PSU Adv Stats

Penn State advanced analytics. EPA • success rate • explosiveness — not vibes. Daily charts · Big Ten Sundays.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Takeaways through 4 games: Penn State 8, opponents 1.
Northwestern gets its shot Friday. Does the gap hold?

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State is 4th in the Big Ten at avoiding havoc and 8th at creating it. The offense is the half that holds up.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State has 10 touchdowns on 20 red zone trips this season.
Exactly 50%. Fair coin.

[Hardcore Penn State Football @HardcorePSUFB]

Flip a coin. Penn State scores a TD or not in the red zone this year

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State led Wisconsin 17-0. From there it was Wisconsin 24, Penn State 3.
The offense may have left early to beat traffic.

[Onward State @OnwardState]

"I really didn't want to screw it up."

@PennStateFball head coach Matt Campbell coached scared in his first Big Ten game and paid a hefty price for it.
https://t.co/aT6JLxBzCx

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Credit to Northwestern for only being mid on one side of the ball.
Big Ten FPI efficiency: 5th on offense, 10th on defense.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Northwestern's offense sits 5th in the Big Ten on efficiency at 80.4.
Penn State is 12th at 54.9. Friday is a listening tour.

[Onward State @OnwardState]

Most position groups did not pass the test on Saturday for @PennStateFball.

The Nittany Lions will look to improve a rough report card on Friday against Northwestern.
https://t.co/0OX2yVcljl

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State's playoff odds went from 37.2% to 9.3% after Wisconsin.
Same model. One Saturday.

[Greg Pickel @GregPickel]

NEW: Penn State fell out of the College Football Playoff picture for now after losing to Wisconsin? Where do the Lions stand in the latest postseason projections as of late September?

Details: https://t.co/Qo9kclvXsc

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Credit where due: Penn State did not have the biggest offensive efficiency drop in the Big Ten this week.
Maryland fell 29.0. Penn State showed restraint at 16.8.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State is 12th in Big Ten Off Eff after Week 4.
Defense is still 2nd. The landscape moved.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State led 17-0. From there it was Wisconsin 24, Penn State 3.
The final was Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20. The second half did the math.

[NCAAF Nation @NCAAFNation247]

Wisconsin 24
(13) Penn State 20

Final Score
#BigTen

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State went for it on 4th & 1 up 38 and up 42 this season.
Up 10 at its own 38 to start the fourth against Wisconsin: punt.

[Greg Pickel @GregPickel]

Penn State has just 196 yards of total offense after 45 minutes of play and is averaging a mere 4.2 yards per play. Wisconsin is at 147 and 3.7, respectively. PSU will line up to go for it on 4th and 1 at its own 38 to start the fourth quarter.

https://t.co/ttzICpXbHx

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Campbell's Iowa State teams after a loss: 27-22. Also two separate 5-game losing streaks.
No spiral on average. Averages were never the problem. Which Campbell shows up Saturday?

[Bad Rad Brad @B1OBEY0ND]

Good morning 🌞

Woke up to a bunch of DMs/Tags asking my take on last night's PSU loss, the morning after.

I don't have one.

The only thing that "fixes" this is winning.
And winning means issues have been addressed. It's not that PSU lost. It happens.
It's the nature of the loss. Unacceptable on many levels.

This next week will determine what kind of coach & team Penn State really has.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Matt Campbell since 2016: 47-21 when the final margin is 9 or more, 28-35 when it's 8 or less.
Is close-game coaching a skill or a vibe?

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Matt Campbell teams leading by 10 or more in the 4th quarter since 2018: 46-0.
Saturday made it 46-1. A minor blemish.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Penn State on 3rd down in the 4th quarter: 0 for 4, average 10.3 yards to go.
First half: 5.8. The degree of difficulty was self-selected.

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Fourth quarter: Wisconsin 208 yards, Penn State 37. Final: Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20.
When did you know the plan was to punt it out?

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Since 2002, Penn State had led a home game by 17 or more 101 times and won all 101.
Tonight it went 0 for 1.

[Hardcore Penn State Football @HardcorePSUFB]

Stat guy, when’s the last time, if ever, has Penn State blown a 17-0 lead at home?

[PSU Adv Stats @PSUAdvStats]

Wisconsin has thrown two interceptions. Penn State has thrown zero. Halftime is 17-7, somehow casually.