers. Wake up folks. Bessent is calling the shots and Warsh is going to cut short rates. They have to to reduce government interest expenses. Given that this administration doesn't move slowly, I could see an unscheduled Fed meeting right after May 15 and a 100 bps rate cut. Last chance to get on the sound money train at relatively attractive prices: gold, silver, bitcoin.

Is this the Big Print? Yes and no. M2 the monetary base grows when the banks make loans and print money into existence. The Fed creates money out of thin air in the form of reserves which it gives to the banks in exchange for Treasury Bonds. Literally with a mouse click. The bank reserves do not hit M2 but they allow the banks to increase their lending which does hit M2. It generally does this in a crisis (2008, COVID). Warsh has said that (absent a market disruption) he wants to shrink the balance sheet (i don't believe he can) but that lower interest rates fuel growth. He believes in AI productivity gains he and Bessent emphasize growth. Therefore, he will cut. Another credit/inflation cycle will begin. All other things being equal: inflationary. The big unknown? The Bond Market. If the bond market realizes that real yields are hugely negative it will sell off hard and drive the Fed into crisis mode and YCC. Given that the middle east problem appears to be dragging on my operating assumption is lower rates, credit growth, more inflation, stock and bond trouble and then the CRISIS which creates the Big Print on the Fed's balance sheet. If they were to lock long bonds at 2.5% which they did to finance WWII the bond market will look at the Fed and say "sold to you". The Fed Balance sheet is ~$6.6T. US Federal debt is $39T. So, Big Print 1: GFC $3.6T, Big Print 2: COVID $5.0T. Big Print 3: ???

None of us own enough sound money assets.